Week 2

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
NFL 2023
WEEK 1 [15-8 +21.42u]
THURSDAY
❌4/3.74 CHIEFS -4½ -107
✅3/2.86 1H-Chiefs -3 -105
SUNDAY
❌3/2.86 PANTHERS +3½ -105
✅4/3.74 FALCONS u40 -107
❌3/2.88 TEXANS +9 -104
✅4/3.81 RAVENS u43½ -105
✅4/3.85 BROWNS +1½ -104
❌3/2.86 COLTS +4½ -105
❌4/3.64 COLTS u46½ -110
✅3/2.78 BUCS +5 -108
✅5/5.05 TITANS +2½ +101
✅3/2.83 SAINTS u42 -106
❌3/2.86 COMMANDERS -7 -105
✅5/4.72 COMMANDERS u38 -106
✅3/2.86 49ers -1 -105
✅3/2.86 Steelers u41½ -105
✅5/4.76 PACKERS +1 -105
❌4/3.70 BEARS u41 -108
✅5/4.67 RAIDERS +3 -107
✅4/3.92 BRONCOS u43 -102
✅4/3.81 Dolphins +3 -105
✅3/3.00 EAGLES -3½ +100
❌3/2.91 SEAHAWKS -4½ -103
❌5/4.35 Giants +3½ -115
MONDAY
❌3/2.88 BILLS -2 -104

LAST [0-1 -3u]

Decent first week but was 1-3 on Prime Time plays so let's right that ship!

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WEEK 2

THURSDAY

  • 4/3.85 VIKINGS +6 -104
  • 3/2.91 EAGLES u49 -103
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randoms...
  • PHI 2-5-1 ATS IN L6 PRIME TIME GAMES
  • MIN 4-1 SU & ATS IN L5 PRIME TIME GAMES
  • MONDAY GAMES LINED >=5 ARE 33% (7-14-1) ON OVER L7 YEARS
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Alltime favorites on Thursday have cashed 57% ATS but are 4-9 in last 13 games. Well Alltime meaning the history of SDQL or since 1989.
Under has hit almost 55% alltime and the last 6 have stayed under.

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Vikes 8-7-2 ATS last 7 years in Prime Time. 5-11-1 31.2% on total.1694735122892.png

Eagles last 7 years: 58.8% ATS (10-7-1) but are 2-5-1 ATS in last 7

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WEEK 1 [15-8 +21.42u]
LAST [0-1 -3u]

WEEK 2
THURSDAY
⛅4/3.85 VIKINGS +6 -104
❌3/2.91 EAGLES u49 -103

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SUNDAY
  • 5/4.27 TITANS +3 -117
  • 3/2.86 FALCONS u40½ -105
  • 3/2.86 COLTS -105
  • 5/4.76 TEXANS u39½ -105
  • 4/3.81 SEAHAWKS +4½ -105
  • 3/2.86 SEAHAWKS o47 -105
  • 5/5.00 Bears +2½ +100
  • 4/3.64 BUCS u40½ -110
  • 4/3.81 BILLS -7½ -105
  • 3/2.61 CHIEFS -3 -115
  • 3/2.86 CHIEFS o50½ -105
  • 3/2.61 RAVENS +3½ -115
  • 4/3.81 RAVENS u45½ -105

randoms...
  • In week 2 or 3 teams that lost by over 10 the previous week are
    • 67-48-2 58.3% ATS last 10 years
    • 50-30-2 62.5% ATS last 7 years
    • 20-12-2 62.5% ATS last 3 years
    • 6-3-2 66.7% ATS last year
  • Home dogs of 5 or less off a loss have covered 61% (36-23-3) last 7 years.
  • Home teams lined from -7 to +7 are covering only 44% (193-242-7) in the COVID era(2021-2023)...3-12-1 20% this year
  • Home edge sheet at the end on 2022
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my action for late games
  • 3/2.86 GIANTS -4 -105
  • 4/3.42 CARDS u40 -117
  • 3/2.56 49ERS -7 -117
  • 4/3.85 COWBOYS -8½ -104
  • 4/3.81 COWBOYS u38½ -105
  • 4/3.81 BRONCOS u38½ -105
  • 4/3.81 PATRIOTS +2½ -105
  • 3/2.91 PATRIOTS u45½ -103

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WEEK 2
THURSDAY
⛅4/3.85 VIKINGS +6 -104
❌3/2.91 EAGLES u49 -103
SUNDAY
✅5/4.27 TITANS +3 -117
❌3/2.86 FALCONS u40½ -105
✅3/2.86 COLTS -105
❌5/4.76 TEXANS u39½ -105
✅4/3.81 SEAHAWKS +4½ -105
✅3/2.86 SEAHAWKS o47 -105
❌5/5.00 Bears +2½ +100
❌4/3.64 BUCS u40½ -110
✅4/3.81 BILLS -7½ -105
✅3/2.61 CHIEFS -3 -115
❌3/2.86 CHIEFS o50½ -105
✅3/2.61 RAVENS +3½ -115
❌4/3.81 RAVENS u45½ -105
❌3/2.86 GIANTS -4 -105
❌4/3.42 CARDS u40 -117
⛅3/2.56 49ERS -7 -117
✅4/3.85 COWBOYS -8½ -104
❌4/3.81 COWBOYS u38½ -105
❌4/3.81 BRONCOS u38½ -105
❌4/3.81 PATRIOTS +2½ -105
✅3/2.91 PATRIOTS u45½ -103

SEASON [24-20 +5.11u]
WEEK 2 [9-12-2 -16.41u]
LAST [9-11-1 -13.41u]

MONDAY
  • 4/3.81 STEELERS +2 -105
  • 3/2.68 STEELERS u38½ -112
  • 3/2.94 PANTHERS u39½ -102
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randoms...
  • Home dogs of 5 or less off a loss in the first 3 weeks over the last 7 years cave cashed 77% ATS (20-6-1)1695037956307.png
  • Prime time last 7 years
    • NO 8-12 SU / 6-14 ATS / 6-13-1 OVER
    • CAR 5-7 SU / 5-7 ATS / 3-8-1 OVER
    • CLE 7-5 SU / 5-7 ATS / 3-8-1 OVER
    • PIT 13-5 SU / 10-8 ATS / 9-8-1 OVER
  • Last week, the Steelers’ offense was terrible. PIT had a promising preseason with Pickett and the 1st-team offense put up 5 TDs on 5 possessions. The 30-7 drubbing by the Niners was a harsh reality check that the preseason really doesn’t really prove anything and they still have a long ways to go before entering the top echelon of NFL teams. Tomlin doesn't take to losing consecutive home games, going 8-1 outright in the get-even game. Tomlin is 13-4-5 ATS as a home dog alltime. Brownies look to let down after smashing Cincy in week 1 as they are only 5-13 ATS coming off SUATS win since 2020! I can see PIT getting back on track tonight.1695038051320.png
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