Someone talked to me about the Minny game and I'll listen. Leaning Home Team in that one.
I'm interested to hear your thoughts as well.
I was generally disappointed with Minnesota game 1. I knew South Dakota St would be quality test, but did figure Min would have enough to win by 10-20 and not be threatened at the end. I thought that Min D could control action vs the new SDSt QB and Min run O would be the best unit on the field doing well to open up the passing game. Instead SDSt outrushed them and Min needed a turnover late on a short field for a come-from-behind win. That was with a gift pick-six the Gophers got. Without that critical INT and then the late game SDSt fumble Min would likely be 0-1.
I expect the going to be tough agin this week, Min isn't going to face any less of a D here. I might expect Min D to be good enough to limit or force some mistakes out of the Fresno QB, which they did last week getting that pick-six, but it still almost wasn't enough.
Unfortunately I fell asleep and didn't see the second half of the Fresno-SC game. But it appears that Fresno was up for the challenge. They did trail 14-0 and 31-13 before rallying and they essentially were going against SC's 3rd string QB (Daniels out Sears transfer). Each team had lots of turnovers, so I'm not sure I can make a case one team hurt themselves more than the other.
I guess I lean Fresno. Min likely presents less of a challenge for Fresno everywhere expect at QB (Morgan vs Slovis I suppose is edge Min). Fresno only faced a worthy QB for 1.5 qrts and while Min WRs aren't what USC has, the Min bunch is pretty good, they went underutilized last week with just 18 pass attempts. What will Fleck and Co do...trust Morgan to throw it around or lean on a bevy of good RB to control the game and limit potential passing game misques?
Thinking back to last year's game, trouble is I also believe that Min is better right now than they were week 2 2018 when these two met and I am still of the opinion that Fresno right now is not as good as Fresno was week 2 '18. That doesn't mean Fresno can't win, I just think on balance Min is the better team. Better team doesn't always win. Tough late night kick in a tough place to play here.
Tedford is 11-1 at home with the only loss being the fluke upset by UNLV 2017 (Fresno was 21pt fav). Fleck surprisingly is just 2-8 in true road games which includes losses to ILL, Mary, Pur and NW...teams they should matchup and fair better vs.
I was high on Minnesota this year being a tough out for teams and more likely to win 8 games or more than not. After week 1 I am wondering about that.
I don't have a side I planning on right now, but wanted to offer up something. Maybe we'll get some more takes on it.