WEEK 15

[bookieassassin]

few up at MB - all small for now

Oregon -2' W
Tulane -4 L
Clemson +3 /ML W

smaller

Miami P 3Q L
Iowa St +9' live L
Texas -2' 1H W

 

[B.A.R.]

I like Oregon too.

 

[Kapthat]

how is this only -2...... im on it but its just crazy

 

[HairOfTheDog]

how is this only -2...... im on it but its just crazy

Lock it in if you can still find that number. This bad boy is crossing 3.

 

[bookieassassin]

gonna post it now - working on lesser juice, now -122/3 or so - looking at BO/LV

Clemson +3

I've underrated the Ponies all year - but this looks like a VERY tall order to me - HUGE crowd edge for Clemson - SMU fans don't go to home games......


Great spot for Tulane - Army off a very tough run / QB is beat to hell / NAVY on deck.
AF - tough emotional game > @ NTX - long road trip (QB 36 rushes) > N Dame - emotional game + got beat up (QB 39 rushes) > UTSA - very tough physical game (unfortunately) QB 27 rushes. Tulane is a great road favorite, off an embarrassing loss, and lost in this same game LY, plus extra rest. They KNOW they're the best G5 team (I agree), and should want to show it here. Hoping to get a juiced 3, so saving a bit. I think we see some Army money, then late money on Tulane (Thurs/Fri)

Ducks have the coaching edge here (PSU tough on road tho). Better O/D close / ST huge edge. Line should probably be 4 at least.

 

[KJ]

Army playing at home and Tulane off the emotional letdown of the year, man I disagree there regardless of Navy on deck. Got it small at +4.5 but still thinking about ML.

Agree Oregon

No opinion ACC

Took a little Jax St for absolute situational advantage at -140 and wanted to see how the line went. Whoops on that one, was -2.5 at the time

GL mate!

 

[Wolfeman]

I had Ducks -6….consistency is the difference to me. Agree on SMU’s dream season crashing down….and I especially like the Green Wave! Mensah floated some ducks out there, let’s hope my dude bounces back. Or even better they get the lead early and pound that run game…debacle last week. GL brotha, it’s your time of year. Pound em like Poi….one thing to note this Tulane/Army championship game is at West Point.

I snagged Texas -2 (-115)

 

[Rusty Trombone]

What are we doing with Iowa St/ASU? Iowa St kinda backed into this game.....Rocco Becht good enough to lead them to a Big 12 title over Skattaboo and crew?

 

[satnightfever05]

What are we doing with Iowa St/ASU? Iowa St kinda backed into this game.....Rocco Becht good enough to lead them to a Big 12 title over Skattaboo and crew?

ASU’s best WR is out. Will make it tougher to throw it. Lean ISU

 

[PappyOSU]

good luck man. thanks for your input as always

 

[Wolfeman]

Hearing weather could be an issue in Army game..

 

[bookieassassin]

Miami P 3Q

strong 2H / 3Q team

 

[bookieassassin]

sorry boys busy / senile type week.........

plus I hate this week anyway
>> VOTING who's best talk - best win? - best loss???? - sitting around like a buncha housewives instead of just playing the game ffs - best spot? maybe the 5th seed (need to reseed) - LOSER STILL advances (WUT) - these games the winner should advance ...... to something (G5 needs 'own' title) -

Lean

Iowa St 2H
Texas - Horns come in with the EDGE - Dawgs can get their ass kicked here and STILL (maybe) win the national title (ultimate goal anyway)..... SEC title + revenge huge for Texas
ULL

 

[bookieassassin]

What are we doing with Iowa St/ASU? Iowa St kinda backed into this game.....Rocco Becht good enough to lead them to a Big 12 title over Skattaboo and crew?

Much better 2H team - looking to play them there - ASU better 1H

Just a strong lean for me - ASU really an underrated team

 

[bookieassassin]

Hearing weather could be an issue in Army game..

that was my favorite play .......ha

Wonder if HC has been looking for another job? Players hearing he's interviewing may explain this late collapse .....?

 

[bookieassassin]

added

Iowa St +9'

+115 at Heritage

 

[bookieassassin]

Texas -2' 1H

too funny, Georgia stinks so bad 1Q/1H - the line is the same (-105 /-110)

 

[bookieassassin]

$$$ NOTE

Regarding live/2H plays ......

In bowls almost always (LY not so much) - and this week :

A TEAM IS READY TO PLAY - and shows it from the start - OR THEY AIN'T
>> a team almost never comes back 2H to win, or even cover - the team in the lead either extends the margin, or 2H mirrors the 1H

2023 (10 games) - only twice did a team come back/play hard 2H to close the gap - neither won the game
* Wash up 20-10 1H vs Oregon / Ducks won 2H 21-14
* Bama up 17-7 over Ga / Ga won 2H 17-10

2024 - so far only UNLV has competed 2H - Boise 21-0 1H / 2H Rebels 7-0


$ Another 'rule' regarding bowl/ championship week comebacks -
* Very rare in early bowls - the more meaningful the game, the greater shot a team 'finds itself' in-game.
* IF a team has a dominant player, esp at QB - playing his LAST game especially- watchout
>> eg. IF Zona State, or Boise was down - with AJ, CS I wouldn't fade the comeback