Week 10 📍

[mrpickem]

MONDAY
5/4.42 ARI +3' -113
4/3.25 TEAS. (ARI +10' & o46') 7 Pt

2025 : [115-127 -70.67u]
WEEK9: [11-16 -23.34u]
LAST : [1-1 +0.42u]

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WEEK 10​

THURSDAY

• 7/6.67 DEN -9 -105
• 3/2.86 DEN u43 -105
• 4.05/3 TEAS. (DEN -2, u50) 7 Pt

randoms...

• DEN UNDERS 8-3 IN L11
• LV UNDERS 10-4 IN L15
• DOGS AT NIGHT 17-13 ATS THIS SEASON BUT 1-6 IN L7
• 

Model on DENVER -9

 

[mrpickem]

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WEEK 10​

THURSDAY
7/6.67 DEN -9 -105
3/2.86 DEN u43 -105
4.05/3 TEAS. (DEN -2, u50) 7 Pt

2025: [117-128 -71.81u]
WEEK: [2-1 -1.14u]
LAST: [2-1 -1.14u]

SUNDAY

• 7/6.20 IND -6 -113
• 4/3.81 NYJ +2 -105
• 4/3.81 NYU o37' -105
• 6/6.00 CAR -5; +100
• 6/5.22 NO o38 -115
• 4/3.81 BUF o50 -105
• 4/3.81 JAX -105
• 4/3.81 JAX o37' -105
• 5/3.45 TAM -145
• 4/3.12 TEAS.(BUF +1, NE +12', NE o38) 10-Pt
• 4/3.12 TEAS.(BAL +5', BAL o39, CAR +4') 10-Pt

randoms...

• DOGS 10-5 ATS LAST 10 DAYS
• DOGS AT NIGHT 18-13 58.1% ATS THIS SEASON BUT 2-6 IN L8
• IND TOP SCORING TEAM AT 32.2 PPG, DET 29.9, BUF 29.4, DAL 29.2
• HOU TOP SCORING DEF AT 15.1 PPG, RAMS 15.9, DEN 17.3, KAN 17.7
• SEA TOP PASS OFF AT 9.28 YPP, NE 8.35, GB 7.92, BUF 7.83, IND 7.89
• GB TOP PASS DEF AT 5.36 YPP, DEN 5.54, HOU 5.59, RAMS 5.78
• DEN BIG LEAD IN MOST SACKS AT 46, DET 28, TAM 25

Model likes IND, NYJ, HOU & MIN

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY (late afternoon)

• 4/4.00 SEA -7 +100
• 4/3.64 SEA u45 -110
• 4/3.81 DET -7' -105
• 6/5.71 DET o49 -105
• 4/3.81 LAR -6 -105
• 4/3.08 TEAS.(SEA PK, DET -1) 7-Pt

 

[mrpickem]

Sunday night...

• 4/3.64 LAR -3 -110
• 4/3.64 PIT o44' -110
• 4/3.08 TEAS.(LAC +7, GB +9, PHI o35') 10-Pt

Early games were brutal but made most up on 4pm slot

 

[mrpickem]

SUNDAY
7/6.20 IND -6 -113
4/3.81 NYJ +2 -105
4/3.81 NYJ o37' -105
6/6.00 CAR -5; +100
6/5.22 NO o38 -115
4/3.81 BUF o50 -105
4/3.81 JAX -105
4/3.81 JAX o37' -105
5/3.45 TAM -145
4/3.12 TEAS.(BUF +1, NE +12', NE o38) 10-Pt
4/3.12 TEAS.(BAL +5', BAL o39, CAR +4') 10-Pt
4/4.00 SEA -7 +100
4/3.64 SEA u45 -110
4/3.81 DET -7' -105
6/5.71 DET o49 -105
4/3.81 LAR -6 -105
4/3.08 TEAS.(SEA PK, DET -1) 7-Pt
4/3.64 LAR -3 -110
4/3.64 PIT o44' -110

WEEK: [11-10-1 -6.66u]
LAST: [9-9-1 -5.52u]

4/3.08 TEAS.(LAC +7, GB +9, PHI o35') 10-Pt

MONDAY

• 7/6.67 GB -1 -105
• 4/3.81 PHI o45' -105

randoms...

• Pack opened 3-point chalk. I liked em at three and even better now at lower number. Yes, GB is off loss to CAR, but they'd won the 3 previous home games...all by more than a touchdown. Packers has a better scoring differential than PHI, although only 5.0 PPG margin to 2.9 for PHI. Where they shine though is yards per play differential, as GB is 2nd in the league at an average 2.57 yards more per play than their opponents. Even at 6-2 PHI only avg 0.39 yards more per play. Packers have a score to settle and have had this game circled all year. If Philly hadn't knocked them out of the playoffs last season, then GB had a legit chance of getting to the Super Bowl. A huge spot for them and I expect sky-high. I would expect GB gets a small measure of revenge, and making a statement for this year's team.
• On Monday Night Football:
  
  • The favorite has covered 3 of last 4
  • The under is 57.5% (111-82-6) over last 10+ years(2015-25)
  • PHI is 7-10-1 41.2% ATS (2015-25) w/totals 4-13-1
  • GB is 7-5 58.3% ATS (2015-25) w/totals 5-7

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