Week 2

[mrpickem]

NFL 2023
WEEK 1 [15-8 +21.42u]
THURSDAY
4/3.74 CHIEFS -4½ -107
3/2.86 1H-Chiefs -3 -105
SUNDAY
3/2.86 PANTHERS +3½ -105
4/3.74 FALCONS u40 -107
3/2.88 TEXANS +9 -104
4/3.81 RAVENS u43½ -105
4/3.85 BROWNS +1½ -104
3/2.86 COLTS +4½ -105
4/3.64 COLTS u46½ -110
3/2.78 BUCS +5 -108
5/5.05 TITANS +2½ +101
3/2.83 SAINTS u42 -106
3/2.86 COMMANDERS -7 -105
5/4.72 COMMANDERS u38 -106
3/2.86 49ers -1 -105
3/2.86 Steelers u41½ -105
5/4.76 PACKERS +1 -105
4/3.70 BEARS u41 -108
5/4.67 RAIDERS +3 -107
4/3.92 BRONCOS u43 -102
4/3.81 Dolphins +3 -105
3/3.00 EAGLES -3½ +100
3/2.91 SEAHAWKS -4½ -103
5/4.35 Giants +3½ -115
MONDAY
3/2.88 BILLS -2 -104

LAST [0-1 -3u]

Decent first week but was 1-3 on Prime Time plays so let's right that ship!

WEEK 2

THURSDAY

• 4/3.85 VIKINGS +6 -104
• 3/2.91 EAGLES u49 -103

randoms...

• PHI 2-5-1 ATS IN L6 PRIME TIME GAMES
• MIN 4-1 SU & ATS IN L5 PRIME TIME GAMES
• MONDAY GAMES LINED >=5 ARE 33% (7-14-1) ON OVER L7 YEARS

 

[mrpickem]

Alltime favorites on Thursday have cashed 57% ATS but are 4-9 in last 13 games. Well Alltime meaning the history of SDQL or since 1989.
Under has hit almost 55% alltime and the last 6 have stayed under.

Vikes 8-7-2 ATS last 7 years in Prime Time. 5-11-1 31.2% on total.

Eagles last 7 years: 58.8% ATS (10-7-1) but are 2-5-1 ATS in last 7

 

[mrpickem]

WEEK 1 [15-8 +21.42u]
LAST [0-1 -3u]

WEEK 2
THURSDAY
4/3.85 VIKINGS +6 -104
3/2.91 EAGLES u49 -103



SUNDAY

• 5/4.27 TITANS +3 -117
• 3/2.86 FALCONS u40½ -105
• 3/2.86 COLTS -105
• 5/4.76 TEXANS u39½ -105
• 4/3.81 SEAHAWKS +4½ -105
• 3/2.86 SEAHAWKS o47 -105
• 5/5.00 Bears +2½ +100
• 4/3.64 BUCS u40½ -110
• 4/3.81 BILLS -7½ -105
• 3/2.61 CHIEFS -3 -115
• 3/2.86 CHIEFS o50½ -105
• 3/2.61 RAVENS +3½ -115
• 4/3.81 RAVENS u45½ -105

randoms...

• In week 2 or 3 teams that lost by over 10 the previous week are
  
  • 67-48-2 58.3% ATS last 10 years
  • 50-30-2 62.5% ATS last 7 years
  • 20-12-2 62.5% ATS last 3 years
  • 6-3-2 66.7% ATS last year
• Home dogs of 5 or less off a loss have covered 61% (36-23-3) last 7 years.
• Home teams lined from -7 to +7 are covering only 44% (193-242-7) in the COVID era(2021-2023)...3-12-1 20% this year
• Home edge sheet at the end on 2022
  

 

[mrpickem]

my action for late games

• 3/2.86 GIANTS -4 -105
• 4/3.42 CARDS u40 -117
• 3/2.56 49ERS -7 -117
• 4/3.85 COWBOYS -8½ -104
• 4/3.81 COWBOYS u38½ -105
• 4/3.81 BRONCOS u38½ -105
• 4/3.81 PATRIOTS +2½ -105
• 3/2.91 PATRIOTS u45½ -103

 

[mrpickem]

WEEK 2
THURSDAY
4/3.85 VIKINGS +6 -104
3/2.91 EAGLES u49 -103
SUNDAY
5/4.27 TITANS +3 -117
3/2.86 FALCONS u40½ -105
3/2.86 COLTS -105
5/4.76 TEXANS u39½ -105
4/3.81 SEAHAWKS +4½ -105
3/2.86 SEAHAWKS o47 -105
5/5.00 Bears +2½ +100
4/3.64 BUCS u40½ -110
4/3.81 BILLS -7½ -105
3/2.61 CHIEFS -3 -115
3/2.86 CHIEFS o50½ -105
3/2.61 RAVENS +3½ -115
4/3.81 RAVENS u45½ -105
3/2.86 GIANTS -4 -105
4/3.42 CARDS u40 -117
3/2.56 49ERS -7 -117
4/3.85 COWBOYS -8½ -104
4/3.81 COWBOYS u38½ -105
4/3.81 BRONCOS u38½ -105
4/3.81 PATRIOTS +2½ -105
3/2.91 PATRIOTS u45½ -103

SEASON [24-20 +5.11u]
WEEK 2 [9-12-2 -16.41u]
LAST [9-11-1 -13.41u]

MONDAY

• 4/3.81 STEELERS +2 -105
• 3/2.68 STEELERS u38½ -112
• 3/2.94 PANTHERS u39½ -102

randoms...

• Home dogs of 5 or less off a loss in the first 3 weeks over the last 7 years cave cashed 77% ATS (20-6-1)
• Prime time last 7 years
  • NO 8-12 SU / 6-14 ATS / 6-13-1 OVER
  • CAR 5-7 SU / 5-7 ATS / 3-8-1 OVER
  • CLE 7-5 SU / 5-7 ATS / 3-8-1 OVER
  • PIT 13-5 SU / 10-8 ATS / 9-8-1 OVER
• Last week, the Steelers’ offense was terrible. PIT had a promising preseason with Pickett and the 1st-team offense put up 5 TDs on 5 possessions. The 30-7 drubbing by the Niners was a harsh reality check that the preseason really doesn’t really prove anything and they still have a long ways to go before entering the top echelon of NFL teams. Tomlin doesn't take to losing consecutive home games, going 8-1 outright in the get-even game. Tomlin is 13-4-5 ATS as a home dog alltime. Brownies look to let down after smashing Cincy in week 1 as they are only 5-13 ATS coming off SUATS win since 2020! I can see PIT getting back on track tonight.