sorry (again) boys - busy / tired / kinda dumb this week
>> typically this is a tough stretch anyway......roughly weeks 9-12 or so - reliable dogs get too banged up / slumping favs find a 2nd wind briefly - injuries become more of an issue, as guys drop out, or suddenly reappear (ULL's Walker Howard rose from the dead last week) - some teams play hard for that 6th W - some just want the year to end (it's COACHES that really want the bowls).
added one unit or more
*TEXAS*
Vols -2 (-114 BM)
Hogs / Utah ML (-110)
smaller
S Caro +13 (-116 H)
Colorado +5 (-116 LV)
Rutgers +13
Minny -3 (-118 LV)
Nebraska +5
small
Miami/SMU 1H under 26' (BM)
NCST TT over 25' (H)
Temple +6 (-116 LV)
TEXAS - the handicap here for me, is : no Arch / Horns ML. I'm not sure if I like Texas -3 with AM. So if he's out, and line drops - I'll play Texas large ML. If he plays, I'll play Texas small at 3, or just wait for a better line live/2H (probably better anyway). Posting intentions > might pass out ha
Vols - fading the Sooners on the road / nite game - don't think their O can take advantage of the Vols shitty D. Note Mateer (since his return) is the lowest rated P4 passer, per PFF. Only Georgia beats the Vols at home.
Love the Hogs - don't wanna lay 3'/4. Utes shouldn't lose - tho they've burned me before making this same dumb play....
SC - really tough SEC road dog vs flaky Ole Miss off a huge W
Buffs - Zona is a terrible road team - Colorado should win here - that Utah disaster was just a perfect storm type of ass whoopin' IMO. Seems like MANY guys can't wait to bury Deion.....hell just a few weeks ago he beat Iowa St, and almost beat BYU.
Rutgers - a homer play for sure - no way you should back THAT defense, with your hard earned cash - just looks like a good spot to fade (bubble burst?) Illini, off a tough loss / long trip. Play-off hopes finished / bye on deck - just limp into the bye with a W. Schiano great in this spot - B10 road / off win. They need a W here, with Terps, OSU, Penn St on deck.
Minny - PJ wins this type of game / Sparty does not > 0-9 if spread is single digits (dog or fav). BUT - RB Taylor is game time (2 hours before KO). Note Minny has covered 9/10 in series.
Nebraska - small only, because they stink..... BUT USC/Lincoln R. sux worse in this spot > 1-15 ats in E,C time zones / LR has covered 9/31 as a road favorite (3/15 at USC). Nite game, great crowd - they should compete. I'll be ready to hit Trojans live if they're focused, because this is an UGLY match-up on paper for Nebraska.
Ponies / Canes UNDER - both should struggle to move the ball - SMU D is underrated, Miami QB struggles on the road . Lean SMU but they are just flat out a bad team - their OL might get destroyed here.
NCST - need 7 - think they move the ball here - GT D is beat up.
Temple - ECU typically stronger in the dog role, but off bye, with only CLT on deck - so small only
Have a great one Assassin…straight killer 
