Week 12 Writeups and Hopefully Feedback

jimmymo said:
JFC…500 hundred word write up on Wazzu/LaTech….absolutely phenomenal…one of (if not the) best weekly threads in the CFB space….appreciate the work Knux
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I'm just glad there's people who tolerate this nonsense. Thanks for the kind words Jimmy. Always appreciate when you check in. I'm fighting off the urge to play yet another favorite in your Huskies. Might still do it.
 
The two I thought about but didn't play were Wyoming +3 and FAU +17.5. Seems like a sleepy spot for Tulane and their pass defense has been terrible, and I mean terrible the past two weeks, but both of those games were on the road, and I've been burned by fading Tulane at home so I chickened out.

Wyoming, it all makes sense but only a FG of value scared me off.

Staying with ONLY 20. Take care everyone!
 
Br@ssknux said:
Good info, I did not know that. Donegal can throw it deep, but you’re right, it doesn’t keep me off the game.
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I'm thinking along the same lines. I think his absence explains the line but shouldn't make that much difference in-game so there's real value here. This may be my bailout game tonight.
 
Air Force 0-2 on 4th down, missed a FG and has. 14 yard punt. That’s how you outgain your opponent by 125 yards in a half and are still down.
 
I was fortunate to get Ole Piss at 10, and then out of frustration as much as anything else bet them 2h. Lane play calling in red zone is just atroucious. The sandlot 3 down and goal play with two qbs was the topper. Are you fucking kidding me?
 
Br@ssknux said:
17. @Georgia -6 v Texas (BR) : Could this be the game that we finally can be rid of the possibility of Texas being in the playoff? I hope so. Normally when I am looking at a dog, I even a double digit dog, I try to come up with a scenario of them winning the game outright. In a lot of cases, you can make a reasonably good case for it and then you have the buffer of the points to back you up. I think people make mistakes when they assume a team is going to lose but are pretty sure it'll only be by 7 or less. If you can't make a case a team could win, you better be getting 2 TDs or more in my opinion. I see no scenario where Texas can go into Athens and win this game. They played a Georgia team that they were much better than on paper twice and couldn't get it done last year(once on their own field), and I don't think they have a shot this year either. Take a look at what Texas has done on the road in conference this year. The went to Florida and got completely dominated. I bet them that game and I can tell you they never had a shot. They were outgained 457 to 351. Then they went to Kentucky and got dominated again, only to sneak out of there with a win thanks to their punt returner. They were outgained 395-179 by a team that prior to that had lost 10 of their last 11 SEC games. Then they pulled another rabbit out of their hat after being down 38-21 in the 4th quarter against a Mississippi State team that had lost 15 straight SEC games. Texas can't run the ball and won't be able to against Georgia so the burden will fall on Arch Manning. He's been better lately, and Georgia's pass defense has been a weakness for the Dawgs, but I do not see any scenario where Arch has the fortitude to carry this team. Also, the Texas defense looks good on paper, but how much of that has been built on huge performances against terrible teams? How good are they? Well, in those SEC road games I referenced, they've been shit. Kentucky put up 395 yards on them, and prior to that, the Cats were the 103rd ranked offense in FBS. Florida put up 457 yards on them, their highest output of the year and more than they gained against Long Island and Mississippi State. Miss State put up 445 and 382 yards through the air, their high water mark for the year in passing yards. Those are some pretty piss poor defensive performances, all on the road against teams significantly inferior to Georgia. So we're going to assume they can shut down the Georgia offense? I think there's no way Georgia doesn't outgain Texas in this one, and it's probably going to be by a lot. Do you think Texas is going to be able to overcome that against Georgia, who many believe(with good reason) has the referees in their back pocket, and has luckboxed their way to misleading scores all year? No chance.
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Good call. I hated to cash this but it was with ease.

Comparable athletes.

Coaches aren't.
 
Finally finished the recaps. Sorry for the delay! 88-85-4 for the year. 3 over! Hopefully we don't go back underwater after next week.
 
My expected % didnt include the weekday games so you once again exceeded expectations. Keep churning with the scantily clad commentary! Well done!
 
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