WEEK 11

[bookieassassin]

one unit

Georgia Tech +14' W
S Carolina -1' W
NIU ML W


smaller

Iowa State -2' L
Texas -21' W
Miss St +24' W
App St ML L

small

Wazzu -20' W
ULM +10' L
Ark State +14' L
Kansas ML 1Q W
AF +3 1Q W
Wash +3' 1Q L
USF +4 L
NCST -2' L

tiny

BG/CMU 1H over 24 W
Ball St +3' 1Q W
Ohio -6' 2Q W
WMU ML 3Q L
NIU ML 4Q L
NIU/WMU 2Q under 14' L
Miami, O -1' 4Q W
NMX 3Q P L
Iowa 3Q -0.5 L
Cal -1 3Q L
Memphis -1 3Q L
Iowa/UCLA 1Q UNDER 10 T
SDSU P 4Q L




leans
*updated Wed

UCLA at 7
Virginia??
Utah ??
AF ??
UAB
NTX
Rutgers
Wash at 14
Hawaii




*early stuff from MB

 

[bookieassassin]

gonna lock in Texas and Miss St smaller - see where line goes ......
> think Texas goes to 23'/24 - might see a 20' briefly?

 

[Rusty Trombone]

If ya like Miss St, do you kean under? Vols D is very good and I can't see MSU moving the ball consistently...

 

[bookieassassin]

If ya like Miss St, do you kean under? Vols D is very good and I can't see MSU moving the ball consistently...

@Georgia, @Texas, and A&M couldn't do much with MSU - winning by 10, 22, and 10. A distracted Vol team (GEORGIA next) might unleash offensive frustrations out here and score 50+, sure / play balls to the wall D (doubtful) - 24' just looks like a lot to me, in regard to the spot - MSU off UMass / bye next
>> Hogs (back to the wall / off loss) got margin against them - mostly due to 5 TO's. Vols off a string of tough games:: Ark > Fla > Bama > Kentucky / Ga

I would lean OVER if anything - an unfocused effort will show on D - a polished home romp type game they score 50 themselves.

 

[bookieassassin]

missed early number

NIU ML

will breakdown later - WMU not bad, but NIU D should step up and control this one.

 

[Wolfeman]

Way to pound the early lines partner… helluva job getting those pre move! GL this week yet again BA

 

[bookieassassin]

BG/CMU 1H over 24

*juiced - played earlier at 24, just shot up

Ball St +3' 1Q

 

[bookieassassin]

Ohio -6' 2Q
WMU ML 3Q
NIU ML 4Q
NIU/WMU 2Q under 14'

Miami,O -1' 4Q

 

[Wolfeman]

BG/CMU 1H over 24

*juiced - played earlier at 24, just shot up

Ball St +3' 1Q

Got home jumped on the couch saw your play and caught Miami -3.5 live dor small kine.

Thanks for the suggestion!

 

[PRIMETIMEE21]

Any thoughts on my Buffalos/Texas Tech? as well as the Minnesota Gophers who are on a roll?

 

[bookieassassin]

added (BO)

App St ML

 

[bookieassassin]

Any thoughts on my Buffalos/Texas Tech? as well as the Minnesota Gophers who are on a roll?

YOU KNOW - I'm the wrong guy to ask ha .......or maybe the perfect guy?
>> being a REGRESSION style handicapper

Minny/Rut - Minny the 'obvious' choice, and (should) run all day here, as Rutgers D is disgusting. BUT Minny off huge W / on road vs a falling, but well coached team off a bye. Of note here also is that Minny usually begins to fade in November (maybe HC's style wears thin late in year). SO my lean here would be Rutgers to stay close and/or win outright.

DTC/TT - Deion's Traveling Circus is now a pretty solid team aiming for B12 title game................... wut

TT is too flaky and off a huge upset road W - Buffs off bye and a hot ATS team - They try to run now (rest their D a bit) and bring serious pressure/heat. AND not bad vs the run either ffs (DC doing a great job). I don't have TT figured out yet so no play probably =- but this one is Buffs or nothing.

Back later boys - busy this week.

 

[PRIMETIMEE21]

Much appreciated. TT is indeed heckle and jeckle, and the Buffalos obviously are more talented, and the defense especially in the 2nd half has been outstanding. Minnesota my concern is the coaching staff, as the OC and DC of Rutgers both came from Flecks staff at Minnesota. I like Minnesota because of the QB for Minnesota is far superior in talent and productivity than than QB for Rutgers who played at Minnesota last year.

"Offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca had multiple stretches with Fleck at Minnesota. Joe Harasymiak left Fleck to be the Rutgers defensive coordinator. Gophers' defensive coordinator Corey Hetherman spent the previous two seasons at Rutgers."

 

[bookieassassin]

added

NMX 3Q P
Iowa 3Q -0.5
Cal -1 3Q
Memphis -1 3Q
AF +3 1Q
Iowa/UCLA 1Q UNDER 10
SDSU P 4Q

Kansas 1Q ML

all at Heritage, 'cept Kansas (BM)

* dayum ......quarter sorcery comes to a screeching halt ha - 3Q/4Q bets should probably be made once game begins - flow of game screws things up sometimes

 

[Rusty Trombone]

Whats Kansas line 1Q? If they are .5 or 1 that seems better than ML as a tie would be a win.....

 

[B.A.R.]

Have a big ass Saturday B.A. !!

 

[PappyOSU]

good luck this week player!

 

[bookieassassin]

Whats Kansas line 1Q? If they are .5 or 1 that seems better than ML as a tie would be a win.....

Odds are PUNITIVE my man - otherwise I would have done it differently OF COURSE.....

 

[bookieassassin]

added a few overthinking/last minute plays small
>> hate this week I'm slowly realizing ......


AF +3 1Q
Wash 1Q
USF +4
NCST -2'


* like AF - 1Q / 1H is a must here - Fresno slow starter (esp on the road) - the 10 is probably fine, just can see Fresno waking up late

Penn St a very slow starter (both sides, esp D) - JF the worst coach in America preparing his team off a SU loss - better lately but still ......PSU probably blows them out 2H (likely play)

Nice spot for USF - D matches up (fairly) well here, as they get penetration and can be disruptive

NCST - Duke on a tough run - hate NCSt (WHY DO GUYS HYPE DD/PACK EACH YEAR?) - just a (perceived) value play

 

[Wolfeman]

Oh Hell Yea Tex! Way to sweep the large plays with a vengeance. Smack downs and outright. Keep up the great work brotha. You also helped me take UCLA ML live +385 knowing they’ve been improving under EB at OC. Travel still hurts 4thQ on these long travels in the Big 10 & ACC. Also I was leaning hard TTech… great call brotha.

Just finished the BOWS game….covered and exciting. With aloha Big Man

 

[Wolfeman]

Really appreciate you always BA!