WEEK 18

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
3.15/3 LIONS -3½ -105
4/3.81 49ers u50 -105

SEASON [187-203 -89.48u]
WEEK 17 [12-14 -11.01u]
LAST [1-1 -1.00u]

WEEK 18​

SATURDAY​

• 4/3.64 1H-RAVENS -12½ -110
• 5/5.00 RAVENS u41 +100

randoms...

FAVS 33-15 68.8% ATS L3 WEEKS (WK 15-17)​

ROAD TEAMS 128-119 51.8% ATS 2024​

ROAD FAVS 56-42-3 57.1% ATS 2024​

ROAD FAVS -2 to -6 PTS 44-24 63.1% ATS 2024​

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NFL Week 18 Betting Spots​

Playoff Motivation:

• Broncos will want to beat the Chiefs to make the playoffs.
• Dolphins will want to beat the Jets, hoping to get in if the Broncos lose.
• The Bengals will want to beat the Steelers in hopes that the Broncos and the Dolphins lose.
• Bucs will want to beat the Saints to get in the playoffs.
• Falcons will want to beat the Panthers in hopes that the Bucs lose to get in the playoffs.
• The Ravens will want to secure the division with a win, hosting Cleveland.
• Steelers may be motived to at least get the 5 seed if not the Division if the Ravens lose.
• Washington will want to avoid @ the Eagles in round 1 with a win at the Cowboys.
• Vikings and Lions are playing for the number 1 seed, the division, and a bye in the playoffs!
• If the Steelers lose, you will get full effort from the Chargers to help their seeding. Maybe bet Chargers

Spoiler teams:

• Jets hosting the Dolphins
• Saints at the Buccaneers
• Panthers at the Falcons
• Steelers hosting the Bengals. The Steelers also will want the 5 seed, if not the Division.
• Browns could technically hurt Ravens division and seed.
• Cowboys could hurt the Commander's seed.

Teams that can’t improve their seed much or at all and should not be motivated:

• Chiefs at the Broncos.
• Bills at the Patriots (will Patriots want to lose the number 1 pick?)
• Packers hosting the Bears. The Packers could technically move to the 6 from 7, but Washington has to lose.
• Texans are locked into the 4 seed at the Titans. They will put starters out for a while.
• The Eagles are locked into the 2 seed, hosting the Giants.
• Rams are locked into the three or 4 spot, and it might be better to play the Commanders over the Packers, so they should not care.
• If the Steelers win on Saturday, you might not get a big effort from the Chargers at the Raiders. Prepare to bet Raiders.

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

Adds...

• 4/3.81 STEELERS +2½ -105
• 4/4.00 BENGALS o48½ -105

 

[mrpickem]

WEEK 18
SATURDAY
4/3.64 1H-RAVENS -12½ -110
5/5.00 RAVENS u41 +100
4/3.81 STEELERS +2½ -105
4/4.00 BENGALS o48½ -105

SEASON [188-206 -98.67u]
WEEK 18 [1-3 -9.19u]
LAST [1-3 -9.19u]

SUNDAY​

1PM

• 5/4.76 BUCCANEERS U45 -105
• 5/4.76 PATRIOTS +3½ -105
• 8/7.62 PACKERS -9½ -105
• 5/4.55 JAGUARS +3½ -110
• 5/4.76 COLTS U44½ -105
• 5/4.76 PANTHERS +8½ -105
• 5/4.76 COWBOYS +7 -105
• 5/4.76 COWBOYS U44 -105
• 7/6.67 TEXANS +1½ -105
• 5/4.63 TITANS U36½ -108

 

[mrpickem]

 

[mrpickem]

In SDQL history, or since 1990 in the final week of the season, home teams with less than 70% wins, in closely lined games -3 to +4 have cashed 62% ATS including 14-5 over the last 5 years. I still cannot back the Jets, but I've seen several people on them.

 

[mrpickem]

4PM

• 5/4.76 DOLPHINS +1½ -105
• 5/4.76 JETS U38½ -105
• 5/4.63 BRONCOS U40 -108
• 5/4.55 RAIDERS +7 -110
• 5/4.76 RAIDERS U42 -105
• 5/4.95 RAMS +7 -101
• 7/6.36 49ERS +5 -110
• 5/5.00 CARDINALS U42½ +100

 

[mrpickem]

Biggest game of the year(reg season) and it's the last game. I can't say I ever remember this happening in my ~50 years watching the NFL.

• 2/2.70 VIKINGS +135
• 4/3.51 VIKINGS +3 -114
• 5/4.76 LIONS U57 -105

 

[mrpickem]

That's a wrap on another craptastic year for me, at least the regular season is one. 2024 saw me get killed on football(NFL and CFB) and bases. Made money on UFC and hoops, although only about 16% of losses. Both UFC and hoops money was made in the first 4-5 months of 2024 as the 2nd half has been a shit-show across the board. Oh well, I do still enjoy it, lol, and I'm not broke yet...so plenty more to come!


WEEK 18
SATURDAY
4/3.64 1H-RAVENS -12½ -110
5/5.00 RAVENS u41 +100
4/3.81 STEELERS +2½ -105
4/4.00 BENGALS o48½ -105

SUNDAY
5/4.76 BUCCANEERS U45 -105
5/4.76 PATRIOTS +3½ -105
8/7.62 PACKERS -9½ -105
5/4.55 JAGUARS +3½ -110
5/4.76 COLTS U44½ -105
5/4.76 PANTHERS +8½ -105
5/4.76 COWBOYS +7 -105
5/4.76 COWBOYS U44 -105
7/6.67 TEXANS +1½ -105
5/4.63 TITANS U36½ -108

5/4.76 DOLPHINS +1½ -105
5/4.76 JETS U38½ -105
5/4.63 BRONCOS U40 -108
5/4.55 RAIDERS +7 -110
5/4.76 RAIDERS U42 -105
5/4.95 RAMS +7 -101
7/6.36 49ERS +5 -110
5/5.00 CARDINALS U42½ +100

2/2.70 VIKINGS +135
4/3.51 VIKINGS +3 -114
5/4.76 LIONS U57 -105





Baltimore set the record for most yards per play for a season with 7.1 yards per play, besting the 2000 Kurt Warner Rams aka the "Greatest Show or Turf". The Ravens also unseated the '63 Jim Brown led Browns for the most rushing yards per attempt at 5.8. Don't sleep on the Ravens, they have enough offense to outscore any team. Also, the Panthers set the record for most points allowed in history, allowing 534 points, but they did get an extra game to do it since they now haw a 17 game regular season.

randoms...

FAVS WEEK 18: SU 12-4 ATS 7-9 TOTALS 11-5​

ROAD TEAMS 134-129 51.0% ATS 2024​

TOTALS 141-122-4 53.6% TO OVER 2024​

ROAD FAVS 57-46-3 55.3% ATS 2024​

ROAD FAVS -2 to -6 PTS 44-26 62.9% ATS 2024​

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Random picks off the web, likely better chance(s) than mine. ​

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