Week 10 What Are We Learning!

Smarter people than us said A/M was a top tier team this season. The frosh / youth thing holds no water 5 years into your job - more than anything it tells you that the kids don't want anything to do with your program so they are jumping ship and you're left with 18 year olds to make it work. That isn't a reliable solution.

Fisher's fallback was and is to be an offensive specialist, and with unlimited NIL, making $9MM / year, he should be able to at least stumble into a QB that's adequate. That tells you all you need to know. Texas is littered with really good high school QBs. Fisher can't find one, or at least find one that succeeds under his guidance.

I'm a Texas grad but more than anything I'm from Texas. So I don't get into nonsense about this team or that, I always want teams from the state to win, and that's never a question. But Fisher is inept, at least in College Station, and needs to be gone. We'll see how badly boosters want to see that happen.
everyone goes through their Charlie "Skrong"
 
Analytics continues to be the cute go-to but someone should tell Joey McGuire that going for it on 4th down, on your own 32, more than once, isn't the smartest thing in the world for your team.

As more and more coaches make decisions based on percentage of going for it, passing up a FG, or going for it in their own territory, or throwing deep on 4th-1 instead of trying to get the first down on a higher percentage play - as time goes on, as more and more data points come into the equation, the "odds" these coaches rely on from the analytic formulas are going to get worse and worse aren't they? As more failed 4th downs come into the analytic formula, the probability the equation returns about the odds of being successful are going to decrease and perhaps less people will do these types of things. Right? Eventually?
 
As more and more coaches make decisions based on percentage of going for it, passing up a FG, or going for it in their own territory, or throwing deep on 4th-1 instead of trying to get the first down on a higher percentage play - as time goes on, as more and more data points come into the equation, the "odds" these coaches rely on from the analytic formulas are going to get worse and worse aren't they? As more failed 4th downs come into the analytic formula, the probability the equation returns about the odds of being successful are going to decrease and perhaps less people will do these types of things. Right? Eventually?

Common (football) sense. Maybe it will come back into vogue.

That shit yesterday from McGuire was the stuff clown fests are made of. I get the going for it, around midfield. But when you give the ball up and it's already 3 points?

Laughable.
 
Thank you for saying that.

ESPN had a graphic yesterday that showed a 12 team playoff and it had 5 SEC teams. They talking heads were all drooling over it. WTF! Wouldn't the process of the season and the conference title game determine which SEC team is the best among it's peers - but no, we need 4 others from one league in a playoff? I pretty much idle down after the end of the regular season now anyway, when playoff expansion comes I'll just work in the garage instead.
I think it's more of a sign of how bad the quality is at the top this year.....because some years a team that was good enough to win the playoff didn't even make it... baylor was more deserving then oh state to make the playoffs the year they won it for example

Sec feels week at the top too....lsu got embarrassed by tennessee....can they be that good ? Idn tennessee has a unique offense but they don't feel all that better then last years Mediocre team in some ways. Ole miss feels worse then last year. Kentucky worse etc

Clemson is very flawed and was undefeated...tcu is undefeated.....I don't think many of these teams hold a candle to last year's oklahoma state team

There only feels like one elite defense in college football this year. Feels like that number is usually closer to 5....last year georgia cincinnati baylor Oklahoma state, clemson

Save georgia those teams defenses are not in the elite category anymore. The only elite defense is georgia

Is the quality at the top really that bad...or is it always kind of this way? Was it Baylor or TCU in 2014?

To me the college football national champion should come from a very exclusive pool, teams who have had the most outstanding seasons. Excellence. Elite. Perfection or damn near perfection. Some years there will be more than a couple, some years there might only be 1 or 2 that fit the bill. The last thing I think the sport needs is a half dozen or a dozen teams thrown in the pool for a made for TV schedule of games. The season usually tells us there are very few teams who have a most outstanding season. Conference champions through the course of their season have established themselves as the best in their neighborhood. Losers in the SEC, or any conference should not and never should be included. They lost games that matter. But this common sense is out the window when there is money to be made. 5 teams from one conference in the preferred future format? I don't care if they are all "awesome". Some process is in place to determine the league winner and that is the way it sorts itself out for who advances to a national title playoff. The only thing I can do is not watch as my protest for the bogus system they are going to present.

I just heard somebody, I think it was a head coach promote a 128 team college basketball tournament. I don't watch basketball, but it's the same shit. It's all about money and what is good for the people who make the decisions. No human should be picking the teams to participate whether there are a bunch of great teams at the top or just a couple.
 
And their Tom Herman.

I feel your pain.
I have no pain
I watch your team to see Ewers and Robinson.
Our kids, Tx 4*/5* expect to win just by showing up. Bad for all of us.
I am pulling for TCU(pfffft) to go undefeated . When they go undefeated and get shit on, twice.

As far as the Ags go, they are like any team. When CW played last week, the team brought an extra step. Lost, but I'll give CW a pass for his first game.
 
College or pro, lining up in the neutral zone continues to be the most insufferably bad penalty in the game.

I just watched Chris Jones give Tennessee a touchdown because of it.

Collinsworth - "And Chris Jones continues to push the envelope..."

No, it's not pushing the envelope. It's just stupidity when 1/2 your body is over the LOS at the snap.
 
Think Bama plays better when they in uptempo on offense……..why coaches don’t switch it up at times? Need new off coordinator……the Jim guy is too old for the new era of football……

They don’t have that speedy receiver that can bail them out…..

Secondary gets PI penalty a lot……
Agree 100% on the tempo. I think it's because it makes it much simpler, and Bryce is at his best when he can just react to the defense. I don't know if the system is too difficult or what, but we don't seem to play fast at all. Thinking too much.

We get called for PI more than any team I've ever seen, and it's been that way for years. It's got to be the technique Saban teaches. More of an NFL type where they allow more contact.
 
As legitimate as Tennessee’s offense how good is Georgia’s D?
I think we know the Dawgs are repeating. No Bama, Clemson sucks, Vols on the borderline of not getting in if LSU runs the table. This last weekend was no good for college football fans.
12 team playoff can’t come soon enough. At least we can root for the stepchildren to get in during the regular season.
 
As legitimate as Tennessee’s offense how good is Georgia’s D?
I think we know the Dawgs are repeating. No Bama, Clemson sucks, Vols on the borderline of not getting in if LSU runs the table. This last weekend was no good for college football fans.
12 team playoff can’t come soon enough. At least we can root for the stepchildren to get in during the regular season.
12 teams would be so miserable this season, especially for anyone who gets seriously injured while deep down knowing they aren't winning it all anyway.
 
12 teams would be so miserable this season, especially for anyone who gets seriously injured while deep down knowing they aren't winning it all anyway.
While I do believe there will be a big upset or two during the 12 team playoff, the number of programs that have the bodies to win 3 top 12 games in a row is pretty small
 
While I do believe there will be a big upset or two during the 12 team playoff, the number of programs that have the bodies to win 3 top 12 games in a row is pretty small
All but the top 4 will have to win 4 in a row

I actually think this enhances the top 4 more ranking than the system currently in place because they'll get a bye and to play a home game then boast they won a 12 team playoff
 
As legitimate as Tennessee’s offense how good is Georgia’s D?
I think we know the Dawgs are repeating. No Bama, Clemson sucks, Vols on the borderline of not getting in if LSU runs the table. This last weekend was no good for college football fans.
12 team playoff can’t come soon enough. At least we can root for the stepchildren to get in during the regular season.

A 12 team playoff to give more teams that lost games a second chance, this is a good thing how? And how that a just system for the team(s) that already beat the loser teams? Wins and losses just don't need to matter do they so long there are more games to put on TV with pretty looking teams going up against each other.
 
It's been pretty obvious, but this is the least talented Alabama team in 15 years. Despite the fact that Bryce Young and Will Anderson are 2 of the best players in football. I can't say that Saban is slowing down, because recruiting is still rolling, but there's just been something wrong in the football complex since that 2020 team.
Hmm. Sounds familiar.
 
There is UGA and everyone else. Despite losing 15 guys to the NFL, missing their best WR for the majority of the year, having multiple key injuries they are still far and away better than the rest of the country. Stetson has a lot of a big game experience that is a differentiator as the season goes along. Check his last few games against top 10 teams. To absolutely wreck the Vols when Bowers and Washington have a combined 27 yards is all you need to know.
Bowers is amazing. It’s fitting that he wears Woerner’s number.
 
As legitimate as Tennessee’s offense how good is Georgia’s D?
I think we know the Dawgs are repeating. No Bama, Clemson sucks, Vols on the borderline of not getting in if LSU runs the table. This last weekend was no good for college football fans.
12 team playoff can’t come soon enough. At least we can root for the stepchildren to get in during the regular season.
Why expand the playoff when once again two teams is enough?
 
Good for Kansas getting bowl eligibility. That's one team that for sure will be getting my money bowl season.

careful ......
>> purely anecdotal - but seems like teams that have been down for so long - then make a bowl, often don't play that well in their bowl / match-up depending. Reason? their goals have been met - year is kinda over - tough to get up at that point for holiday practices / crap bowl game. Maybe a quality opponent (as a dog)- decent bowl is a different story?
 
As legitimate as Tennessee
A 12 team playoff to give more teams that lost games a second chance, this is a good thing how? And how that a just system for the team(s) that already beat the loser teams? Wins and losses just don't need to matter do they so long there are more games to put on TV with pretty looking teams going up against each other.
Guys, having 12 teams isn’t about hoping for an upset in the playoffs nor does it change the outcome of who wins the title. Its about making the regular season much more relevant. We could be having meaningful games for the 5 thru 12 seed teams. Just give us something more than 2 relevant college football games a year before December. What sports season is least meaningful than college football and it only has 10-12 weeks? We’re being egregiously cheated in this sport.
 
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One thing i will say is if it was not obvious last year, we do not need a college football expansion. AT ALL. Oregon and Tennesee might be in the playoffs and they have already been murked by UGA.


Lol, says the Georgia fan.
 
As legitimate as Tennessee

Guys, having 12 teams isn’t about hoping for an upset in the playoffs nor does it change the outcome of who wins the title. Its about making the regular season much more relevant. We could be having meaningful games for the 5 thru 12 seed teams. Just give us something more than 2 relevant college football games a year before December. What sports season is least meaningful than college football and it only has 10-12 weeks? We’re being egregiously cheated in this sport.
It makes the regular season less important. Every game is meaningful already.
 
One thing i will say is if it was not obvious last year, we do not need a college football expansion. AT ALL. Oregon and Tennesee might be in the playoffs and they have already been murked by UGA.
I could not agree more.
 
As legitimate as Tennessee’s offense how good is Georgia’s D?
I think we know the Dawgs are repeating. No Bama, Clemson sucks, Vols on the borderline of not getting in if LSU runs the table. This last weekend was no good for college football fans.
12 team playoff can’t come soon enough. At least we can root for the stepchildren to get in during the regular season.
I thought last weekend was pretty good.

I know they gotta lotta Tenny fans on here…
Not much fun having a juggernaut on the East side of things, is it?
I think Tenny is a very good team but seems a really big sentiment about them and the playoffs super early…
 
I thought last weekend was pretty good.

I know they gotta lotta Tenny fans on here…
Not much fun having a juggernaut on the East side of things, is it?
I think Tenny is a very good team but seems a really big sentiment about them and the playoffs super early…
When I say it wasn’t good I meant from a competitive standpoint in the Final 4. We are going to see 2 Georgia blowouts.
 
It makes the regular season less important. Every game is meaningful already.
When 12 teams are trying to qualify throughout the conferences the season will have meaningful games for more than just 6 teams. Every game is only meaningful to 6 teams and unless they’re playing each other its a blowout. College football is the 1 sport that needs to drastically change or its not worth watching.
 
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When 12 teams are trying to qualify throughout the conferences the season will meaningful games for more than just 6 teams. Every game is only meaningful to 6 teams and unless they’re playing each other its a blowout. College football is the 1 sport that needs to drastically change or its not worth watching.

I could not disagree more.

You are suggesting that the games yet to be played will be more meaningful.

But at the same time you are making the games that have already been played less meaningful. If teams that lost previous games still have an illegitimate chance to enter into a playoff, then what meaning did that game have, what consequences were their to losing that game? None.

And I do not agree that future games need to be made more meaningful. I think you, or advocates like yourself, are trying to create something that doesn't need created. You think allowing more teams to make a playoff will make more games matter. The games matter now. All games matter. It is the basis of competition and team athletics. What game doesn't or won't matter?

Every game has a consequence for reaching goals and objectives. Not every goal can or should be attainable when teams lose a game or games. But there are other goals and objectives that can be achieved by still winning.

All playoff expansion proponent are doing in my mind is giving undeserving teams a second chance to compete for the biggest prize in the sport. If Tennessee doesn't win their division, doesn't win their conference, they don't deserve a national title opportunity because they were not good enough in the games that mattered most compared to the team(s) they lost to who beat them.

It is ironic that you think changing the sport to some kind of 12 team playoff would make it more worth watching, while I feel the exact opposite - it is a huge turn off and I am not exaggerating when I say it would make me less likely to watch.
 
I could not disagree more.

You are suggesting that the games yet to be played will be more meaningful.

But at the same time you are making the games that have already been played less meaningful. If teams that lost previous games still have an illegitimate chance to enter into a playoff, then what meaning did that game have, what consequences were their to losing that game? None.

And I do not agree that future games need to be made more meaningful. I think you, or advocates like yourself, are trying to create something that doesn't need created. You think allowing more teams to make a playoff will make more games matter. The games matter now. All games matter. It is the basis of competition and team athletics. What game doesn't or won't matter?

Every game has a consequence for reaching goals and objectives. Not every goal can or should be attainable when teams lose a game or games. But there are other goals and objectives that can be achieved by still winning.

All playoff expansion proponent are doing in my mind is giving undeserving teams a second chance to compete for the biggest prize in the sport. If Tennessee doesn't win their division, doesn't win their conference, they don't deserve a national title opportunity because they were not good enough in the games that mattered most compared to the team(s) they lost to who beat them.

It is ironic that you think changing the sport to some kind of 12 team playoff would make it more worth watching, while I feel the exact opposite - it is a huge turn off and I am not exaggerating when I say it would make me less likely to watch.
To your point I only really remember vaguely a couple of the national championship games and none of the playoff games since 4 teams became a thing. It took a lot of mind-stretching to even remember that Michigan played UGA and Cinci played Bama...and that's less than a year ago. Couldn't tell you anything about those games other than the winners.
 
So as of today just looking at 1 and 0 loss teams (sorry two loss teams you are out until conference championships are over) and using strength of schedule as a metric for how quality those records are (granted just using sagarin here and not a combo), it would make sense for them to be ranked as follows:

1. Ohio State 0 losses, 32 sos
2. TCU 0 losses, 33 sos
3. UGA 0 losses, 40 sos
4. Michigan 0 losses, 71 sos
5. Tennessee 1 loss, 21 sos
6. USC 1 loss, 41 sos
7. Oregon 1 loss 43 sos
8. Clemson1 loss, 49 sos
9. Ole Miss 1 loss, 61 sos
10. UCLA 1 loss, 63 sos
11. North Carolina 1 loss, 65 sos
12. Tulane 1 loss, 96 sos
13. Liberty 1 loss, 109 sos

If it ended today we have a pretty clear top 4.
It appears a 1 loss vols would be over a 1 loss TOSU/Michigan loser

I was kind of shocked to see Ohio State's sos ranked tougher than TCU. I was expecting this to result in a TCU #1 ranking.
 
If you added the points that Tennessee, Michigan, and Oregon scored against Georgia the last time they played the Dawgs those points wouldn’t be enough to beat Georgia in any of the three games. #GoDawgs
 
I was kind of shocked to see Ohio State's sos ranked tougher than TCU. I was expecting this to result in a TCU #1 ranking.

I was looking at Sagarin's SOS yesterday as well. I was surprised to see Ohio State's SOS as high as they were. But based on where he has Penn State, ND, Iowa and Wisconsin ranked it gives them more quality wins than I would give them credit for (he has them 4-0 vs top 30). I credit them with the Penn State win as a good one, that would be all, however if I had to sit and rank teams I suppose ND, Iowa and Wisconsin would be somewhere in the top 30-40.

How Sagarin has TCU ranked 13 is hard to justify especially since they have the same SOS as Ohio State and the same record (SOS 32 vs 33)
 
Notre Dame's win over Clemson has to be a good thing for USC. A win over Oregon in the PAC 12 champ game and USC is firmly in the playoff
 
Notre Dame's win over Clemson has to be a good thing for USC. A win over Oregon in the PAC 12 champ game and USC is firmly in the playoff
Yeah if they make a 3 game run beating UCLA, ND and Oregon they'll have earned it
 
Playoff expansion has nothing to do with finding a true champion. It has everything to do with more games on national networks and more advertisements. The networks aren't going to pay all that money to the conferences to get fewer games.

I do agree that it makes for more relevant games in November. Not as far as finding out who the best team is, we'll know that more times than not by mid-October, but for teams and conferences that have very little chance of making a 4 team playoff, the prospects of making a 12 team playoff is exciting. And while it's been a while since we've seen a truly massive upset, weird things can happen. Injuries can certainly derail a team like it did last year for Alabama. Players do stupid things like get suspended. Or having to play 3-4 games, anything can happen. I was initially against the playoff, and I'm still against the committee and any kind of subjective reasoning, but I think the 12 team thing could be fun, if not exactly effective in figuring out the best team. Give the portal and NIL a few more years, there'll be more parity down the road I think
 
There is a lot to be determined yet in the PAC 12.

Oregon 6-0 vs UW, vs Utah, at OSU
USC 6-1 vs CU, at UCLA vs ND
UCLA 5-1 vs Zona, vs USC, at Cal
Utah 5-1 vs Stanford, at Ore, at CU
Washington 4-2 at Ore, vs CU, at WSt

The games of note being Oregon hosting Washington this week and Oregon hosting Utah next week. An upset between Zona - UCLA or Beavers -Ducks would seem somewhat unlikely but possible.

Remember PAC 12 did away with their divisions and now it is top 2 teams playing eachother. Could get messy if there is a 2-way or 3-way tie at the top. Looks clean now if chalk holds out (I assume USC will be favored at UCLA).

What if USC, Utah and Oregon all finish with 1 loss? What if USC finishes with 1 loss and Oregon, Washington, UCLA and Utah all finish with 2 losses? Or if USC finishes with 2 losses and UCLA, Utah and Oregon all finish with 1 loss.

Who plays who for the league title?

After abolishing divisions, I think there will be years that the top 2 playing eachother won't be as clean and simple as planners think. There will be uncomfortable tie breakers some years.
 
Basically USC won't be traveling until a conference ship game, not even sure if it's still hosted in Santa Clara or not
 
I could not disagree more.

You are suggesting that the games yet to be played will be more meaningful.

But at the same time you are making the games that have already been played less meaningful. If teams that lost previous games still have an illegitimate chance to enter into a playoff, then what meaning did that game have, what consequences were their to losing that game? None.

And I do not agree that future games need to be made more meaningful. I think you, or advocates like yourself, are trying to create something that doesn't need created. You think allowing more teams to make a playoff will make more games matter. The games matter now. All games matter. It is the basis of competition and team athletics. What game doesn't or won't matter?

Every game has a consequence for reaching goals and objectives. Not every goal can or should be attainable when teams lose a game or games. But there are other goals and objectives that can be achieved by still winning.

All playoff expansion proponent are doing in my mind is giving undeserving teams a second chance to compete for the biggest prize in the sport. If Tennessee doesn't win their division, doesn't win their conference, they don't deserve a national title opportunity because they were not good enough in the games that mattered most compared to the team(s) they lost to who beat them.

It is ironic that you think changing the sport to some kind of 12 team playoff would make it more worth watching, while I feel the exact opposite - it is a huge turn off and I am not exaggerating when I say it would make me less likely to watch.
Here’s an example. Pac 12 USC vs UCLA rivalry game becomes more meaningful to represent the south in the Pac 12 championship which then could get them a berth in the playoffs with another win in the Pac 12 title game. You’re missing the point. This isn’t about upsetting Georgia or Alabama or whoever the top seed is in the playoffs. This is about give us something meaningful to watch in the regular other than who’s qualifying for a Bowl bid. Above all this is we will ultimately see less players opt out because they’re in the playoffs with some hope of winning a title.
You guys need to think more out of the box then being fixated on the top 4. The college football season in its current format gives us very little. This yr in college football its only about Georgia, Tennessee, Ohio St, Michigan and maybe Clemson and LSU. Cant get a more boring regular season.
 
Here’s an example. Pac 12 USC vs UCLA rivalry game becomes more meaningful to represent the south in the Pac 12 championship which then could get them a berth in the playoffs with another win in the Pac 12 title game. You’re missing the point. This isn’t about upsetting Georgia or Alabama or whoever the top seed is in the playoffs. This is about give us something meaningful to watch in the regular other than who’s qualifying for a Bowl bid. Above all this is we will ultimately see less players opt out because they’re in the playoffs with some hope of winning a title.
You guys need to think more out of the box then being fixated on the top 4. The college football season in its current format gives us very little. This yr in college football its only about Georgia, Tennessee, Ohio St, Michigan and maybe Clemson and LSU. Cant get a more boring regular season.

I don't think I'm missing a point because I have not mentioned upsetting anyone in the playoff.

I think you might be missing my point. USC vs UCLA is already massively meaningful. It's not just about a bowl bid. It is about beating your #1 rival. It is about winning a division, or now just representing yourself and your school in a league title game and having a chance to be league champion. Why aren't those things aren't good enough for you?

You feel like the sport needs to get better so you like it more. I think it is fantastic the way it is, or more accurately, the way it used to be before the BS committee and push for expansion ramped up.

It seems all you care about are a handful of highly ranked teams playing eachother. The sport is way way bigger and frankly better than that.
 
Here’s an example. Pac 12 USC vs UCLA rivalry game becomes more meaningful to represent the south in the Pac 12 championship which then could get them a berth in the playoffs with another win in the Pac 12 title game. You’re missing the point. This isn’t about upsetting Georgia or Alabama or whoever the top seed is in the playoffs. This is about give us something meaningful to watch in the regular other than who’s qualifying for a Bowl bid. Above all this is we will ultimately see less players opt out because they’re in the playoffs with some hope of winning a title.
You guys need to think more out of the box then being fixated on the top 4. The college football season in its current format gives us very little. This yr in college football its only about Georgia, Tennessee, Ohio St, Michigan and maybe Clemson and LSU. Cant get a more boring regular season.
I miss voters and split national championships

Watching more and more meaningless games in the grand scheme of things will never be a solution for me, and I'm not sure you won't see more opting out because not playing 3-4 extra games is just a smart investment over a national title.
 
Also wise, there is no such thing as the Pac 12 South anymore, it's already jacked up in that teams can play each other a 2nd time in a conference ship, making the first one pretty irrelevant. Throw in to the mix with a larger playoff, we'll periodically see teams play a third time in one season. That BS is for the pros, not having rematches is one of the most pure things left about college football.
 
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