Week 10 Discussion Thread


Man that way to many points imo. I believe pitt d can really slow down the smu run game. For my money I think Holstein is the better passer and Pitt front will get way more pressure imo. I’m not even sure I want the points, I been a Pitt buyer from early on and they do nothing but impress me more every week. The way they took cuse offense apart was impressive.
 
We all been eyeing it…

I been waiting to get pit as dogs! Lol. At least ya’ll win if I’m dead wrong but I been on pitt ti be undefeated going into the Clemson game for some time. I’ve seen way more of Pitt than smu so maybe I’m taking them to lightly but I just don’t see so impressive bout them? Pitt run d is good enough to slow that aspect down, Smu could slow Pitt run game also but give me Holstein with more time in pocket.
 
Man that way to many points imo. I believe pitt d can really slow down the smu run game. For my money I think Holstein is the better passer and Pitt front will get way more pressure imo. I’m not even sure I want the points, I been a Pitt buyer from early on and they do nothing but impress me more every week. The way they took cuse offense apart was impressive.
Same I didn’t expect 7.5 honestly
 
Same I didn’t expect 7.5 honestly

I was shocked it that high, maybe I’m an idiot and Smu is better than them, they sure seem to think so. Sometimes I get stuck on a team like Pitt but it not like I been wrong w them. The smu kid being loose with the ball lately fumbling and throwing some ints does not bode well against pitt aggressive d. I’m always pretty confident narduzzi d’s can slow down if not shut down run games and get pressure, they def have a tendency to get burnt from time to time being so aggressive but when he has a legit qb and offensive system that isn’t the 3 yards and cloud of dust he been known to go about offensive with, they can overcome the occasional big play cause this offense is potent in its own right. Obviously I’ve thought highly of Pitt most the year but I been more impressed by them every week cause they been finding different ways to win games, I know they can throw it around the yard if they have to get in a shootout, I think Reid can score from anywhere on the field if he gets a crease, then last few weeks the defense has flat out won games for them. Granted McCord for cuse has had turnover issues all year but cuse offense has also been lighting teams up and Pitt wasn’t having it! The found a way to hold on against a cal team who seems to be pretty dang tough. Smu really hasn’t impressed me, not entirely their fault but they havnt faced many teams that will stress them the way pitt will on both sides the ball!! They beat perpetually overrated ville by a td in a game ville had damn near 500 yards of offense!! Barely beat duke and they let dukes terrible inaccurate qb throw for 295!! What is it everyone likes so much bout smu? Pitt is gonna move the ball over over them, I don’t even think that should be debatable. Then Pitt d will easily be the toughest they have faced imo, maybe Duke d close but we see all the turnovers they forced out of Jennings! Not only bad throws but when he runs he carries the ball like a loaf of bread! Better believe Narduzzi has his defenders ripping at the ball all this week at practice! More times than not I like being kinda alone but I respect all you guys enough to hear your thoughts out here. Ya really have to wow me for me to even think bout backing off pitt but im certainly open to listen to what ya think this game looks like? 10 years ago I’d be scared this line was a tell but since I’ve stopped giving the line any respect I think it has helped my capping, just like last week I woulda been scared off byu in years past but turned out that line was as dumb I thought it was!! This one feels just as ignorant to me cause on a neutral id lay 3 with pitt!! Im not dismissing the idea im off my rocker that just how I feel here.
 
Could we get Syracuse as a home dog vs VT?

That line to 4! Another one I don’t get at all! The only thing I hate bout cuse is it a given McCord gonna make 2-4 throws a game that you would think he color blind or doesn’t understand the concept of the game! lol. That said before running into Pitt I’ve been impressed with cuse finally being able to develop a rushing attack to go with what a potent passing game minus the turnovers! Cuse d is far from great but I thought they did a pretty good job on Pitt o, really tough to know how real that was seeing how Pitt got 3 defensive tds!?!?? But I do think cuse good enough to limit drones passing, I worry vtech can run on cuse, their scheme just vulnerable to good rush attacks. If McCord plays clean cuse wins by 2 scores, the likelihood he plays clean isn’t very good tho, think it a down to the wire game so let them keep pushing that number up, I’d love +4.5!
 
don’t love messing w these Tuesday games. I could be way off but I played Texas st rb

Mahdi ov 98.5 and a td

High total, fav, if game script plays right even if he doesn’t hit this early he should be running the clock out late. Last year he shredded Louisiana for well over 120! Rajon Cajuns allowing 5ypc this year so unless they come storming out and take a big lead just don’t think they stopping this kid. I did consider a few Cajuns wr props but decided not to get crazy today, I saved that for my WS bets! Lol
 
I didn't touch because it's a Tuesday, but my Texas State team has now had two straight horrid offensive games.

If that prick running back doesn’t fumble I think he hits his yards and they pull that game out, totally killed the momentum, they had tied it up and were driving ball then he coughs it up on a 13 yard run. After that Cajuns pretty much held a lead and when forced to throw they were terrible, believe the starting qb got hurt and it was a backup doing most the damage to team.
 
Well maybe this why smu such big favs, turns out Holstein a game time desicion. I didht realize he got hurt last week thought he just wasn’t needed when he left. Not sure I can touch pitt without him.
 
Yeah, but Yarnell is more than capable and has experience. And he looked pretty good when he stepped in for Holstein last week. Holstein has been pretty bad last few games so don’t view this as much of a downgrade. I’ve been licking my chops to bet against Pitt here, but may have to hold off until the Clemson game.
 
Yeah, but Yarnell is more than capable and has experience. And he looked pretty good when he stepped in for Holstein last week. Holstein has been pretty bad last few games so don’t view this as much of a downgrade. I’ve been licking my chops to bet against Pitt here, but may have to hold off until the Clemson game.

I think you def be better off with Clemson, hopefully Pitt looks really good here and line is reasonable. The way Klubnick playing think he will roast Pitt over aggressive d
 
Rich Rod and that white running QB have been looking hard to stop in the SBC.

Liberty is a fraud and the wheels are falling off. Losing to a winless program last week and now barely favored at home. Think they lose.
Agreed. They'd been pretty fraudulent this year. Especially ATS. Figured soon as they lost once, there would be plenty of opportunities to bet against them.
 
I haven’t seen much of Charlotte this year. Just box scores. Tulane has kinda been fucking about late in games…I figured 2 touchdowns and maybe a half.

Another glance seems like they up and down but been playing well. I’d have to look at maybe taking the points
 
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Rich Rod and that white running QB have been looking hard to stop in the SBC.

Liberty is a fraud and the wheels are falling off. Losing to a winless program last week and now barely favored at home. Think they lose.

His rush prop is 80.5 , what’s liberty pass rush like? Can’t be taking sacks w that big a number. The total felt high to me, 64? Lot of running.
 
Rich Rod and that white running QB have been looking hard to stop in the SBC.

Liberty is a fraud and the wheels are falling off. Losing to a winless program last week and now barely favored at home. Think they lose.

I rolled w Jax st ml and the qb over 80.5 rushing. Just some degen action tho, I have no idea really.
 
Run heavy game against two top conference teams in Jax St/Liberty, should be about controlling the clock

WKU obviously as a fade of Kennesaw

Neither may hit but it's the only way I can play them
 
Run heavy game against two top conference teams in Jax St/Liberty, should be about controlling the clock

WKU obviously as a fade of Kennesaw

Neither may hit but it's the only way I can play them

The liberty total sure felt freaking high
 
Two high scoring teams but the script shouldn't involve a bunch of possessions from where I'm sitting

Unless nobody on the field has a clue how to play d and there gaping holes on every run! Sure seems like I could coach I high school team to make it harder to run when I know that all these teams do
 
Unless nobody on the field has a clue how to play d and there gaping holes on every run! Sure seems like I could coach I high school team to make it harder to run when I know that all these teams do
Well Liberty likes to throw but that's a recipe for disaster here I believe, also Jax St stud RB is dinged up. Could have waited as I think it's probably even better as a 2h bet but I'm fine with the 64.5
 
Well Liberty likes to throw but that's a recipe for disaster here I believe, also Jax St stud RB is dinged up. Could have waited as I think it's probably even better as a 2h bet but I'm fine with the 64.5

It settled way down. Apparently liberty missing bunch of wrs so that should help
 
Wow Stewart is gonna run for 400!! And I got this stupid qb rush yards! Lol. Maybe at some point Liberty will have to start crashing down and my qb can get some runs. He actually be on a good pace if he didn’t take a 10-12 yard sack :(
 
Has anyone seen an injury update on Blake Horvath? Trying to get injury info on Navy QB is literally like trying to access a government secret (ha).
 
Am I crazy or do books have no clue what they doing with arky? If memory serves me right they were like 2td dogs to vols at home, that one I guess was understandable cause at that point folks were big believers in vols. But since then, lsu goes to arky and ate -2.5 or 3, But now Rebs come in as 7 point road favs?? Those 3 teams not separated by that much! LSU beat Rebs but Rebs are laying 4 more points to arky? Shit seems crazy to me, not this number, the lsu number seemed low. It just nuts how all over the place these lines are against teams I have fairly close power rating wise!!

Far as this actual game it a tough one. Not sure I saw this coming into the year but ol miss d the unit who consistently carries them as the offense has took a huge down turn as they entered sec play, what appesrs to be the biggest problem other than dart not being the most accurate passer is the Rebs oline has not protected well at all! This is where the strength of arky d lies, they are very good generating pressure! If Rebs can’t get Dart time they will struggle, he has time you can pick apart the arky secondary which their biggest weakness. I don’t think Rebs scoring more than 30, and could be more like 24-27. Can arky hang with that score? Cause while we talking bout huge mismatches the rebs d been fantastic vs rpo and they have dudes who should whip a bad arky oline, Ya’ll know my fav saying bout Taylen green, he like a box of chocolates. He can make fantastic plays and while I think Petrino still a good offensive mind they at their best when green plays street ball!! Can he escape the pressure he sure to be under or does he turn back into a pumpkin? I just don’t know.

Scares the hell out of me but this feels like under could be a sneaky good play. Where they set it I gotta believe every simpleton will be slamming this over. But I’ve been burnt late on so many sec unders the last 3 years! I’ll be counting my money for 3 qrtrs next thing ya know they putting up 40 in the 4rh and im throwing shit on verge of beating my wife when she ask what wrong! (Obviously I’m joking I havnt beat theresa since the cancer! 😂) Maybe 1st half under?
 
How come FanDuel only has props up for Georgia st players no ucon? They have td scorers but no rush or passing? Gotta say tho, glad DK booted me cause FanDuel site might not be as easy to use but they actually offer real props on the ncaa games with over and under, not like draft kings garbage cheating asses who just post a bunch of overpriced numbers you can only go over not under! I’d suggest anyone wasting their time with DK check FanDuel out! FanDuel boost are garbage limits but DK limited my boost anyways, weak punk bitches. Plus DK customer service is the worst of all the books!
 
Lol sportsbooks and customer service, they're all the same

I was one and done when FanDuel not once but twice fucked me over on my initial deposit and wagers with them. I only keep them around in case they offer something that someone no one else can compete with. But I still don't know if I'd deposit with them again. Books and banks are all the same, get enough people and there will be issues with every one of them. Fuck FanDuel while you're at fucking DK lol.
 
Lol sportsbooks and customer service, they're all the same

I was one and done when FanDuel not once but twice fucked me over on my initial deposit and wagers with them. I only keep them around in case they offer something that someone no one else can compete with. But I still don't know if I'd deposit with them again. Books and banks are all the same, get enough people and there will be issues with every one of them. Fuck FanDuel while you're at fucking DK lol.

So far when I want to talk with someone FanDuel actually has someone to chat with. Draft kings give you the bs AI and takes hours for response from live person then they useless non helping pricks! Odds are just depends if you get lucky or not with someone who cares bout taking pride in job but the fact FanDuel has someone to talk to instead of 4 hour wait to get quoted same garbage was enough for me, I’ll never play at DK! Not just cause they locked my account when I told them how worthless they are, I pulled all my money out before that ready to play anywhere else! I hate letting them off hook taking their money tho, so if I have a banger I’ll take cash to casino so I can hit them bitches! I just got the feeling if I was a loser instead of up on them I woulda been treated much better!! Maybe FanDuel be less friendly after I start busting their heads also. They should put on the commercials “we only want degens who plan on losing and them losing some more, if you one those ppl who actually withdrawal a lot you not for us@!! Instead they have commercials like ppl winning and everyone happy 😂
 
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