Week 22 - FRENCH OPEN

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Draws came out today.

http://www.rolandgarros.com/en_FR/scores/draws/ms/msdraw.pdf

Going through them now. My boy Milos got an AWFUL draw. Might made him if prices are right. If he makes the quarters I'd amazed. Has to go through Kygrios/ Rosol or Vesely (Vesely played great this week, hopefully hes tried) /Simon or Alejandro Gonzalez (Simon - hometown boy & Gonzalez clay court guy).

Round of 16 would be Nishikori/Dologopolov.
Quarterfinals - Fucking Djokovic. Milos played him great last week but no chance.

 

[Toronto_Mike]

have to say I'm impressed with how Milos has upped his clay game!

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

64 matches tomorrow. ALOT of capping today

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

GLB, what is your primary consideration when capping a match?

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

GLB, what is your primary consideration when capping a match?

I use Type of court records/H2H (if in the past couple years)/L10 weeks.

Plus now that I have been following tennis very close for over a year, i feel like I know plays and tendencies. Hot heads/chokers etc.

I also dislike some of them and feel like there are fade opportunities.

 

[crawdads]

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/AO3IQtW8Dlc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Im staying up all night for these. Going to be capping most the night

 

[P-Unit]

what are your plays?

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Starting to finish up now. Puling an all nighter

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Somdev Deverarman +108
Jarkko Nieminen -535 (Big juice but I like this alot)
Jarkko Nieminen -6.5 Games (-135)
Mikhail Youzhny -250
Gastao Elias +145
Victor Estrella Burgos +245
Victor Estrella Burgos +6.5 Games Won (-140)
Roger Federer -10 Games Won (-110)
Potito Starace +175
Alexandr Dolgopolov -280

Anna Schmiedlova -210
Claire Feuerstein +120
Kaia Kanepi -220
Annika Beck -235
Cetkovska/Lepchenko Over 21 (-110)
Katrzyna Piter +885

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Im too much of a pussy, im going to sleep

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

I probably won't be back until after thg matches are over. GL to everyone. I couldn't bet it but Milos going to be in trouble today.

 

[P-Unit]

Somdev Deverarman +108
Jarkko Nieminen -535 (Big juice but I like this alot)
Jarkko Nieminen -6.5 Games (-135)
Mikhail Youzhny -250
Gastao Elias +145
Victor Estrella Burgos +245
Victor Estrella Burgos +6.5 Games Won (-140)
Roger Federer -10 Games Won (-110)
Potito Starace +175
Alexandr Dolgopolov -280

Anna Schmiedlova -210
Claire Feuerstein +120
Kaia Kanepi -220
Annika Beck -235
Cetkovska/Lepchenko Over 21 (-110)
Katrzyna Piter +885

wow, I put all my plays in about an hour before you posted, but our cards are VERY similar. I went big on Schmiedlova and thinking about adding to my Cetkovska side wager. I think she wins this match easily.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Not good to hear, cuz i have been crushed.

 

[P-Unit]

Kanepi was very disappointing today.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Now beck with a meltdown

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Just like the start of the Aussie for me. Fuck

 

[Toronto_Mike]

wow did not expect Schiavone to be bounced

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Thanks for Dolgo. Parlayed that winner and appreciate your thoughts on capping tennis.

 

[P-Unit]

wow did not expect Schiavone to be bounced

had the other side there. Pretty much the only dog I hit today.

 

[P-Unit]

Celkovska is going to cost me big. fuck me.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

 

[Toronto_Mike]

just fade Wozzy and all is good

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Only at +240 though

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Lets try this again

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Cilic/Andujar Over 37 (-120)
Nicolas Mahut +125
Jiri Vesely -125
Ernets Gulbis -7.5 Games (-115)
Novak Djokovic -10.5 Games (-130)
Teimuraz Gabashivili -440
Robby Ginepri +11 Games Won
Donald Young -225

Mona Barthel -130
Pervak/Sharapova Over 16.5 (-120)
Christina McHale -120
Eugenie Bouchard -6.5 Games (-125)
Karolina Pliskova -255
Camila Giorgi -235
Shuai Peng +120
Anna Tatishvili +178
Aleksandra Wozniak +125

 

[P-Unit]

GL tomorrow. Haven't started capping much yet, but I'll definitely be on a few of these at first look.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Curious if anyone is awake here? Went to bet super early so I could be awake. Then got to be up early tomorrow anyway

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

MOTHERFUCKER, I go to sleep early to wake up to watch this and its fucking raining. Are you fucking kidding me

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Right away, this Sharapova Over is a bad bet. Pervak is AWFUL. I doubt she gets one hold all match

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Montanes turned his ankle badly. Had to quit. Almost took -400. Would've been cancelled.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Pervak broken all 3 service games. She is pathetic.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Going to need Maria blow a couple games.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Pervak got a hold! Need 3 more haha

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Mahut gets the break back. My over bet with Cilic starts with a 6-0 set hhahaha

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

And Mahut gives it back. Fucking ass hat

 

[Toronto_Mike]

Ginepri is still alive?

 

[P-Unit]

dammit I knew I should have faded Vinci. I just couldn't pull the trigger. was +450.

Decent day going with big winners on Haase and Paire. Have Georges/King/Lu/Young/Friedsam/Ormachaea/Mathieu left

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

I knew I should have taken Klizan. So fucking dumb I did't

 

[ScopeY]

Good luck GLB!

 

[Toronto_Mike]

Li is out too wow

 

[P-Unit]

Down goes Grigor.

Some big dogs cashing early

 

[P-Unit]

Shelby Rogers +700 for a small wager.

 

[Toronto_Mike]

Wozzy is out haha she couldn't handle the breakup whereas Rory is loving life

 

[Toronto_Mike]

damn just noticed Almagro is done...q

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

The fade of Woz was SOOOO easy. Wasn't great value, probably should have been +500 ish. I was stupid and DelBonis -515. Fucking joke

 

[Noles4life]

delbonis is a fuker cost me a parlay

 

[P-Unit]

Delbonis closed at -355. Scared me off.

 

[theking]

pissed off I didn't fade woz....I thought she played tomorrow for some reason.

Good luck on your wednesday picks. I might take a peak at the card a bit later.

 

[P-Unit]

Klizan/Larsson/Youzhny/Vesely/Bouchard are my early plays