Week 2 ML Dogs
- Thread starter ProV1Colt
- Start date
rambler882
Head of the Justin Fields Fan Club
Texas St
booksbestfriend
On Johnny's Shitlist
Quick run through:
Vandy
USF
SDSU
BYU
Nevada (Ore off crushing defeat)
UNC
Vandy
USF
SDSU
BYU
Nevada (Ore off crushing defeat)
UNC
Teams that face Georgia rarely covered the following week fwiw
booksbestfriend
On Johnny's Shitlist
Someone posted they were having RB issues.
gamblinjunkie
Pretty much a regular
Down to one healthy RB
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
Definitely an interesting one.
Flashback to the 2017 Texas State game at Wyoming, Josh Allen's bad year. Wyoming won 45-10 as a 16 pt favorite. But, that was the game that Wyoming scored THREE non-offensive TDs. Texas St also missed 2 FGs. First downs were only 18-16 and total yards were only 333-262. But that was 2 years ago.
I think Texas St D really has a chance here. I think they will care more than Missouri appeared to.
I do worry about the Texas State O. What can anyone take from the aTm game? They didn't do much. Switched to Jensen at QB - think he will start? Jensen > Vitt?
D
dopples
Guest
faves went 23-4 i believe
jedi ninja
Larry the liberal
The Wyoming off an upset letdown angle is in play as well, and would be THE factor pushing me over the edge on it. Especially with them having to go on the road after pulling the upset.
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
For sure. I do like to have some helpful other reasons...hopefully with the Spavital era here and only game 2 after facing a rough D to open the year, I suppose we are going to have to take a leap of faith that Texas State has some O up their sleeve to get it done (OC former Montana HC Bob Stit). They do return 110 career OL starts entering this year and return 95% of their tackles. While they are learning new systems, there is alot of experience and veterans on this Texas State team.
Was the Wyoming win over Missouri largely a fluke? Under Bohl, since 2014 Wyoming is just 1-8 vs P5...that 1 win was last Saturday. Prior they lost by an average score of 13.75 to 42.65 (and some of those games were in Laramie that they also lost big, including some with Josh Allen). So Wyoming, while often a solid team, has no history of being a team capable of that kind of upset. I mean they have a strong history of MWC upsets, but not vs P5 schools. Not to mention Missouri had a 537-389 TY edge and was -3 in turnovers (10 free pts for WYO).
This has the makings of a nice pick.
* Wyoming off big home upset, travels
* Wyoming won in misleading final
* Wyoming has no history of beating P5 teams, let alone competing with them (ie fluke rather than some evidence that Wyoming is emerging as a better than average team)
* Home opener for Texas State
* Energy around program for Spavital's first season
* Alot of seniors and veteran roster
* Solid Texas State D and underrated LBs (London and Daniels All Sun Belt)
Rusty Trombone
Pretty much a regular
Coastal Carolina +250ish
Kansas as more than a td fav vs anyone is kinda silly.....
Kansas as more than a td fav vs anyone is kinda silly.....
M.W.
Parties like it's 1979
Who? Ehlinger?
2daBank
Voice of Reason
For sure. Don’t really know much about the matchups but that Texas coach pretty much a autoplay as a dog.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Watching it I thought the upset had a lot more to do w mizzou incompetence than wyo emerging as a legit team. That defense really fell off from last season it appears. They couldn’t tackle in that 2nd qrtr and combined w turnovers things just steamrolled on them. The run game wasn’t nearly as good as I would have expected either.
Wyo qb was only 6 for 16 for 92 yards throwing. Seems like a team facing them would be wise to really sell out vs the run. Mizzou ran a good 30ish plays more than wyo did so that d could get worn down if Texas has the ability to sustain drives.
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
I only saw bits and pieces, but hearing the reaction from people who watched, like you, was Missouri not making plays on D that were there...or being out of position when they shouldn't have been. Inexperience, and perhaps inferior athleticism, at LB and S seems to get most of the blame. And just a lack of fire and desire out of the DL.
Most people have been explaining the Mizzou lack of run success to Roundtree only being used on primary run plays, since he isn't a capable pass protection guy. So the D knew Mizzou's likelihood of running whether Roundtree was in or Badie was in and if it was Roundtree the D would play run leading to little success for Roundtree (15att-41, Badie 16att-53). Regardless an SEC OL should be able to make holes...the other thing noted was Mizzou's lack of a deep threat both in WR personnel and Bryant's deep ball ability....so the safeties were more able to come down in run support without alot of fear of getting beat over the top if Mizzou passed.
The big unknown here is just exactly what Texas State is going to do on O. I suppose that is an advantage, assuming they can execute what they want to do, an advantage that Wyoming doesn't have any tape for this staff game planning vs a team they can actually matchup against. Hard to watch the Texas A&M tape with Vitt and Jensen both playing, not especially well, and take away alot because...well it was a vastly superior D unit in aTm just shutting it down. And one has to think that the staff is going to have a better plan and be more creative in a game they can actually win rather than showing their entire arsenal (to the extent they have an arsenal) vs a team that they are going to lose to no matter what they do.
I mean last year's Texas State team scored 7ppg in their final 3 games 2018. So, that is completely useless with Spavital and Stitt here now there is going to be an improvement both in scheming and playcalling. Exactly what that looks however like nobody knows - including Wyoming. Is it enough to hold us back from thinking they can win this game? The fact we haven't seen their O have success yet I mean, can we just assume they will have so O? I don't know...I am getting kinda hung up on that. Wyoming D has been pretty solid the last 2 years.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
All good questions I certainly don’t have the answer too.
Texas st run d actually wasn’t horrible outside the late 85 yard run they gave up, which against a way bigger more physical Aggies team id think bodes well for them vs wyo.
As you mentioned dunno how anyone really knows what to expect out the offense?
Texas st run d actually wasn’t horrible outside the late 85 yard run they gave up, which against a way bigger more physical Aggies team id think bodes well for them vs wyo.
As you mentioned dunno how anyone really knows what to expect out the offense?
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
What do we think about Eastern Michigan vs Kentucky?
EM QB Mike Glass as good or better QB than Tol's Guadagni and Guadagni had a good game until being knocked out last week. Also, Toledo was replacing their top 3 WRs. EM is replacing some familiar names from their front 7 that has made them so good, but it just seems like these Eastern Michigans teams under Creighton are always rock solid. The last TWO years they have only lost TWO games by double digits (15 home vs Army last year and 12 at CenMich two years ago). Plus they played at UK 2017 and only lost 20-24.
I think if anyone liked Toledo last week, then Eastern Michigan fits the bill as well this week.
EM QB Mike Glass as good or better QB than Tol's Guadagni and Guadagni had a good game until being knocked out last week. Also, Toledo was replacing their top 3 WRs. EM is replacing some familiar names from their front 7 that has made them so good, but it just seems like these Eastern Michigans teams under Creighton are always rock solid. The last TWO years they have only lost TWO games by double digits (15 home vs Army last year and 12 at CenMich two years ago). Plus they played at UK 2017 and only lost 20-24.
I think if anyone liked Toledo last week, then Eastern Michigan fits the bill as well this week.
Frank Costanza
Co-Inventor of the Man's Bra
I don't have any reason, from coaching all the way down to personnel, to support USF in any fashion. And especially the former as Strong's coaching just keeps seems to be getting worse by the day.
And I may have missed it above but I love Colorado as a home dog.
And I may have missed it above but I love Colorado as a home dog.
booksbestfriend
On Johnny's Shitlist
Read that they relocated practice due to storm. Still, it is KU.
I suppose it could remove distractions or cause concern for family. I dont see CC recruiting nationally.
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D-Woww
Old Man Dan
Really?? I was thinking of playing wake ml in my $100 to 5k thread. You really think Rice has a chance?
M.W.
Parties like it's 1979
They let me down last week, a bit (thumbs down to the PK and to the HC who tried to run out the clock while Rice was losing!), as I had the moneyline in addition to a much bigger bet on the side. Once again they find themselves the beneficiary of a spot that has their opponent looking ahead.
I might give it another try.
I'm already on SDSU, Stan, and BYU ML.
bones
We Must Protect Our Democracy
Rice's kicker 0 for 2 and they were essentially chip shots. 28 yds or so if I recall correctly
Rice hung close in many games last year before faltering late. They also turned the ball over an insane amount. They played so many freshmen and different lineups it was nuts.
This year they are still young but experienced. They also brought in several grad transfers.
I think they will try to control clock. I've read their offensive line is improved and they have solid running backs.
Wakes D is nothing special so if Rice can control clock with the run and not turn the ball over multiple times I think it'll be very close.
Wake spanked em last year. 2 defensive TD. And they have UNC next week...possible lookahead.
bones
We Must Protect Our Democracy
It is a wonderful old stadium - sadly, there are often just a few thousand in their seats. The student body kinda makes an appearance, many times to see the band. Too bad b/c the stadium sits right there on the campus
Fondybadger
CTG Partner
See the Big 10 Week 2 thread where this game has been discussed
Two Utes
Manual Toothbrushes FTW
Costello may play?
spooks
You Can't Make This Up
Ohio and Colorado looks live...
NC ATT&T +27.5 pts & +2200 ML is a long shot. They play at Duke, but they’re tough. Last 3 years, they’ve beaten FBS teams OTR. Their D holds teams to under 30 pts. They gave up 23pts to East Carolina last year and still won the game. They’ve had a 1000 yard rusher for the last six seasons.
They may also get blown out....
NC ATT&T +27.5 pts & +2200 ML is a long shot. They play at Duke, but they’re tough. Last 3 years, they’ve beaten FBS teams OTR. Their D holds teams to under 30 pts. They gave up 23pts to East Carolina last year and still won the game. They’ve had a 1000 yard rusher for the last six seasons.
They may also get blown out....
Two Utes
Manual Toothbrushes FTW
Saw that last night. That game is a crap shoot with two unknowns at QB.
JROCK1966
Big Blue Nation
Stoops and his staff have built this Ky team to the point they will avoid these types of upsets. Our depth on both lines is pretty stout. Still, my biggest worry is we have The Gators on deck next week in what is sure to be a huge emotional game. We play lights out in the 2nd half. If you must, I think the best bet is 1st half ML to take advantage of any potential slow start/look ahead situation. But Ky will win this game.
spooks
You Can't Make This Up
Going back to FCS dogs....
Furman +7.5 & +210ML @ Georgia St.....who is coming off their biggest upset in school history.
Players on messages boards are giving Furman respect and saying the Paladins will be tougher than the Vols. Furman plays uptempo, shuffling personal in/out. On paper, Furman is the bigger team in the trenches, they like to run the option and has a plethora of RB/FB than can run, catch and block. And if this game is close, the have a kicker than can nail from 60yrds. Grayson Atkins has hit 12 straight FG, not to mention handles all the other kicking duties. Furman plays V-Tech in week 3, so they can either go 1-2 or 2-1.....or maybe 3-0 ha!
Maine +9.5 & +260ML @ Georgia Southern....who let LSU pass all over them
Maine has a nice air raid attack. QB Chris Ferguson is a returning JR, where he threw for 2,300+yrds & 22 TD ly. He also has 2 WR that are also returning in Jaquan Blair & Earnest Edwards, both are combined for 96 catches, 1411 yards, 15 TDs. Their O-line is very talented, but lost a 1000yrd rusher from last season. They do have 2 solid RBs, that can pick up the slack. Emmanuel Reed (RB) came from Buffalo. Maine led the FCS is rush D, allowing 79.2 yards/game and ranked 4th in the nation with 3.36 sacks/gm. Maine is known for their defense and brings back a lot of experienced players.
Furman +7.5 & +210ML @ Georgia St.....who is coming off their biggest upset in school history.
Players on messages boards are giving Furman respect and saying the Paladins will be tougher than the Vols. Furman plays uptempo, shuffling personal in/out. On paper, Furman is the bigger team in the trenches, they like to run the option and has a plethora of RB/FB than can run, catch and block. And if this game is close, the have a kicker than can nail from 60yrds. Grayson Atkins has hit 12 straight FG, not to mention handles all the other kicking duties. Furman plays V-Tech in week 3, so they can either go 1-2 or 2-1.....or maybe 3-0 ha!
Maine +9.5 & +260ML @ Georgia Southern....who let LSU pass all over them
Maine has a nice air raid attack. QB Chris Ferguson is a returning JR, where he threw for 2,300+yrds & 22 TD ly. He also has 2 WR that are also returning in Jaquan Blair & Earnest Edwards, both are combined for 96 catches, 1411 yards, 15 TDs. Their O-line is very talented, but lost a 1000yrd rusher from last season. They do have 2 solid RBs, that can pick up the slack. Emmanuel Reed (RB) came from Buffalo. Maine led the FCS is rush D, allowing 79.2 yards/game and ranked 4th in the nation with 3.36 sacks/gm. Maine is known for their defense and brings back a lot of experienced players.
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s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
Most of the key players from that ODU team are gone.
Brewers888
Potential 2028 V.P. Selection
Shaw is better than Helton but I wouldn’t call him a good coach.
s--k
Goodbye to Romance College Football
Yeah I don't love it, but will be on EMU plus the pts.
Two Utes
Manual Toothbrushes FTW
I'm considering it.
JROCK1966
Big Blue Nation
There are 4 dogs playing tomorrow that all had better playing QBs, defenses, and won the turnover battle their first week. Granted strength of schedule is obviously in play here but what do you guys think of the chances of these 4? Texas A&M, Tulane, N. Illinois, and Southern Miss?
