week 12

bookieassassin

bookieassassin

Pretty much a regular
one unit

Michigan St +7'
N Caro +6'
Cinn -4'

smaller

Miami,O +3 L
Ball St +3
Miss St +7
Wash -16
TCU +4
Hogs TT over 24'
Texas A&M +10' live
--------------------
Texas +1 1Q
USF +4' live
Ark +3' 1H





leans
*updated 11/13

TX 1H/Ga 2H
GASO?
ECU live/2H (as dog)
Navy??
N DAME
Bama 1H / OU 2H/live
Delaware live/2H
UCF at >24'
HOGS (TT?)
N MEX
NW 1H/1Q
Wazzu
 
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Way to kick ass and take names…da book was taken to the woodshed last weekend. 😳 Seeing the ball well, keep up the great work, and thanks for all you do Mr Assassin.
 
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slim5150 said:
Mich st and ecu both jumped out at me when going through card early.
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Maybe a reach on Sparty, but just gotta fade Penn State, off THAT horrific loss..... now favored on the road? Plus they're off a ridiculous emotional/physical stretch : Ducks > at UCLA > NW > at Iowa > at Ohio St > INDY.... man how do they even win this one?
>> MSU off a loss, then bye - playing in their LHG (last home game).... they've played much better as of late covering 5/6.

ECU I like, but not gonna lay 3 to MEMPHIS, off a loss/bye next. The way here IMO, is to wait for Memphis to score / play ECU as a dog LIVE/2H. I can't see ECU getting up / staying up. Note ROAD team has won/covered last 3.

>> For some reason I still think I'll see openers - like I did 5/10+ years ago at BetOnline or 5Dimes ha - access to DK/FD /Circa ....would help
eg. ECU opens +3 .....maybe P by Wed .......closes -2/2'
Duke opens -2 .....3/4 by Wed .....closes 5/6
 
bookieassassin said:
Maybe a reach on Sparty, but just gotta fade Penn State, off THAT horrific loss..... now favored on the road? Plus they're off a ridiculous emotional/physical stretch : Ducks > at UCLA > NW > at Iowa > at Ohio St > INDY.... man how do they even win this one?
>> MSU off a loss, then bye - playing in their LHG (last home game).... they've played much better as of late covering 5/6.

ECU I like, but not gonna lay 3 to MEMPHIS, off a loss/bye next. The way here IMO, is to wait for Memphis to score / play ECU as a dog LIVE/2H. I can't see ECU getting up / staying up. Note ROAD team has won/covered last 3.

>> For some reason I still think I'll see openers - like I did 5/10+ years ago at BetOnline or 5Dimes ha - access to DK/FD /Circa ....would help
eg. ECU opens +3 .....maybe P by Wed .......closes -2/2'
Duke opens -2 .....3/4 by Wed .....closes 5/6
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Sparty switched QB's ahead Minnesota and frankly should have won that game.

TERRIBLE spot for PSU.

You noted the stretch for PSU, but simply the last two weeks would convince me enough! Two PHYSICAL teams and a true heartbreaking moment. A win vs Indiana would have been worth A LOT.
 
I dont disagree with any of your thoughts about sparty or pirates.

ANd you are probably right. If memphis scores 1st...or early, i could likely get ecu dogged. Im a sey it and forget it guy, but your logic is definetly spot on. I have ecu -1...so im good with the number based on how i think this game could go.

Lets make some bux this weekend!
 
Hwy robbery in that Miami, Ohio game…..QB was announced OUT with illness, less than an hour prior. There was just no way without the dual threat QB to break down that bad ass secondary of Toledo … tough luck on that one.
 
added one unit (-114 at LV)

N Caro +6'

* UNC D is actually playing great, and a nightmare matchup for WF O - fading WF off a huge W over Virginia, and a tough stretch (@ FSU and SMU before). N Caro should win this one, or at least stay within 2/3 - an ugly, super low scoring game.


smaller (-120 at LV)

TCU +4

*dumb play in 2 respects - waited for the line to drop from 6 >3' ..... and TCU is flaky as hell / BYU solid as hell. Fading BYU off a very physical loss to TT - TCU off a home loss to Iowa State (shoulda won). Frogs matchup well vs BYU on both sides of the ball.


I'll have some time tomorrow afternoon - will add a few. BOL boys
 
Arkansas 🙈 maybe this is the game they catch some breaks. Love Duke, like Navy… mahalo for that Sparty and Heels. Frogs line at +3’ speaks volumes imo. Coin flip game, that hooker is hotter than Hells Half Acre..

If you find the time, would be thankful to get a UGA/UT and a OU/Bama line, lean, or angle for the games. Appreciate ya BA last week was kick ass.Hope Sparty hits for you buddy.
 
As a Louisville ML ticket holder last night…that game was excruciating! Maybe one day we can just do away with kickers altogether. :) rock & roll today champ
 
sorry boys ..... little time/ available brain cells ...... shouldn't post, just like to stay involved, so pay little attention - or maybe fade ha

one unit - good deal at BM (slight juice)

Cinn -4'

*fading a bad road team in Zona - that just achieved their goal (bowl eligibility) - Cinn can run / control game / off bye / tough at home - OL is great vs teams that can get penetration (like Zona)

smaller/small

Ark TT over 24' / 1H +3' - like the Hogs (AGAIN) - both teams should be be here to have some fun / score - D is hard, especially late in season - couldn't find a 24
Texas +1 1Q - Ga doesn't get off bus until 2Q or later - Sark typically has a strong early script



>> like / don't like line, will look to play LIVE/2H instead

DUKE
ECU
WAZZU
OU - hopefully Bama gets up by 10+ early
Georgia - Horns start strong.....little chance Ga doesn't come back to make it close
AF OR UConn - drawn to this one - neither has a chance to stop the other (total is high for a SA game) - lean AF
Irish - don't put too much stock in what idiot Narduzzi said - Pitt will play hard, but ND is a monster in this spot / should pull away late
 
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bookieassassin said:
sorry boys ..... little time/ available brain cells ...... shouldn't post, just like to stay involved, so pay little attention - or maybe fade ha

one unit - good deal at BM (slight juice)

Cinn -4'

*fading a bad road team in Zona - that just achieved their goal (bowl eligibility) - Cinn can run / control game / off bye / tough at home - OL is great vs teams that can get penetration (like Zona)

smaller/small

Ark TT over 24' / 1H +3' - like the Hogs (AGAIN) - both teams should be be here to have some fun / score - D is hard, especially late in season - couldn't find a 24
Texas +1 1Q - Ga doesn't get off bus until 2Q or later - Sark typically has a strong early script



>> like / don't like line, will look to play LIVE/2H instead

DUKE
ECU
WAZZU
OU - hopefully Bama gets up by 10+ early
Georgia - Horns start strong.....little chance Ga doesn't come back to make it close
AF OR UConn - drawn to this one - neither has a chance to stop the other (total is high for a SA game) - lean AF
Irish - don't put too much stock in what idiot Narduzzi said - Pitt will play hard, but ND is a monster in this spot / should pull away late
Click to expand...
GL BA

Hogs are being stalked by myself as well!
 
Wolfeman said:
Arkansas 🙈 maybe this is the game they catch some breaks. Love Duke, like Navy… mahalo for that Sparty and Heels. Frogs line at +3’ speaks volumes imo. Coin flip game, that hooker is hotter than Hells Half Acre..

If you find the time, would be thankful to get a UGA/UT and a OU/Bama line, lean, or angle for the games. Appreciate ya BA last week was kick ass.Hope Sparty hits for you buddy.
Click to expand...


got nuthin' this week man sorry ha...... I need to be following you younger/smarter guys anyway.....



325 TEXAS
12:00 p.m.
326 GEORGIA -5

$ lean Texas, in a MUST WIN game (like OU)- but just ain't betting Sark vs Kirby....
>> I would be shocked if this one doesn't follow the usual script : Horns start fast - Georgia comes back to win. The real question is WHEN? Typically 2Q, so taking Texas 1Q, instead of 1H. Will look to play Georgia late 2Q - or wait until halftime if Texas has the ball last 1H. Dawgs #1 ST might be the difference here. Georgia D brings literally zero heat - so Arch/weak Horn OL might be ok here?



357 OKLAHOMA
3:30 p.m.
358 ALABAMA -7

$ I do like OU here (off bye) to stay within one possession - better D, and MUCH better ST - plus Mateer should be close to 100% with extra rest? Tough to bet against Bama at home (they get margin late) - especially in their LHG
>> I think I'll wait to play OU, after a strong start by Bama - might take 7 if it pops up
 
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