Week 14

TreyDawg

TreyDawg

Pretty much a regular
Sides: 42-45 -23.41u
Totals: 3-2 +3.30u
ML: 27-37 -14.01u
Teaser: 32-19 +11.60u
UDMLP: 0-12 -6.00u
ML Parlay: 20-20 +6.91u
Longshot: 2-13 +26.92u
TD Player Prop: 31-56 -8.98u
Straight Player Prop: 47-50 -3.69u
Player Prop Parlay: 16-26 +0.57u
Team Total: 14-8 +10.49u

Total Overall: 234-288 +3.70u

Coulda, woulda, shoulda kind of week 13 but only down a unit overall. Almost all the leans hit of course but was busy with the holiday and spending time with the fam so won't complain. Need a big push here the last couple of weeks to get everything into the green. It's the time of year where the cream rises so let's see what we can do. Onto this week...


🏈 Week 14 🏈

Sides
Jets +3 -117 (2.92/2.5)
Redskins +2 -115 (2.87/2.5)
Texans +3.5 -123 (3.07/2.5)
Seahawks -6.5 -119 (2.38/2)
Jags +1.5 -110 (2.2/2)
Browns -3.5 -115 (2.3/2)
Bills -5.5 -120 (2.4/2)

Totals


ML
Jets +130 (2/2.6)
Redskins +112 (2/2.24)
Texans +165 (1/1.65)
Jags +130 (1/1.3)
Eagles -146 (2.92/2)

Teaser
3 Team 10pt Tease -130 (1.3/1 each)
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Redskins +8.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Jets +12.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Jags +11.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Bills +4
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Bears +16.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Texans +13.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Eagles +7.5

UDMLP
Redskins +112/Jets +130/Texans +165 +1192 (.5/5.96)

ML Parlay
Seahawks -370/Bucs -450/Rams -400 -106 (2.12/2)
Bucs -450/Rams -400/Eagles -150 +155 (2/3.10)
Browns -200/Seahawks -345/Rams -450 +136 (2/2.72)
Bucs-430/Rams -450/Bills -275 +105 (2/2.10)

Longshot
Jags ML/Seahawks -6.5/Jets +3.5/Texans +3.5/Bears +7.5/Eagles ML +3600 (.5/18.0)

TD Player Prop
Jakobi Meyers +190 (1/1.9)
Chris Godwin +190 (1/1.9)
Zach Charbonnet +100 (1/1.0)
Adonai Mitchell +210 (1/2.1)
Terry McLaurin +200 (1/2.0)
D’Andre Swift +179 (1/1.79)
Dalton Schultz +300 (1/3.0)
AJ Brown +170 (1/1.7)

Straight Player Prop
Myles Garrett o1.5 sacks +110 (1/1.1)
Derrick Henry o18.5 carries -106 (1.06/1)
Brenton Strange o46.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
Chris Godwin o39.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
James Cook o111.5 rush yds +116 (1/1.16)
JSN o95.5 rec yds -114 (1/1.14)
Adonai Mitchell o58.5 rec yds +122 (1/1.22)
Terry McLaurin o65.5 rec yds +131 (1/1.31)
Terry McLaurin o85.5 rec yds +250 (1/2.5)
D’Andre Swift o48.5 rush yds -110 (1.1/1)
D’Andre Swift o68.5 rush yds +179 (1/1.79)
Dalton Schultz o40.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
AJ Brown o70.5 rec yds +114 (1/1.14)

Player Prop Parlay
D Henry o17.5 carries/J Cook o81.5 rush yds +121 (1/1.21)
JSN o85.5 rec yds/McLaurin o54.5 rec yds +193 (1/1.93)

Team Total
Seahawks o26.5 -120 (1.2/1)
Bears o19.5 -120 (1.2/1)


🍀 GL This Week 🍀
 
Last edited:
Redskins thoughts....

Well this is it really. The last winnable game (without something crazy happening) left on the schedule. You might think that next week at NY is winnable but it's not, especially if Dart is on the field. So imo this is the one and from the looks of it Sunday night there isn't anyone on the Redskins side that's packed it in yet. There's more than a few guys playing for something (a roster spot, a contract, etc) even if it's not the playoffs and I'm hearing there's a possibility JD5 makes a return. As much as I absolutely hate to hear that. If it's confirmed he's coming back I think the line will flip so grabbing the + money before the announcement and will be ok with Mariota if they keep Daniels on the shelf another week. DQ has the defense playing better since he took over calling the plays and I'm not sure there's a QB on the Vikings roster that scares me too much here. I liked their approach against the Denver defense and that's something they can do again this week to move the ball. The RBs will run hard since they're all playing for a roster spot really.

Now there is some pause coming off the OT game and now going on the road. But man the Vikings QB room is on the struggle bus so I'll call it a wash and not sure any of their QBs can move the ball consistently right now. JJ seems frustrated so hopefully this isn't his get right game. lol But I'll call for one more W for my guys on the road in Minny. No stats to back it up, no fancy trends, just a gut feel and a fade of Minnesota QBs.

Wash 23 Min 13
 
Daniels back in action Sunday. Stupid as hell. Like what do we even have to gain bringing him back after 4 injuries this year? Totally asking for a disaster and bringing the worst-case scenario into play here being a long-term injury in a lost season. I again hope I'm wrong and he's able to play injury free the rest of the year and fuck up our draft pick. That would just be awesome.

Glad I grabbed + when it was available, line has now flipped and contemplating grabbing some + on Minny
 
Seahawks -6.5 -119 (2.38/2)
Jags +1.5 -110 (2.2/2)
Browns -3.5 -115 (2.3/2)
Bills -5.5 -120 (2.4/2)

Jags +130 (1/1.3)
Eagles -146 (2.92/2)

Browns -200/Seahawks -345/Rams -450 +136 (2/2.72)
Bucs-430/Rams -450/Bills -275 +105 (2/2.10)

3 Team 10pt Tease -130 (1.3/1 each)
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Redskins +8.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Jets +12.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Jags +11.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Bills +4
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Bears +16.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Texans +13.5
Bucs +1/Rams +1/Eagles +7.5

Jags ML/Seahawks -6.5/Jets +3.5/Texans +3.5/Bears +7.5/Eagles ML +3600 (.5/18.0)
 
TD
Jakobi Meyers +190 (1/1.9)
Chris Godwin +190 (1/1/9)
Zach Charbonnet +100 (1/1)
Adonai Mitchell +210 (1/2.1)
Terry McLaurin +200 (1/2)
D’Andre Swift +179 (1/1.79)
Dalton Schultz +300 (1/3)
AJ Brown +170 (1/1.7)
 
Prop
Myles Garrett o1.5 sacks +110 (1/1.1)
Derrick Henry o18.5 carries -106 (1.06/1)
Brenton Strange o46.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
Chris Godwin o39.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
James Cook o111.5 rush yds +116 (1/1.16)
JSN o95.5 rec yds -114 (1/1.14)
Adonai Mitchell o58.5 rec yds +122 (1/1.22)
Terry McLaurin o65.5 rec yds +131 (1/1.31)
Terry McLaurin o85.5 rec yds +250 (1/2.5)
D’Andre Swift o48.5 rush yds -110 (1.1/1)
D’Andre Swift o68.5 rush yds +179 (1/1.79)
Dalton Schultz o40.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
AJ Brown o70.5 rec yds +114 (1/1.14)
 
TreyDawg said:
Prop
Myles Garrett o1.5 sacks +110 (1/1.1)
Derrick Henry o18.5 carries -106 (1.06/1)
Brenton Strange o46.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
Chris Godwin o39.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
James Cook o111.5 rush yds +116 (1/1.16)
JSN o95.5 rec yds -114 (1/1.14)
Adonai Mitchell o58.5 rec yds +122 (1/1.22)
Terry McLaurin o65.5 rec yds +131 (1/1.31)
Terry McLaurin o85.5 rec yds +250 (1/2.5)
D’Andre Swift o48.5 rush yds -110 (1.1/1)
D’Andre Swift o68.5 rush yds +179 (1/1.79)
Dalton Schultz o40.5 rec yds -114 (1.14/1)
AJ Brown o70.5 rec yds +114 (1/1.14)
Click to expand...
Plus money on MG sacks is definitely a bet.

James should "Cook".

Swift is hard for me. Last time out he was incredible and both RBs had plenty of touches.

The game before he had a handful of runs in the 1st quarter and maybe 1 after that? At one point in that Steelers game the Bears passed 23 straight times between the 2nd and 3rd quarter in a one score game.

I know Ben and I know he can stray from the run game at times even when it's cooking. Yes, that might not be the right critique after the Eagles game but it bears watching.
 
B.A.R. said:
Plus money on MG sacks is definitely a bet.

James should "Cook".

Swift is hard for me. Last time out he was incredible and both RBs had plenty of touches.

The game before he had a handful of runs in the 1st quarter and maybe 1 after that? At one point in that Steelers game the Bears passed 23 straight times between the 2nd and 3rd quarter in a one score game.

I know Ben and I know he can stray from the run game at times even when it's cooking. Yes, that might not be the right critique after the Eagles game but it bears watching.
Click to expand...
MG within range of breaking the record on any given weekend. What better weekend than this one?

Gonna have a prop parlay with Cook too. Bengals run defense is awful and it’s what Buffalo does best. 2+2 =4 hopefully

Swift is a boom or bust kinda play. That’s how they win this game, dominate on the ground. Can’t put it in Caleb’s hands and let him drop back 50 times. Gonna be cold af tomorrow in GB. Give it to the RBs for the heavy lifting, and I think Swift breaks a long one this weekend. Might be tough sledding against the GB defense but it only takes one long ish one really to get these in range
 
Prop Parlays
D Henry o17.5 carries/J Cook o81.5 rush yds +121 (1/1.21)
JSN o85.5 rec yds/McLaurin o54.5 rec yds +193 (1/1.93)
 
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