Week 11 Discussion Thread

[Win4L]

@B.A.R. @HUNT

Any plays for the big game tonight?

I was gonnna take the Lions ml but the LaPorta injury made me lay off.

Now thinking of teasing the Lions with the over.

 

[austinhous]

lions 15-2 to the under SNF since 1999
8-0 L8 since 2017

so it'll prolly fly over lol

 

[Win4L]

Those are tough trends to go against but I feel both teams get to 20. Who knows the trend could continue and I still hit. Lions 24, Eagles 20.

Just a small Sunday night action bet. Nothing crazy.

 

[B.A.R.]

@B.A.R. @HUNT

Any plays for the big game tonight?

I was gonnna take the Lions ml but the LaPorta injury made me lay off.

Now thinking of teasing the Lions with the over.

Sorry I missed this bud.

I basically split.

Had Gibbs solo rush (not combined). I thought we would actually stick to the run due to the pressure but Dan was not good tonight.

I did hit Jamo Tuddy +225 .

Thats one thing I want to stress, Jamo is a bigger factor with Campbell being the play caller.

No Laporta is a huge loss.

The next three games are NYG, GB and DAL. We'll really feel that in the Thanksgiving game vs the Packers.

 

[B.A.R.]

lions 15-2 to the under SNF since 1999
8-0 L8 since 2017

so it'll prolly fly over lol

Wow, what a trend.

 

[austinhous]

 notes
L2 seasons v Cowboys:
oppo teams 15-10-1 su 15-11 ats
scoring 26 or less: 2-9 su 1-10 ats (avg 20 ppg)
scoring 27 or more: 13-1-1 su 14-1 ats (avg 35 ppg)

Non-division vs Dallas: 11-5-1 su 11-6 ats
NFC East vs Dallas: 4-5 su and ats

Cowboys host Eagles on Sunday
Cowboys 13-1 ou after bye since 2012
Cowboys lost two games as road fave this year: Bears 31-14 Panthers 30-27

Since LY Cowboys 3-11-1 su 5-10 ats on totals greater than 45
On totals 45 or less: 7-4 su and 6-5 ats

Only 3 teams have fewer wins than Raiders L2 seasons. Saints (7) have more wins than Raiders (6) L2 seasons. Raiders avg 17 ppg scored 27+ one time L2 seasons - the 30-29 loss to Jags in OT (23 points in regulation). Last time they scored 27+ in regulation was 2023.

Raiders off 10 days' rest.

Conclusion?! The overtime loss was the Raiders' last home game. They've had 10 days to prep for tonight after TNF loss in Denver. Probably no lookahead. Dallas has a short week with Eagles on deck so probably put some work in on both teams over the break. Dallas lost both games as road fave this year, allowed 30+ in both. Can Raiders score 27+ or revert back to their 17 ppg average. Total opened 45.5 got bet up to 50.5. Noticed a slight drop in Dallas ML down to -180 from -190 all weekend.

 

[austinhous]

also wondering if Lockett can get him some. he was targeted six times in denver while the defense was limiting bowers (?) 6/60 with lockett would be amazing

 

[B.A.R.]

also wondering if Lockett can get him some. he was targeted six times in denver while the defense was limiting bowers (?) 6/60 with lockett would be amazing

Vs Dallas, a lot of opposing players have career games, ya know?

 

[HUNT]

@B.A.R. @HUNT

Any plays for the big game tonight?

I was gonnna take the Lions ml but the LaPorta injury made me lay off.

Now thinking of teasing the Lions with the over.

Sorry I missed this. Never bet it. Hope you're doing well bro.