Week 11 B1G Thread...

B.A.R.

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Staff member
We are down to the nitty gritty here in November of this first year of the new Big Ten.

We haven't gotten to tiebreakers as of yet but we all see where these unbalanced schedules could affect playoff berths and eventually the conference title game participants.

Last week showcased a top 5 match-up and also Oregon and Indiana taking their unbeaten records to the Great Lakes...

I was leaning over in HV and was pretty upset I never pulled the trigger on this one in the first hour of the game. This was a dead under. Good win for Ohio State, but moreso the usual Penn State big game shenanigans under Frames. The Buckeyes are a better team than Penn State and win that 8 out of 10 times. Overall, though, both have questions heading into possible postseason berths. OSU Oline seemed to play better this week.

Oregon won, as expected. I honestly wasn't too unhappy with the Michigan play. They were behind the 8 ball at the start with both starting corners sidelined. All in all, they had a chance to make this a one-score game in the 4th before the OC made one of the more puzzling play calls we've seen. Pretty on-brand though. Add in Oregon was gifted a TD that they somehow missed a drop on. Goodness. Cubsker is rolling over on his couch right now. The Ducks come right back to the Great Lakes in two weeks to play Wisconsin.

The Hoosiers fell behind 10- up in East Landfill before blitzing the Spartans for 40+ after that. Impressive. Rourke looked great off the injury. The Indiana season comes down to a game in Columbus on the 23rd. That is a make-or-break game due to the SOS. It's a fun team to watch.

Minnesota continues to impress.

Nice win for the UCLA program. You could sense that coming. I didn't bet it but had them in both my contests. That was a situational nightmare in my opinion.

Washington was a good bet as a home dog as @jimmymo and others had on this site. The Trojans are o-fer the road in Big Ten play. Oh, Lincoln is starting to steal money out there.

Iowa with a months' worth of points in prior years last Saturday vs the Badgers. Wow! They continue to be an over machine!


ONWARD!


Iowa chalky at 6,5 and 44.5 in the Rose Bowl. I'll be honest, pre-season this total would have been 7-8 points lower. The Bruins have even been scoring a bit themselves. This one feels like maybe we see a 23-17 grinder. No thanks there. Tough on the side too. Lean UCLA. Friday night special on FOX...

Big Noon features a terrible game for fans of drama. The bottom line is, that OSU has two HUGE games coming up to end the month. Playing Purdue is about sharpening up the team and staying away from injuries. A tariff of 37.5 is a bit high, as is the 53. Feels like a 38-3 type of game. The clock runs, and they get out healthy.

Also at noon, on NBC is Minnesota invading New Jersey. The Rutgers team has regressed in the last month or so. This game could turn their fortunes around. The Gophers are one of the most steady teams in the conference right now -- off a very nice win at Illinois. I am not backing Rutgers but gosh I feel like the +6 is the play here.

This is a sandwich home game for the Ducks. They are the best team in this conference and simply have not let up. The first month was somewhat shaky but they simply take care of business each and every game since then. This one feels like it will be too close to the -25 and the total isn't giving me any fuzzy feelings either. Total stay away --

How does Penn State react after the big loss last week? We'll see. Luckily, they play a Washington team that has gone to Indiana, back home to face an old conference foe, and then back out East the next week -- not an ideal schedule. Is this total a bit low? Washington will give up drives -- and they also pass quite a bit to keep possessions a bit higher. The Nittany Lion's defense can be had at times. I would lean over(some sort of one) here, as 31-17 seems like a benchmark to start.

Last, and certainly not least is Michigan traveling down to Bloomington to take on the Hoosiers. We'll chat this one up quite a bit these next few days @HUNT @FadeTheHype . This is a benchmark game for the Hoosiers, no matter the record for Michigan. There is many years of frustration built up here. Yes, the 2020 corona season featured a win, but this is a one-sided series. I believe 1987 was the win before that. Coincidentally, that was my first year I remember CFB.

Big lean OVER to start...

Before any decisions are made we need to know the following:

-Will Johnson status
-Jyaire Hill status
-Weather, as some fronts are moving through this week

Indiana will score, and I think Michigan will counter a bit as well. My initial thought is 34-20/34-17. I don't see the Hoosiers letting their guard down. Style points cannot hurt (despite a deFacto playoff game for IU in two weeks).

More to come on this game...
 
Could be rain in the IU/Michigan game. No official bet yet. I expect IU to win as they are a well oiled machine and are good at all phases of the game right now. Not saying this is a layup by any means but a decent bet would be IU tt over 31.5 if weather not a factor.
 
Hoosiers in another comfortable situation. Like them to win decisively. They should score at will with both starting corners out for Michigan. If both corners are back, score about 15 less.

Indiana defense gives up 4.21 ypp for 3rd in country behind only Texas and Vols. Focusing on Michigan tt unders, especially after the offense cashing last two weeks on team totals. Change for Saturday.
 
Iowa in a tough spot at UCLA. Run heavy team going across the country to face a defense giving up 3.32 ypr a game. UCLA more confident and improving each week. Live dog.
 
OSU should get the TT overs this week. Been a few weeks of tough games. Revert back to norm against an overmatched team.
 
Hoosiers in another comfortable situation. Like them to win decisively. They should score at will with both starting corners out for Michigan. If both corners are back, score about 15 less.

Indiana defense gives up 4.21 ypp for 3rd in country behind only Texas and Vols. Focusing on Michigan tt unders, especially after the offense cashing last two weeks on team totals. Change for Saturday.
So you like the Mich TT U17 (hopefully 17.5)?
 
Ohio State needs some style points right? ND, Illinois and Wisky all put up 50+ on the Big Drum, I think OSU TT over is a good look. Indiana is a play as well at -14 or better.
 
Ohio State needs some style points right? ND, Illinois and Wisky all put up 50+ on the Big Drum, I think OSU TT over is a good look. Indiana is a play as well at -14 or better.
2 losses they'll be in either way.

I can definitely see it -- I also worry about two physical games in a row and two bigger games at the end of the month.
 
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