WEEK 13

[bookieassassin]

one unit

UTSA -16' W
Ole Miss -9'/10 L


smaller

Kansas +3 W
UCLA +6. T
NCST +9 W
Kentucky +21 W
Mizzou/Miss St over 57 W
Troy +10' L
Virginia +10 L


small

Cal -12' L
NIU +3 L
App St +7' W
La Tech +22 W
EMU +0.5 2H' W
Sparty -7 1H W


tiny
Akron -3 1Q T
WMU -2' 2Q L
WMU/CMU 1H over 27' L
Indy +3' 1Q W
Ohio St -2' 3Q W
Col St +0.5 1Q W
SDSU +2 2Q L
UConn +3' 2H W


leans

Indy/OSU 1H under
Miss St
Army
ULM
LSU
Neb
Auburn
WKU
NW
UCONN

 

[B.A.R.]

Let's finish strong BA.

 

[satnightfever05]

Yes Kansas.
Yes UCLA- waited too long and missed the 6. Hope it comes back

 

[satnightfever05]

Also like short numbers with Nebraska and Fresno to clinch bowls. And Air Force

 

[bookieassassin]

adding

Ole Miss -10

*this one likely closes closer to 12/13 - off bye / Gators off huge W - Rebels need impressive wins to (lessen the chance) they get screwed - Kiffin will push it till final whistle.

Best deal at BO/LV - 9' available at -122 or so

 

[bookieassassin]

tiny / action plays .....

Akron -3 1Q
WMU -2' 2Q
WMU/CMU 1H over 27'

Zips are a decent 1Q/1H team - weaker 2Q / Flashes are extra terrible early ...... rare successes happen when opponent falls asleep - maybe KSU 2H lean + over 2H
WMU strong 2Q/ CMU weak - both solid 1H over teams

 

[bookieassassin]

Also like short numbers with Nebraska and Fresno to clinch bowls. And Air Force

That CSU/FU game interesting - didya know that CSU is in the MTW title game if they win out wtf? (Utah St next week)
>> here's what's gonna happen > CSU wins here / UCLA beats USC ...... THEN Fresno beats UCLA to get win #6 .........

Ha - I'll probably stay away - might do a deep dive, but I'm sure it will show that CSU has serious flaws - terrible at finishing drives on D especially

Might play Nebraska ML or live - those dogs have cost me too much $ this year - staring at AF as number drops .......

 

[bookieassassin]

bumped up Ole Miss at 9' (-116 at LV / -120 at BO)

added

La Tech +22
Kentucky +21
Troy +10'
Mizzou/Miss St over 57



Hogs are terrible in this spot - LT stinks, but playing much better with QB switch, D is actually not too bad - locked in at 22 small - waiting to see how high this goes

Horns have played well in this spot (old Horns would get smashed here) - but in @ Arkansas/A&M sammich? Cats are very capable of uglying this one up, and have been working on this one for 2 weeks (scrimmage LW vs FCS)

Troy playing much better lately, and are tough as hell on SB road (going back to former HC mostly yes) - ULL QB is out / off a loss

Miss St is off bye, and has stayed (relatively) close in this spot ..... nasty spot for Mizzou - off bubble-bursting loss at SCaro (wrong probably but were thinking play-off), with Ole Miss on deck. The handicap here is that Mizzou D will lose focus on the road, off tough loss - Miss St should move the ball, plus their D is terrible. Lean Miss St - looking for 8/9.

 

[Rusty Trombone]

Thoughts on Indiana/Ohio St U52? I can't see many explosive plays as both defenses are solid.....

 

[bookieassassin]

Thoughts on Indiana/Ohio St U52? I can't see many explosive plays as both defenses are solid.....

Man I have no idea what to do with that one - damn sure ain't betting against Indy .....

GTTH I would say Indy stays close for 3 quarters or so - Buckeyes pull away late. Under is maybe the best play currently - Indy D is extra tough early - 1Q they give up nothing - I might like 1H under better?

 

[CPA-hole]

That CSU/FU game interesting - didya know that CSU is in the MTW title game if they win out wtf? (Utah St next week)
>> here's what's gonna happen > CSU wins here / UCLA beats USC ...... THEN Fresno beats UCLA to get win #6 .........

Ha - I'll probably stay away - might do a deep dive, but I'm sure it will show that CSU has serious flaws - terrible at finishing drives on D especially

Might play Nebraska ML or live - those dogs have cost me too much $ this year - staring at AF as number drops .......

Yes. CSU benefitted from playing neither UNLV or Boise. Hopefully Fresno takes care of them, so we can get a UNLV/Boise rematch.

Csu isn't much, but Fresno is Jekyll and Hyde.

 

[bookieassassin]

small play

EMU + 0.5 2H

shocked if they don't at least compete here
> ice cold on MACtion weekday stuff .....

 

[PRIMETIMEE21]

small play

EMU + 0.5 2H

shocked if they don't at least compete here
> ice cold on MACtion weekday stuff .....

Nice work my friend!

 

[bookieassassin]

added

Virginia +10
Sparty -7 1H


Had the Cavs circled here since this summer - great dog/Ponies vulnerable on road - late season pressure (IMO)

Tough to lay that many with Sparty (esp since I had them LW) - the 13' probably works tho - Boilers are extra terrible 1Q/1H - Sparty is much better early, tend to fade late

 

[Wolfeman]

Was going to ask you about the Cavs…. You usually have a great read on Franklin, too many points at Gophers?

GL smash this weekend

 

[satnightfever05]

Talk to me about BC now only getting 2.5 at home to get bowl eligible. UNC extra trashy on the road.

 

[B.A.R.]

Talk to me about BC now only getting 2.5 at home to get bowl eligible. UNC extra trashy on the road.

Not BA but I see why they wanted to run QB1 out of town.

I like the new kid.

BC TT on my radar, weather dependant.

 

[Rusty Trombone]

Weather looks ugly for BC/UNC.....55 pretty lofty number with some decent winds and possible precipitation....

 

[satnightfever05]

Not BA but I see why they wanted to run QB1 out of town.

I like the new kid.

BC TT on my radar, weather dependant.

Yep not sure there’s a real drop off. Played smu to a draw essentially. First downs and yards about the same. Good spot imo for them to grab a bowl spot

 

[bookieassassin]

Was going to ask you about the Cavs…. You usually have a great read on Franklin, too many points at Gophers?

GL smash this weekend

MAYBE so .......

Minny the 'obvious' play for sure - but this one presents serious BIG PICTURE issues
>> covering machine James Franklin - whose teams play tough in November ...... vs PJ - his teams stink late in the year - (coaching style wear his team down?)

Great spot for Minny tho- off a loss and bye, where PJ is great off both. I definitely wouldn't risk much hard earned cash betting against JF here.

 

[bookieassassin]

Talk to me about BC now only getting 2.5 at home to get bowl eligible. UNC extra trashy on the road.

man I have no idea how UNC is gonna play here ...... no show, or does Hampton run for 300 / they roll? - lean BC maybe but that's it

 

[PRIMETIMEE21]

Play Of The Day takes place this afternoon in Arrowhead Stadium, and that play is the Colorado Buffalos -2.5!

 

[HairOfTheDog]

Play Of The Day takes place this afternoon in Arrowhead Stadium, and that play is the Colorado Buffalos -2.5!

Make your own thread slapdick.

 

[bookieassassin]

Play Of The Day takes place this afternoon in Arrowhead Stadium, and that play is the Colorado Buffalos -2.5!

KISS OF DEATH

>> My own record (at times/often lately) might be total crap - but the record of guys challenging my picks in my own thread, is horrible over the years - Buffs have no shot (NOW) haha

TBH - I didn't do a deep dive here - my plan is to bet Kansas rest of the way - their running game will be extremely tough to stop - secondary matches up well vs Buffs - not fading Deion in anyway, they're legit. BOL

 

[bookieassassin]

added a few quarter plays - like that Col St 1Q especially - SDSU 2Q not bad - for some reason Utah State D doesn't even bother to go on the field 2Q - DC getting abused early in games.....BOL today boys

 

[PRIMETIMEE21]

Make your own thread slapdick.

Thank you for your contribution as I am sure it will get us all to the pay window! You are also so hilarious you might consider getting a job on a comedian tour as you would sell out all the venues with your humor! Lastly quiet down or I will have a call my friend BigQueenQH on your arse, as your career as a future comedian will be all but over! I play the Buffalos every week so there you have it!

 

[bookieassassin]

added

UConn +3' 2H

McCord might pass for 750 yards but Huskies should stay close ha / great 2h team - the Cuse have better things to do - Miami on deck

 

[B.A.R.]

added

UConn +3' 2H

McCord might pass for 750 yards but Huskies should stay close ha / great 2h team - the Cuse have better things to do - Miami on deck

GL BA.

Yup. Big game on deck, pretty excited for that one.

 

[B.A.R.]

Other guys in this thread, chill please.

 

[Wolfeman]

Great start Book!!

 

[Wolfeman]

Penn st -6 per your analysis… mahalo BA let’s gooo Franklin

 

[Wolfeman]

TREMENDO DAY

 

[B.A.R.]

TREMENDO DAY

The man, the myth the legend

 

[Kapthat]

BA da MAN!