Week 1 Schrute Bucks

S

Schrute

Assistant __ ___ Regional Mod
OVERALL RECORD
0-0-0 +-0.00 units

Sides
Alabama -18.5 vs VT 1.10-1.00
Washington St +15.5 vs Auburn 1.10-1.00
Rutgers +10.5 at Fresno State 1.10-1.00
La Lafayette +10.5 at Arkansas 1.10-1.00
Minnesota -14 vs UNLV 1.10-1.00
Ole Miss -3 vs Vanderbilt 1.10-1.00
SMU +5.5 vs Texas Tech 0.55-0.50
Oklahoma St -12.5 vs Mississippi St 1.10-1.00
USC -21 vs Hawaii 1.10-1.00
Toledo +24 vs Florida 1.10-1.00
Northern Illinois +3.5 vs Iowa -118 0.59-0.50
FSU -10 vs Pittsburgh 1.10-1.00
BYU -1 vs Virginia 1.10-1.00
SJSU -18.5 vs Sacramento St 0.55-0.50


Totals
Utah/Utah St U51 1.10-1.00
No Illinois/Iowa U53 1.10-1.00
Rutgers/Fresno St U55 1.10-1.00
Kentucky/WKY U56.5 1.10-1.00
Penn St/Syracuse U50 1.10-1.00
Akron/UCF O55 1.10-1.00


Moneylines
SMU +180 vs Texas Tech 0.50-0.90
Northern Illinois +135 vs Iowa 0.50-0.67


Halves
Kent St -9.5 2H vs Liberty 0.55-0.50


Parlays/Teasers
7 Pt Teaser 0.50-2.75 - Fordham -2.5; Mizz St +10; Chatta +11.5; Delaware +3.5; SE La +8.5; JMU -1.5
ML Parlay - Missouri St/Chattanooga/Delaware/James Madison 1.00-7.28
LSU/Washington ML 1.00-1.40
6.5 Pt Teaser 1.10-1.00 Samford -0.5/Fordham -3 1.10-1.00


Props
Ellington U4 Receptions -135 0.68-0.50


FCS
Wagner +10.5 vs Georgetown 1.20-1.00
Albany +8.5 vs Duquense 1.20-1.00
Chattanooga +1 vs UT-Martin 1.20-1.00
Delaware +8 -120 vs Jacksonville 0.60-0.50
Delaware +245 vs Jacksonville 0.50-1.23
Tenn St +13 vs Bethune Cookman 0.60-0.50
Tenn St +350 vs Bethune Cookman 0.50-1.75
SE Louisiana +5 vs SE Missouri St 0.60-.50
SE Louisiana +160 vs SE Missouri St 0.50-0.80
Missouri St +3 vs Northwestern St 1.20-1.00
Missouri St +110 vs Northwestern St 1.00-1.10
James Madison -4.5 vs Central Connecticut St 1.20-1.00
Marist ML vs Sacred Heart 1.10-1.00
Montana -2 vs Appalachian St 0.60-0.50
 
Last edited:
Bama -18.5 vs VT
3/4 of VT OT are true freshman. Logan won't have time and will make some bad decisions. Bama is going to make him pay and create at least 3 turnovers. AJ will do his thing and I see something along the lines of 37-10. Can do more of a write up once I'm at the computer if anyone cares
 
Adding FCS plays in initial post

Tru and I have discussed these for a while and they're not 100% tails so I'll post them in my thread as long as he doesn't mind. He's on all 3. I went through the rest of the slate and made my own leans tonight. Gonna do a little more work before I lock anything else in. Chattanooga +1 is my favorite FCS play. The line is currently -1 and I think its off by over a touchdown
 
Schrute said:
Adding FCS plays in initial post

Tru and I have discussed these for a while and they're not 100% tails so I'll post them in my thread as long as he doesn't mind. He's on all 3. I went through the rest of the slate and made my own leans tonight. Gonna do a little more work before I lock anything else in. Chattanooga +1 is my favorite FCS play. The line is currently -1 and I think its off by over a touchdown
Click to expand...

:shake:
 
Adding:

Tenn St +13 vs Bethune Cookman 0.60-0.50
Tenn St +350 vs Bethune Cookman 0.50-1.75
SE Louisiana +5 vs SE Missouri St 0.60-.50
SE Louisiana +160 vs SE Missouri St 0.50-0.80
 
Was hesitant to jump on them now but I think exactly what we talked about is happening and it's hard to say when the downturn is going to come
 
Schrute said:
Was hesitant to jump on them now but I think exactly what we talked about is happening and it's hard to say when the downturn is going to come
Click to expand...

I think I know when, was a guess when we talked about it. We will see though. I see though how I need to play these next year to maximize value.
 
Auburn going with Nick marshall at QB which is no surprise after watching Frazier and Wallace in the Spring game. Big kid, sort of in the Cameron form but a lesser passer. True dual threat and they ran a ton of read option stuff in spring ( almost always handing it with the no touch the qb spring rules ). Kids highlight reel shows he prefers to run and holds the ball a little too long when dropping back to pass ( needs to make quicker decisions and in high school was able to extend with his legs to make plays either throwing or running ). Offense looks like classic Gus. Lots of WR screens , jet sweeps, misdirection runs, read option, fake wr screen - fake block - streak , ... really attacking the perimeter. WR's were wide open all over the secondary in spring but I suppose some of that was still learning the 4-2-5 defense of Ellis Johnson. Still that has to be a huge concern for Tigers facing Washington State and what they do and that is compounded with the loss of McNeal ( Weed... and yet another...) . Even in the spring game Gus was running hurry up to the extreme at certain points in the game and have to think that as they move along they can go even faster a few months later. Where auburn is good is at RB .. Mason and Artis-Payne are both very good players. Last year the Auburn team had 2 interceptions ??? They were extraordinarily poor against the pass last year. Everything I am reading out of Washington State is good news, more experienced, depth is better, offense clicking better in another year of Leach, WR's are decent and the lockerroom no longer has the cancer in it.
 
Adding FCS:

James Madison -4.5 vs Central Connecticut St 1.20-1.00
Marist ML vs Sacred Heart 1.10-1.00
 
14 more games to finalize leans/plays

Current leans:
<style type="text/css"><!-- br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;} --></style>

<colgroup><col style="width: 158px"></colgroup><tbody>
[TD="align: left"]Citadel -25.5[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]UNC/SC U56.5[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]UNC +11[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]Minnesota -14[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]Utah -2.5[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]USC -22[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]TTU/SMU O58.5[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]Montana -2[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]Akron/UCF O55[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]Fresno/Rut U55[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]Michigan St -27.5[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]Toledo/UF U56[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]NIU ML[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]BYU -3[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]Ball St -12[/TD]

[TD="align: left"]Northern Iowa +16/ML[/TD]

</tbody>
 
appreciate the thoughts Mags...looking forward to your week 1 thread

Adding FBS:
Rutgers +10.5 at Fresno 1.10-1.00
Rutgers/Fresno St U55 1.10-1.00
 
added a few more

The card will be large week to week as team totals still haven't been released

The card will be enormous if I have a good handle on FCS
 
GL this year Schrute.....curiously starting to like wazzu to give auburn a game too....:shake:
 
Added a few last night. This morning I just added USC -21 vs Hawaii. Couldn't pass up that line drop. Maybe someone knows something I don't but I think there are a few things at play here.

1. The 2 QB system shouldn't matter against Hawaii and you know you've got a backup solid enough to still be getting quality play late in the game
2. Last year the Trojans dominated and though that game was in LA I don't get why the line is changed so significantly
3. Kiffin needs to make statements this year. He doesn't need to go into Hawaii and take an unimpressive 37-20 type of game. He needs a drubbing to please the boosters
4. Simplification of the defense. I know that USC has another DC but a simpler system will be more effective and they shouldn't have any trouble stopping Hawaii
5. Prediction USC 45 Hawaii 13
 
Schrute said:
Added a few last night. This morning I just added USC -21 vs Hawaii. Couldn't pass up that line drop. Maybe someone knows something I don't but I think there are a few things at play here.

2. Last year the Trojans dominated and though that game was in LA I don't get why the line is changed so significantly
Click to expand...

USC was overvalued lastyear week 1 because of they preseason #1 ranking. Line was what 44? I was against USC I thought it was off 5-7 points. so wit USC down now from where they were this time lastyear and Hawaii up from lastyear, 9-10 point swing from home USC to home Hawaii that's why u have -21/-22. If this was at USC I could see this line bein -31/-32 or so, they won by 39 and that 44 line was very inflated. Less hype this year from last and Hawaii up from this time lastyear USC backers have more value. Me personally I see no value in this game from my line. GL Dwight.
 
tru said:
USC was overvalued lastyear week 1 because of they preseason #1 ranking. Line was what 44? I was against USC I thought it was off 5-7 points. so wit USC down now from where they were this time lastyear and Hawaii up from lastyear, 9-10 point swing from home USC to home Hawaii that's why u have -21/-22. If this was at USC I could see this line bein -31/-32 or so, they won by 39 and that 44 line was very inflated. Less hype this year from last and Hawaii up from this time lastyear USC backers have more value. Me personally I see no value in this game from my line. GL Dwight.
Click to expand...


I'm obviously higher on USC this year than most. I think they're going to be a very solid football team in 2013. I truly believe they go 10-3 or 11-2 this year. Kiffin does get shit but I think he finally puts it all together this year and they make an enormous statement in week 1. I know they were overvalued last year but I think the overreaction to this year is overboard. I guess we will see. When this game ends up being USC 27-21 I promise I won't make another wager on them in the Kiffin era
 
I don't know maybe I have em undervalued too much, I'm jus not a fan of this team wit kiffin coachin
 
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