WEEK 18 🏁

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
MONDAY
βœ…5/4.38 ATL +7' -115
βœ…8/6.96 ATL o50 -115
βœ…5/3.85 TEAS.(ATL +14' & o43) 7-Pt

WEEK 17:[20-17 +16.40u]
LAST : [3-0 +15.19u]

SATURDAY
  • 5/4.55 CAR +3 -110
  • 7/6.86 CAR o43' -102
  • 5/4.81 SEA -2' -104
  • 8/7.69 SEA o47' -104
  • 5/3.85 TEAS.(CAR +10, SEA +4') 7-Pt
  • 3.30/3 TEAS.(CAR +13 & o33', SEA +7' & o37') 10-Pt
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randoms...
  • PRIMETIME DOGS 13-4 76.5% ATS LAST 4 WEEKS (38-27 58.5% THIS SEASON)
  • DOGS ARE 31-24 56.4% AT NIGHT THIS SEASON(AFTER 7PM START)..9-3-1 L14
  • DOGS 78-55 58.7% ATS L9 WEEKS OR AFTER WEEK 8 (132-121 52.2% FOR THE YEAR)
  • TEAMS AWAY AND OFF SU/ATS WIN 12-2-1 85.7% ATS LAST 2 WEEKS
  • TOP RANKED TEAMS 2025:
    • ATS COVERS: SEA/NE/RAMS/SF 11-5, JAX 10-5-1, CHI/PHI 10-6
    • OVERS: DAL 12-4, DET/NE/SF/NYG/TEN/NYJ/BAL 10-6
    • UNDERS: KAN 12-4, NO/HOU 11-5, PHI 10-6, LAC,CAR,DEN 9-7
    • AVERAGE SCORING MARGIN: SEA 11.3, RAMS 9.7, NE 8.9, JAX 6.5, HOU 6.3
    • RUSH PER PLAY: BAL 5.26, BUF 4.97, CHI 4.91, MIA 4.87, WAS 4.85
    • PASS PER PLAY: NE 8.43, SEA 8.12, LAR 7.72, GB 7.58, DET 7.39
    • RUSH DEF P/PLAY: SEA 3.72, DEN 3.79, IND 3.84, LV 3.90, JAX 3.94, MIN 4.01
    • PASS DEF P/PLAY: SEA 5.54, DEN 5.61, HOU 5.65, CLE 5.85, BUF 5.92
    • SACKS: DEN 64, ATL 53, CLE 51, DET 48, HOU 46, MIN/PIT 45
    • FEWEST QB SACKS: DEN 19, LAR/ATL 22, CHI 23, SF 24, SEA/GB 25
    • 3D%: SF .510, GB .503, LAC .468, BUF .447, CIN .433, CHI .431, NE .426
    • 3D% ALLOWED: SEA .324, DEN .336, NO .347, HOU .350, MIN .351, LAC .353
  • PRIMETIME last 7 years:
    • MOST GAMES: DAL/KAN 53, GB 47, PIT 44, BAL/PHI 42
    • FEWEST GAMES: JAX 11, CAR 12, ARI 17, ATL/IND 20
  • 1767447223973.png
Bit of an unusual scenario today with SEA/SF game to decide both division winner as well as the #1 seed...with the winner getting both. The Niners prolific offense for all it's greatness, only averages 3.76 yards per rush attemps(3rd lowest in NFL) while the Seahawks lead the NFL in lowest yards per carry allowed at 3.72. That may throw a bit of a wrench in Purdy and company plans...

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MODEL HAS NO PLAYS TODAY

TOP 10 TEAMS THIS YEAR FOR PERFORMANCE OVER PROJECTED

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BE PREPARED, BECAUSE WE ALL KNOW WHAT THE FINAL WEEK OF THE REGULAR SEASON NFL CAN BRING πŸ’©πŸ˜΅β€πŸ’«
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.
 
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SATURDAY
βœ…5/4.55 CAR +3 -110
❌7/6.86 CAR o43' -102
βœ…5/4.81 SEA -2' -104
❌8/7.69 SEA o47' -104
βœ…5/3.85 TEAS.(CAR +10, SEA +4') 7-Pt
❌3.30/3 TEAS.(CAR +13 & o33', SEA +7' & o37') 10-Pt

LAST [3-3 -5.09u]

SUNDAY
  • 5/5.00 GB +10' +100
  • 5/4.95 GB o37 -101
  • 4/3.85 IND +11 -103
  • 5/4.76 IND o39 -105
  • 4/3.70 NE -11' -108
  • 4/3.81 KAN -4' -105
  • 4/3.85 KAN o36 -103
  • 5/5.00 DET +3' +100
  • 3/2.63 DET o50 -114
  • 3/2.80 BUF -7' -107
  • 4/3.92 NYJ o37 -102
  • 3/2.86 CIN -7' -105
  • 5/4.76 NYG +3' -105
  • 3/2.86 NYG u49' -105
  • 4/3.81 PHI -4 -105
  • 4/3.81 WAS o38' -105
  • 5/4.76 NO +3' -105
  • 4/4.08 ARI +13' +102
  • 4/3.88 ARI o47' -103
  • 3/2.73 LAC +14' -110
  • 3/2.86 LAC o37' -105
  • 5/4.76 TEN +13' -105
  • 6/5.26 PIT +4 -114
  • 3/2.86 BAL o40' -105
  • 4/5.40 TEAS.(NO +10' & u50', PIT +10') 7-Pt
  • 4/5.24 TEAS.(BUF -1, PIT +10' & o33') 7-Pt
  • 4/7.20 TEAS.(MIN PK, NO +13', ATL u53'. DET o40', BAL o30') 10-Pt
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randoms...

DOGS 79-56 58.5% ATS L9 WEEKS OR AFTER WEEK 8 (132-121 52.2% FOR THE YEAR)

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SINCE AUG 2007 TOMLIN'S BEEN THE MAN IN PIT, DOES IT END TONIGHT??

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LINES SIGNIFICANTLY SKEWED TODAY BASED ON FINAL WEEK, NEEDS, ETC...
BUT MODEL LIKES A LOT: GB IND MIN DET BUF PIT NYG PHI LAC TEN
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