Same story guys, let us/me know of injuries/mistakes/etc. And do know my quick thoughts are without salary/snap info at the moment.
IND/HOU
IND DVOA Matchup is great vs RB D, bad vs P D.
HOU DVOA Matchup is good vs P D, bad vs RB D.
Pace of play is 14th (out of 14). O/U is T-9th out of remaining 13.
Wentz has the T9th worst ASR matchup, 8th worst of main slate.
Taylor has the 3rd best ALY push. Da. Johnson? has the T-5th worst ALY matchup.
We already know we don't want many or any texans. There running situation sucks, the matchup sucks, they wont have a good push for them that sucks, the game script doesn't favor them, so that sucks, and the pace of play is last, so that sucks. If you want to take a shot with a ppr back, be my guest, but you're burning money. Taylor will end with the most rushing yards (and could be a sneaky/low owned option), he's also easily paired with cooks if you'd like, who has kind of fallen off the radar a bit.
The newer alpha in JTaylor is viable here. He's pricey, but would you be shocked if someone said a floor of 100+/2+ is reasonable? I can only talk people off of him if you're looking at gaining leverage. I also don't know how cheap some of these pivot options are (but I know we have mattisons/jamal williams of the world so I'd assume we can fit in Taylor this week pretty reasonably).
It's probably onl;y spots I'd go here, as the O/U is meh, and the pace sucks.
TBB/ATL
TBB DVOA Matchup is great vs P D, good vs RB D.
ATL DVOA Matchup is bad vs P/RB D.
Pace of play is 2nd. O/U is 1st. (Large spread = highest TT for TBB)
Brady has the 2nd best ASR matchup.
Fournette has the T-1st best ALY matchup. Patterson? has the 3rd worst ALY matchup.
Ok so we probably need to touch this game in someway. Almost like last week, but not as much of a surprise, fournette is viable here. So are Brady stacks with 1 or 2 of Godwin/Evans/Gronk.
Big O/U and a fave stack, means you have to consider a bring back. Gage has been stepping up recently (if I recall correctly), patterson can be viable but I'd rather pass. Pitts would be my 2nd option. --------- if you have 1 spot left to fill and you need a cheapie, you could dart throw the WR2/3 as they should be inexpensive.
ARI/CHI
ARI DVOA Matchup is good vs P/RB D.
CHI DVOA Matchup is meh vs RB D, and bad vs P D.
Pace of play is T-12th slowest. O/U is 3rd lowest, 2nd lowest of main slate.
Dalton? has the worst ASR matchup of the week. Kyler? has the 3rd worst.
Connor? has the 10th best ALY matchup, 7th best of the main slate.
I'm probably passing here, I don't like the pass/total. Dalton is confirmed? If so, arizona defense is definitely viable, if you want to correlate it with short yard TD king 1A Connor, I don't think thats unreasonable. The only other option, is I guess murray/hopkins are in a bad matchup, and concerns coming off injury, it could be a low owned dynamite stack/pivot. I just don't know if you need to take that risk here.
MIN/DET
MIN DVOA Matchup is great vs P D, good vs RB D.
DET DVOA Matchup is great vs RB D, meh vs P D.
Pace of play is T-10th slowest. O/U is 5th of main slate (out of 11).
Goff? has the 5th worst ASR matchup. Cousins has the best ASR Matchup.
Jam Will has the 8th best ALY matchup, 6th of main slate.
I mentioned it earlier, but both backup backs are viable here --- probably the only detriot player I'd want. I think cousins can be stacked with 1 of his alphas (probably jefferson for me). but I don't want to go overboard.
NYG/MIA
NYG DVOA Matchup is meh vs P/RB D.
MIA DVOA Matchup is great vs RB D, bad vs P D.
Pace of play is 5th, O/U is dead last.
NYG backup has the 8th worst ASR matchup, 7th of main slate.
Barkley? Has the 2nd worst ALY matchup.
full disclosure MIA is my survivor pick, and this was made when the spread was -3 and not knowing the danny dimes news. Soooo I like MIA even more! I can't get behind playing anyone in the Giants.... I guess a PPR back is viable, but I'd expect the giants typical pace to be slower (kind of hampering the 5th fastest rating of the week). You could take PPR Rookie Waddle, but Gaskin actually makes the most sense. I feel like Miami has typically had bad matchups in that area, and he has stayed afloat, and now they have a smash spot for him, could get overlooked by the cheaper options (like mentioned above), and the expensive options... so may be a nice pivot.
LAC/CIN
LAC DVOA Matchup is good vs P D, meh vs RB D.
CIN DVOA Matchup is great vs RB D, meh vs P D.
Pace of play is T-10th. O/U is .5 away from first.
Burrow has the 6th worst ASR matchup. Herbert has the 5th best.
Mixon has the T-1st best ALY matchup. Ekeler has the T-7th worst ALY matchup.
I'm torn here. The O/U is good, its supposed to be a competitive game. The glaring matchup is Mixon and I have to have a few shares, but something is telling me to pivot off here. I do think it stays under the total, but I will devote a lineup or 2 to a game stack. Think Mixon with Herbert to WR bring back.
PHI/NYJ
PHI DVOA Matchup is great vs P/RB D.
NYJ DVOA Matchup is good vs P D, meh vs RB D.
Pace of play is 3rd. O/U is T-9th.
Sanders? Has the 5th best ALY matchup, 4th of main slate.
If I remember correctly, Bo Scott may be out? If so, will they finally use Sanders at a higher rate... please?! My fantasy leagues beg for it too --- Side bar, feel like the guy averages good numbers, just doesn't get the attempts.... then he gets hurt, and these other guys get double the amount of touches.... frustrating. --- I love the pace, and I love the matchup for PHI... I think Hurts is a good solo option, I think he can be paired with his pass catchers... and I like sanders more if another back is out. They've been good at defending opposing WRs... but we have to find 1 bring back on the jets... I need to look at snaps here, especially if we want it to be the PPR back.
WAS/LVR
WAS DVOA Matchup is great vs P D, good vs RB D.
LVR DVOA Matchup is great vs P D, bad vs RB D.
Pace of play is T-6th. O/U is 3rd.
Carr has the 10th best ASR matchup, 8th of main slate.
Jacobs has the T-7th worst ALY matchup.
This game sneaking under raders? Above average pace, good o/u, and great pass matchups. MACHlaurin may be a play for me despite raiders holding wr's to low fantasy points. Moreau could be a cheap TE option if waller is out, he had a solid 6 catch 1 td game (forget the yardage) in the game waller was last out, and this is as good as a matchup you can get. Others are viable -renfrow/edwards/etc.
JAC/LAR
JAC DVOA Matchup is meh vs P D, bad vs RB D.
LAR DVOA Matchup is great vs P D, meh vs RB D.
Pace of play is 1st. O/U is 4th.
Lawrence has 7th best ASR matchup of main slate. Stafford has 3rd best.
Henderson? has 7th best ALY matchup, 5th of main slate.
I keep waiting for the day for playing Lawrence to pay off, and it just isn't happening.... and he's had plus matchups. The pace is good, the ASR matchup is good, but the DVOA is meh...... the game script does favor him, but I think I'd rather one-off a pass catcher if I game stack the rams side. I guess michel gets value if henderson is out, but theres a ton of backup starter options... I don't think he'd be the forgotten one as they have the 2nd highest TTotal, and the script fits him.... but I do want a stafford - kupp/obj/jefferson stack, 1 or 2 of them paired with staff.
SFO/SEA
SFO DVOA Matchup is great vs P D, and meh vs RB D.
SEA DVOA Matchup is good vs P D, bad vs RB D.
Pace of play is 9th, O/U 6th highest of main slate.
Wilson has the 4th worst ASR matchup. Garop has the 6th best.
Collins? has the 4th worst ALY matchup, Mitchel has the 10th worst, 9th of main slate.
With no deebo, I think Kittle could be a good option, as well as Aiyuk... don't think I want both, but garop has a great matchup, and good ASR.... pace is ok. I'm kind of off seattle... while metcalf or lockett can be a slate breaker, they just haven't had it.. and the run game has been abysmal. I'd rather take other guys in the assumed price range (like mclaurin) but if you want to one-off one, go ahead.
BAL/PIT
BAL DVOA Matchup is great vs P D, good vs RB D.
PIT DVOA Matchup is good vs P D, bad vs RB D.
Pace of play is T-12, O/U is 10th.
Lamar has the 2nd worst ASR matchup. Big Ben has the 4th best.
Najee has the worst ALY matchup. Freeman? has the T-5th worst ALY matchup.
One of a WR at best. Diontae can go unnoticed, and he has huge ppr value with high upside. Claypool can hit a home run, and we know balty likes to blitza bunch. We know balty can hit one too... I don't want much else, dont care for the pace, the slugfest these matchups usually are, etc.
i didnt play steohenson cause i was kinda worried if i played both guys rush totals they would split and id just eat the juice, with the tds and especially with your booster a split be great obviously, lets just hope its harris even tho that pays you less!! lol (or hell they both can score, that be cool!)
