Week 23...my last

[mrpickem]

FRIDAY 4-7
WEEK -15.65u
AASB +12.1u

Been on a terrible run so I took a few days off. Still played a few but not compelled to post. 3-15 last 2 days posting :nono:
Still up since break but down around 20u on year. I don't bet Sept baseball so only a few days left, hopefully I can finish on a positive note.

• 952 Philadelphia Phillies +107 nola been equal to max and home with better team
• 951 Washington Nationals/Philadelphia Phillies Under 7½ -115 two studs
• 956 Chicago Cubs -126 https://goo.gl/hvq7hH
• 960 San Francisco Giants -109 https://goo.gl/B1Rh4t
• 967 Oakland Athletics +180 need it more and e.jack has been big surprise https://goo.gl/1CgHYz / https://goo.gl/tTcvRs
• 975 Los Angeles Dodgers -205 16-2 non div road fav 170-250 https://goo.gl/vHx7MZ

Fade, follow or ignore...there they are
Considering a couple more...maybe later

randoms...

tuesday records
az 16-4, nyy 15-4, mil 14-6, hou 13-7, was 12-8
bal 4-14, det 6-13, chw 7-14, pit 6-12, nym 7-13

record since jun 1
home: bos 26-10, cubs 28-12, nyy 23-12, cle 21-13, phi 22-14, laa 22-16 ... sd 9-24, kc 11-26, bal 12-28
road: oak 26-14, az 25-14, lad 23-15, sl 23-16 ...det 10-26, min 11-23, was 13-26, tb 12-23, mia 12-23, tor 13-24, mil 15-23

record vs lefty since may 1

kc 9-21, nym 9-18, mia 10-15, az 14-19

today's starters since jun 1
top$$- freeland 11-4 +8u, nola 11-3 +7.8u, e.jack 8-3 +5.8u, bucholtz 8-3 +5u
worse- junis 2-11 -8.7u, felix 4-8 -5.1u, shields 5-11 -5.1u, degrom 6-9 -4.8u

L365

nola 21-10 +10.7u ...#8 money starter
freeland 18-12 +7.7u ...#16

degrom 12-19 -13.2u ...#4 best fade
urena 9-22 -11.9u ...#6

Todays hot starters; avg < 2 runs per start L10

freeland, stanek, flaherty, degrom, bucholtz, nola, buehler

 

[HonestD]

Welcome back Mr. Good luck today!

 

[HonestD]

I think I'm going to roll with the Tigers/Royals F5 under and the Cardinals/Pirates under.

 

[mrpickem]

I think I'm going to roll with the Tigers/Royals F5 under and the Cardinals/Pirates under.

Actually had sl under on my radar...I rarely play FF but GL :cheers3:

 

[Timh]

GL MRP, finish strong...

 

[indy007]

Mr. P......turn around Tues. ……..good looking card buddy...…...on Phil. and under, LAD. with you...…..BOL tonight...…..indy

 

[tuck321]

Need is not really a compelling argument
Have already posted Houston and Arizona with what seems fairly strong reasons,
The Philadelphia side issue is difficult.. On this rest Max actually has a little edge. Would it surprise me to see Nola win.
Not at all

 

[peelpub94]

Nats offense is alive, Phillies is not. I might take Scherzer with alive bats over Nola and bad bats.

 

[HonestD]

Nats offense is alive, Phillies is not. I might take Scherzer with alive bats over Nola and bad bats.

What's with that whack ass line though?

 

[Inspekdah]

What's with that whack ass line though?

Nola just won this matchup and is getting a slight majority of the tickets, it appears.

 

[HonestD]

I see Nats getting 60% of the tickets through pinnacle.

Opened at -110 Nats. Did that line open up where it should have?

 

[peelpub94]

I think the line is accurate, hasn't budged much all day.

 

[mrpickem]

fuck the bullshit

• 977 Colorado Rockies -119 (3 UNITS)

View attachment 34334

 

[HonestD]

Nice day yesterday Mr. P

 

[mrpickem]

TUESDAY 4-2 +3.73u

Decent night helped by rare multi unit play. 90% or more of my plays are all risking 1 unit but risk 3u on rox last night which returned 2.52u profit, while the a's with only 1u risk returned 1.8u and that demonstrates the value of dogs. I always risk the same where most people play favs to win the unit. IMO this helps me be more aggressive with dogs and prevents big beat on huge fav...like I had lad last night and only won .49u, but only had 1u at risk instead of 2.05


WEDNESDAY:

• 904 Philadelphia Phillies -125 just fukn because and i'm fading gio
• 906 Cincinnati Reds +137 https://goo.gl/1eWkqT
• 907 Pittsburgh Pirates +158 https://goo.gl/1CgHYz / https://goo.gl/tTcvRs
• 913 Detroit Tigers +101 royos 10-30 following win, 5-14 on wed, 12-26 at home since jun1, etc...
• 915 Chicago White Sox/New York Yankees Under 9½ +100 https://goo.gl/k9dddD
• 923 Miami Marlins/Boston Red Sox Under 9½ +105 https://goo.gl/k9dddD
• 927 Los Angeles Dodgers -153 thinking wood has turned it around(22ER over L12 starts) https://goo.gl/kQXs5n

stalking m's, a's and maybe a couple more

randoms...

wednesday records
cle 16-4, bos 13-4, hou 14-5, atl 12-6, nyy 11-7
kc 5-14, sd 5-13, az 5-12, tor 6-14, bal 6-13, det 8-12, sea 8-12

record since jun 1
home: bos 27-10, cubs 28-12, nyy 24-12, cle 22-13, phi 22-15, cin 23-16, sf 24-17 ... sd 10-24, kc 12-26, bal 13-28
road: oak 27-14, az 25-15, lad 24-15 ...det 10-27, min 11-24, tb 12-24, mia 12-24, tor 13-25, was 14-26, mil 15-24

record vs lefty since may 1

cubs 14-6, lad 24-16, oak 21-14, tb 16-12
tex 14-21, sd 8-24, bal 13-21, mia 10-16, chw 9-15

today's starters since jun 1
top$$- price 12-2 +10.3u, cahill 7-2 +4.8u, d.rod 9-4 +4.5u, mikolas 11-5 +4.5u, minor 7-5 +4.3u
worse- gio 4-11 -11.9u, fulmer 1-8 -7.7u, plutko 1-4 -4.5u, cobb 4-11 -4.5u, vargas 2-7 -4.4u

L365

price 19-6 +12u ...#5 money starter
mikolas 19-7 +11.9u ...#10

gio 13-20 -14.5u ...#3 best fade
wood 15-16 -10.7u ...#8
fulmer 5-15 -10.3u ...#9
cobb 8-20 -9.4u ...#13

Todays hot starters; avg < 2 runs per start L10

williams, d.rod

 

[mrpickem]

cant resist stud pitcher at home getting chalk

• 910 San Francisco Giants +112 zona 5-12 on wed, 1-5 after being shutout and d.rod riding 9 str quality starts
• 909 Arizona Diamondbacks/San Francisco Giants Under 7½ -116 https://goo.gl/4Y3FXk

 

[indy007]

Mr. P...…...BOL with all your action today...….indy

 

[mrpickem]

WEDNESDAY 5-4 +.9u

Tough beat on reds, but still a small profit on night. Been fading verlander for awhile with good success...now may be the time to get back onboard with ho-train as they are healthy again. Short board, not a lot of choices. Probably will work on some CFB, but still considering rox, a's and chisox

THURSDAY:

• 953 Pittsburgh Pirates +105 https://goo.gl/UDnnhZ
• 952 Cincinnati Reds +116
• 956 Atlanta Braves -124
• 958 Los Angeles Dodgers -122 https://goo.gl/hvq7hH
• 966 Houston Astros -229 https://goo.gl/hvq7hH

randoms...

thursday records
cubs 11-3, hou 8-3, atl 9-4, oak 8-4, nyy 9-5
sd 4-10, chw 5-9

record since jun 1
home: oak 24-11, nyy 24-13, cle 22-14, cin 23-17 ... sd 11-24, chw 17-22
road: bos 25-14, az 26-15 ...det 10-28, min 12-24, mil 16-24

record vs lefty since may 1

nyy 19-8, col 23-12, hou 25-16, oak 21-15
atl 16-20

today's starters since jun 1
top$$- giolito 10-5 +9u, leblanc 9-6 +4.3u, marquez 9-6 +4.1u, montas 6-3 +4u
worse- verlander 8-8 -11.1u, ray 3-8 -8.7u, clevinger 6-9 -8.2u, musgrove 4-9 -5.2u

L365

happ 21-9 +11.4u ...#7 money starter
giolito 17-14 +9.3u ...#13
leblanc 14-7 +8.3u ...#15

montgomery 7-10 -7.5u ...#20 best fade
gant 4-11 -7.2u ...#22

Todays hot starters; avg < 2 runs per start L10

hill, miley

View attachment 34372
theres a click here

 

[HonestD]

hahaha.

What I wanna know is. "Jason, do you have to go take a shit from that Taco Bell that you eat before every start in between innings, and how do you deal with adversity in the form of diarrhea if you get the sudden feel of the runs while on the mound?"

 

[indy007]

Mr. P...…..BOL with today's plays...…...indy

 

[B.A.R.]

:cheers3:

 

[tuck321]

Tend to like the over in Atlanta Atlanta 9-4 on this day Cubs 11-3 just waiting to see ump

 

[mrpickem]

adding

• 959 Colorado Rockies -155
• 968 Chicago White Sox +192

 

[mrpickem]

THURSDAY 0-7

...the best laid plans of mice and men often go awry

FRIDAY:

• 904 Philadelphia Phillies -110
• 906 Atlanta Braves -112
• 910 Los Angeles Dodgers -129
• 914 San Francisco Giants -118
• 917 Tampa Bay Rays +200
• 923 Los Angeles Angels +186

randoms...

friday records
tor 14-8, col 14-8, mil 14-8, cubs 14-8, az 13-8, tex 13-9, pit 13-9, laa 13-9, hou 13-9
det 6-15, atl 7-15, sd 7-15, kc 7-14, tb 8-13, bal 8-13

record since jun 1
home: oak 24-12, nyy 24-14, cle 23-14, phi 23-14, sf 24-18 ... sd 12-24, kc 13-26, chw 17-23
road: bos 26-14, az 27-15 ...bal 9-27, det 11-28, min 12-25, tor 13-26, laa 13-25, tb 13-24, cin 14-22, mil 17-24

record vs lefty since may 1

cubs 14-7
laa 12-22, tex 14-22, az 15-20

today's starters since jun 1
top$$- fiers 11-4 +10u, gomber 6-0 +7u, taillon 10-5 +4.7u, leake 9-6 +4.4u
worse- pivetta 5-10 -6.6u, bailey 0-6 -6u, eovaldi 5-10 -5.7u

L365

chacin 24-9 +17.7u ...#1 money starter
fiers 18-9 +14.7u ...#2
leake 20-11 +11.9u ...#7
gomber 6-0 +7u ... #18

bailey 4-19 -13.9u ...#2 best fade
roarke 13-18 -9.1u ...#13

Todays hot starters; avg < 2 runs per start L10

fiers, greinke, wheeler

mercifully my last day of bases has arrived :moneyoutofhand:

fwiw, I couldn't hit a baseball game, but couldn't miss a football play yesterday

View attachment 34385

 

[peelpub94]

Should've ended my season 1 week early myself. This last week has been almost the worst week all season. BOL to you bud!

 

[tuck321]

It has been tough

 

[mrpickem]

added

• 919 Minnesota Twins/Texas Rangers Under 11½ -115

 

[HonestD]

why last day?

 

[mrpickem]

why last day?

I dont bet baseball after the rosters expand(Sept) because I've had such a bad history with that. I will be back for the playoffs though

 

[HonestD]

I dont bet baseball after the rosters expand(Sept) because I've had such a bad history with that. I will be back for the playoffs though

ok. will i see you in the NBA forum>?

 

[mrpickem]

a few more...

• 
  
• 901 Milwaukee Brewers +106
• 917 Tampa Bay Rays/Cleveland Indians Over 8 -110
• 929 Toronto Blue Jays/Miami Marlins Over 8 -105