With Allen’s injury and the KC performance in Week 1, I'm somewhat shocked by the consensus on the Chargers. But the fact is, KC IS the right side. Not because of last week but rather their D looks great opening the season. Arrowhead Stadium is a legitimate home-field advantage, especially on a short week. The Chiefs have a coaching advantage and should probably be closer to a touchdown favorite. Not worried enough about injuries to RG Smith / K Butker to back down. I'll back KC up to -4. I know almost everyone is on the bolts, so I'll fade the public here with a small play despite LA beings 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 prime-time games.
HOME FAVS OF 5 TO 6½ ONLY COVER 32.5% OVER LAST 7 YEARS. ONLY COVER STRETCHED 6 POINT TEASE 9.8% :shocked:
(2-14 ATS IN LAST 16 GOING BACK TILL SEPT 2019)
After last week’s personal “Super Bowl,” the BUF coaches no doubt got right back to analyzing last season’s Monday night match-up with TEN. They lost 34-31, one week after beating KC in a letdown spot. They played well enough with 22 more plays and had the ball near TEN goal line with a chance for a game-winning TD. That play failed. Derrick Henry was too much for them over the course of the game and they had to worry about A.J. Brown and Julio Jones, too. Both wideouts are gone now, and didn’t their absences show vs NYG last week? The Bills are on a mission and with TEN's regression< I can see BUF covering this DD spread tonight in another showcase game. BUF 31-13
BUF 10-3-2 last 15 as -7 FAV or more
BUF as home FAV in conference last 2+ seasons
