Week 10 ncaa prop shop

[2daBank]

I dunno if we consider these props or not but I’m gonna go ahead and call it one since love this play tonight.,

Wake team total under 17.5 -140
Wake tt un 14.5 +120

Considered both duke wrs, used one of them in a sgp can’t remember which and super busy right now. Basically I used the 17.5 -140 parlayed with a nfl prop, played the un 14,5 straight.

 

[2daBank]

I was hoping to see Leonard pass props but not such luck. Feel like duke puts it on this crappy wake team tonight. The d could seriously score more than they allow! That qb griffs for wake is terrible

 

[2daBank]

I don’t understand why DK being pussies and not posting a rushing number for either qb tonight? They usually don’t pull this in power 5 games, last night I thought they were being assholes bout Leonard but turned out I was a moron and didn’t realize he was out!! I know that isn’t the case tonight and they have passing yards for both qbs. If you can get a rush prop for BC qb Castillanos obviously the number matters but I’d play him anything less than 60. Since I don’t have that option going with

Castellanos ov 196.5 pass yards,

Its not that I don’t like this, the only issue is I feel like this play comes down to game script more so than his rush yards which I expect him to get regardless how the game plays out. The concern here is we get another cuse game like last week and their offense is so awful that BC has no incentive to throw the ball after getting a big lead! Last week Drones had 160 at halftime only needing 207 to cash however Hokies defense totally dominated the garbage cuse offense so there was no reason to throw the ball the entire 4th qrtr, not to mention Hokies were breaking off 7-8-9 yards a run in the 2nd half so of course Hokies didn’t have any reason to throw a pass!!

The good news here is I think we have a lot more reason to believe cuse offense might actually look competent tonight. BC defense isn’t very good, last year cuse passed all over these guys on the way to scoring over 30 points! I often talk bout how bad I think cuse offense is and it is bad, I don’t think Schrader is particularly good, and the system is crap imo. That said they have been playing a lot of pretty good defenses since starting acc play, Hokies may have some issues but they also super aggressive getting to the qb and getting penetration on run plays with their blitzes which happens to be one cuse biggest problems as they 124th in sack rate. Lucky for them BC has shown no ability to get pressure only getting sacks on 3% of passes attempted against them!! Schrader should feel like a new man tonight as it been a month since he has had a clean pocket to throw from! Cuse also has what looks like a massive edge in the red zone as BC d hasn’t been able to stop anyone from scoring inside the 20. Combine that with this line that feels very pro cuse to me and it makes me think at the very least they will be competitive enough BC won’t be able to just sit on the ball the entire 2nd half! As long as BC in a neutral or better yet negative game script I don’t think he will have any problem hitting this number against a poor cuse pass d.

 

[2daBank]

Cuse qb being a last minute scratch kinda killed game script for us with BC qb. He also missed a few 4th qrtr passes that coulda went for 70+ and cashed. That said they got me cause like I mentioned I really wanted a Castillanos rush prop and as I mentioned anything less than 60 woulda heve been pound town. I guess they wernt trying to give out a free one there! Still say if cuse didn’t have a backup throwing 4 picks we wouida almost for sure got 30+ more passing yards. Anyways what can ya do. The wake team total was a kick in the nuts then last night the qb not playing for cuse hurt the game script. Annoyed cause I shoulda have just bet BC, just let it get in my head that the whole world was happy to get plus money vs crappy Ass cuse!! Anyways. We just bust these Mfers up today and won’t even remember the crappy start!

 

[2daBank]

Only a couple 11 o’clock

Dart (ol miss) ov 249.5 pass yards
Harris (ol miss) ov 59.5 rec yards

I like ol miss here but this the prop thread and this how I see it. Last year Rebs ran for almost 400 yards on Am, for as good Aggies run d looks on paper the best run teans they faced last 2 years have put up numbers. So why we going w the pass game? I just gotta believe Aggies popped in last years tape and have to decide to stack the box here, their front 7 is solid but they can not afford to let Judkins. Dart, and everyone else run all over them!! Where I think Aggies are beatable is their corners and I think they gonna be forced to have them on islands here. They have Judkins at 72.5 and dart at only 25.5 rush yards, if that doesn’t scream Aggies are selling out against run I dunno what does??!? Imo that has to be a bit a tell!! Or im a dumb ass and not playing crazy low rush numbers for those guys!! On top of that they hang this 249.5 on dart who has only went over this number in one sec game, against lsu no less. I could tbeiw for 300 on them!! My gut says Aggies come in and focus totally on the run and I think Dart and co make them pay! I like the idea of sprinkling Harris 80+ for nice little plus money payout also!


My only other early play is a total.

Nd/clemson undsr 44.5.

I think 20 points wins this game.

 

[2daBank]

1 oclock

King (Gtech) ov 46.5 rush yards.

He has broken this number in all but 1 acc game. Uva hasn’t done well with mobile qbs, Armstrong, Castillanos, the william and Mary qb, Milton have all had success running from
The qb spot against Uva. Uva also doesn’t get much a pass rush so sacks shouldn’t be much a factor. King will take off and teams generally surprised by his speed and he breaks a pretty long one. Not sure why Gtech dogs here but it should be a competitive game and I think he gets this rather easy

 

[2daBank]

I got a bunch coming at 2:30 but I need some sleep, just wanted to post the earlier ones.

 

[2daBank]

Cook (mizzou) ov 238.5

Crazy I think I’ve only played him one time, not even sure I did that but think maybe the k-st game? Anyways I been talking mizzou up all week, even said I thought they could shock the world,, I don’t strongly believe that, I do think they cover cause I believe they can score 20-24 points, add 15 to that and it a awful big ask frim Uga. I’m really not sure what happens on that side the ball, I say this often with mizzou d, despite watching a bunch of them I have ni clue how good or bad they are? I think they ok. I think they much better when the offense can be balanced and try to control the TOP, problem with that today is I think the only way they can consistently score is for Drinkowitz to let loose the reigns and let them spread it out and throw throw throw!! I understand you don’t want to be predictable and have Uga pinning their ears back but you gotta be aggressive on the early downs and early in the game, then you can start mixing in some run but if they try to pull the nonsense drink seems to prefer and just run up into the Los for 1-2 yards at a time he gonna make life way to difficult on cook having to move the chains in obvious passing spots. That shit won’t work and Uga will win by 20. Drink has shown sone willingness to let them be more aggressive, just have to hope he smart enough this one those spots they have to play that way!!! I guess the nice thing bout this play if Drink is a stubborn ass and mizzou finds themselves down a bunch cook could easily hit this number trying to mount a comeback. I understand dawgs d deserves respect but 240 for cook with these wrs is redic low, ultimately I think this play safer than mizzou +15 cause if he don’t throw for more than 240 might as well rip up the mizzou tickets!

 

[2daBank]

Drones (Vatech) ov 195.5 passing
Ov 43.5 rush

I have wrote a bunch bout this game. I love Hokies not only +10 but I think they win this game. Love both these plays and couldn’t decide if one was better than the other! The only way I see him under 200 passing is if Hokies defense just shuts ville down and I don’t expect that happens. Brohm will find ways to exploit Hokies aggressive blitzing style. There will be plenty of times Hokies blitzes will kill villle drives. This has the makings of a good game, that what we want for the props. I see 230 thru the air and another 65 on the ground

 

[2daBank]

Gabriel (Sooners) ov 260.5 passing

Farooq ov 55.5 rec/100+ at +400

Nic anderson 100+ rec +550

After beating texas Sooners clearly lost a bit their edge, they also lost one their better wrs. They have abandoned Gabriel throwing the ball down the field. I believe that bs stops today, nothing picks a team back up like a rivalry! Farooq was visibly pissed off showing similarities to many great diva wrs who do not like when their team loses and they felt like the ball didn’t come their way enough!! In the nfl it would be a lock he gets fed the rock early and often. I expect this happens here and I believe okie lite can be beat thru the air!!

Eventually nic anderson will make everyone forget bout losing the other wr but he young and still learning. He has all the ability and I think he will def see a few deep shots today. We did this one other week with 2 wrs confident one will have a monster game, Farooq the safer bet and I think he close to a lock to hit his number as they made this 25 yards short imo, Far anderson goes he might not catch a pass, I do think they will at least throw 1-2 bombs his way, +550 I figure it worth 30 bucks to win 165!!

 

[2daBank]

Plumlee (ucf) ov 236.5 pass yards

Love fading this cincy secondary!’ I found it a bit odd ucf was favs here but I know this much, they not gonna win by runninnf the ball. This number light if he healthy.,

 

[KJ]

Hate this morning

Anything outside of props as related to lines? This is a shit show. Fortunately football then horses on USA!

 

[DapperDan]

Love em - UVA ranked 132nd against the run in PFF,

Missouri was thinking about which WR maybe Cooper underneath a lot but think Pass yards good

Love plumlee - Cinn secondary ranked 127th in pff
also later van dyke NC state secondary ranked 105th

These are my other two:
Taulia Tagovailia Interceptions over .5 (-170) .5x units
Damien Martinez over 93.5 rushing yard (-114)

 

[2daBank]

Hate this morning

Anything outside of props as related to lines? This is a shit show. Fortunately football then horses on USA!

I hate the morning card to bro. I only played 2 props in same game. Dart and his wr. If I couldn’t play props I’d play ol miss.

Only other thing im on is Nd/clemson under 44.5

Everything else for me is almost alll 2:30 and then I love bama tonight.

 

[KJ]

I hate the morning card to bro. I only played 2 props in same game. Dart and his wr. If I couldn’t play props I’d play ol miss.

Only other thing im on is Nd/clemson under 44.5

Everything else for me is almost alll 2:30 and then I love bama tonight.

Lol I love LSU but I'll be watching ISU/KU if I'm awake

 

[2daBank]

Greene (wvu) ov 55.5 rush yards

Pretty sure I tried to get Alt props on this but they didn’t offer. He could go for 100 on byu!!

Milroe ov 236.5 pass yards
Burton ov 63.5 rec

Love bama tonight and their path to victory is run a bunch to milk clock and hit deep shots. I expect Milroe gets this easy, if lsu can push the scoring I wouldn’t be surprised if he throws for 300+. Im just not sure the game gomma go that way. Obviously there gomma be points but i think bama d will get some stops and shorten game as much they can. If lsu does like some other teams have and get a early lead before bama d adjust them Milroe puts up a monster!! Burden will get most of this on one Play!!

 

[2daBank]

Lol I love LSU but I'll be watching ISU/KU if I'm awake

That hilarious, 1st of the year I woulda bet anything I’d been on lsu here and yoi on bama!! I have bet more on bama this year than any other!! Just took everyone else stop liking them for them to be my team! Lol. I think it redic they only -3 at home to one the worst defenses in the power 5!! How can ya justify -3 here wjen they laid -8.5 to vols and -7 to a Rebs team who hung 55 on lsu??? Makes no sense to me, I’ll ride or die w saban laying a fg at home all day every day. As much I love lsu players they havnt proven shit far as ability to win the big games outside beating bama last year. A terrible d will cause that! Figured yoi be loving watching the shine rub off Brian Kelly!!

 

[2daBank]

Lol I love LSU but I'll be watching ISU/KU if I'm awake

That hilarious, 1st of the year I woulda bet anything I’d been on lsu here and yoi on bama!! I have bet more on bama this year than any other!! Just took everyone else stop liking them for them to be my team! Lol. I think it redic they only -3 at home to one the worst defenses in the power 5!! How can ya justify -3 here wjen they laid -8.5 to vols and -7 to a Rebs team who hung 55 on lsu??? Makes no sense to me, I’ll ride or die w saban laying a fg at home all day every day. As much I love lsu players they havnt proven shit far as ability to win the big games outside beating bama last year. A terrible d will cause that! Figured yoi be loving watching the shine rub off Brian Kelly!!

 

[KJ]

That hilarious, 1st of the year I woulda bet anything I’d been on lsu here and yoi on bama!! I have bet more on bama this year than any other!! Just took everyone else stop liking them for them to be my team! Lol. I think it redic they only -3 at home to one the worst defenses in the power 5!! How can ya justify -3 here wjen they laid -8.5 to vols and -7 to a Rebs team who hung 55 on lsu??? Makes no sense to me, I’ll ride or die w saban laying a fg at home all day every day. As much I love lsu players they havnt proven shit far as ability to win the big games outside beating bama last year. A terrible d will cause that! Figured yoi be loving watching the shine rub off Brian Kelly!!

You do realize my dislike of Bama is infinite and my dislike of Brian Kelly is that plus one

I just think these are two fringe top twenty teams where the better team is catching a field goal

 

[2daBank]

You do realize my dislike of Bama is infinite and my dislike of Brian Kelly is that plus one

I just think these are two fringe top twenty teams where the better team is catching a field goal

I just dunno what lsu has shown to think they better? I love danieks. Nabers, and Thomas but defense still matters to me and lsu d is ridiculously bad. Bama still has one the better d’s in the country far as I can tell plus I find it super impressive how they been able to figure out pretty much every offense they have faced and totally shut them down in the second half,, lsu offense prob far and away the closest thing capable of duplicating what horns did and do it even better, I have no doubt lsu will hit some deep shots but i also trust bama will get stops and just don’t think lsu is. If I was them I’d bring the house all night, live w the times bama beats the blitz and hope they can cause a few turnovers wjen it gets home, seems to me lsu would be best served by faster pace and more plays but I expect bama to dictate the terms.

 

[billsfan820]

Greene (wvu) ov 55.5 rush yards

Pretty sure I tried to get Alt props on this but they didn’t offer. He could go for 100 on byu!!

Milroe ov 236.5 pass yards
Burton ov 63.5 rec

Love bama tonight and their path to victory is run a bunch to milk clock and hit deep shots. I expect Milroe gets this easy, if lsu can push the scoring I wouldn’t be surprised if he throws for 300+. Im just not sure the game gomma go that way. Obviously there gomma be points but i think bama d will get some stops and shorten game as much they can. If lsu does like some other teams have and get a early lead before bama d adjust them Milroe puts up a monster!! Burden will get most of this on one Play!!

Damn Milroe was looking like a lock. We need LSU to score here and hope we can get 20 more yds from Milroe

 

[2daBank]

Damn Milroe was looking like a lock. We need LSU to score here and hope we can get 20 more yds from Milroe

Shit turned out to be worst prop day I’ve had all season, sorry man.

It def helped me bama was my biggest side of day, but then I split the other 2. Tigers came thru w cover at least, if Drinkwitz wasn’t such w Garbage coach I think they coulda won outright and cook woulda easily cashed his pass prop, still shocked he didn’t hit that! I guess when the HC rather take a knee 3x and punt than take any chance of his solid qb and future nfl wrs potentially making a mistake.


but then Hokies turned out to be probably the ugliest bet I made in some time, certainly this year, throw in the fact Drones didn’t come close to either his numbers and Hokies made me look like a real putz. I didn’t understand anything bout how they played and approached that game! Just the playcalling alone was nothing like the aggressive style that had started to win me over. Even after getting destroyed in 1st half they were only down 11 and super close to a cover, defense gets a 3 and out right after break and I thought be were in business! Of course I expected something different than the same trash they ran 1st but nope? Start with another stupid ass run trying to get out around the edges which of course played right into a smaller but fast ville d! Dunno why I was surprised after 1st stupid play they went back to the 3 yard passing game. I really thought there was a ok chance to hit his proip when ville went up 24-3 w bout 5 min left in 3rd. We shoulda got the no huddle and prevent d but instead Hokies continue to stand around giving that stupid dummy snap count then all looking back over for another garbage play. Just to piss me off even worse Why punt in that spot In h game near midfield? It was like they had no interst in being there and played nothing like the team I had watched some of late!! Granted they were stepping up in class but I think it still very debatable how good ville is?? Guess we just have to wait till the Acc champiomship even they face noles and get curb stompped!!

 

[2daBank]

Gabriel (Sooners) ov 260.5 passing

Farooq ov 55.5 rec/100+ at +400

Nic anderson 100+ rec +550

After beating texas Sooners clearly lost a bit their edge, they also lost one their better wrs. They have abandoned Gabriel throwing the ball down the field. I believe that bs stops today, nothing picks a team back up like a rivalry! Farooq was visibly pissed off showing similarities to many great diva wrs who do not like when their team loses and they felt like the ball didn’t come their way enough!! In the nfl it would be a lock he gets fed the rock early and often. I expect this happens here and I believe okie lite can be beat thru the air!!

Eventually nic anderson will make everyone forget bout losing the other wr but he young and still learning. He has all the ability and I think he will def see a few deep shots today. We did this one other week with 2 wrs confident one will have a monster game, Farooq the safer bet and I think he close to a lock to hit his number as they made this 25 yards short imo, Far anderson goes he might not catch a pass, I do think they will at least throw 1-2 bombs his way, +550 I figure it worth 30 bucks to win 165!!

Does anything sum this day up more fittingly than this?!??!???! Anyone see the yardage totals for Farooq and anderson?!?!!! And they both had those prior to the last couple drives so of course they feed stoops every pass and send him over 100!!! This shit stung here, I cash the alt props on these 2 along with the Harris kid hitting a 80+ and dart being dead on balls accurate and my day isn’t bad. What posssessed me to not wheel them all like I normally do? Taking Harris regular number w dart then taking 80+ was nice but typically I woulda wheeled him
Every 10 yards to st least a 100, better then whet i did w Sooners and didn’t play any the alt numbers other than the 100+, I never do that either bud I seemed to make a lot of god awful desicions today.

Not much more I can say. For some reason Ucf tried winning withijghg throwing a forward pass!! In the 1st damn qrtr!!!!


Drinkowitz a terrible fucjing coach, I try warning guys bout him every week their gane looks like a potential shootout. If he has it his way mixzou will call at least as many run plays as pass, often times more runs despite the fact their strength is obviously that trio of wrs who will be playing on Sunday’s’. I said it all week if this clown attempted to be balanced they lose, if he had the guts to open up the offense maybe they pull the upset, after watching I can now say w great confidence at the very least gm would have came down to last possession. It just crazy to me he is so hell bent on runnng? Not saying they shouldn’t run at all but all those fantastic wr’s and a qb that rarely turns It over they should be throwing at 35+times a week minumhm

 

[2daBank]

Welll at least we finished this fuck ass day off with a winnner as marrtunez hits his rush total