***Week 1 Lex***

some thoughts on plays

SF- Purdy fading seems to be on many ppls cards here. I think SF comes out with a chip on their shoulder and win convincingly. He doesn't have to throw for 300 when they can run the ball effectively with so many players. Steelers offense on paper looks like it might be a problem for defenses this year. SF D is not the one I'd like to fade. I don't think it's going to work out for Steeler backers this week JMO though I can see why they are on the cards.

Titans/Saints- I think the Saints might be coming into this one a bit overvalued, not quite enough for me to get there fade wise. I do think both offenses are going to look good and with play makers like Olave, Henry, Dhop I could see some points here. Carr should really benefit in having Thomas hands for short yardage situations. Jamal more than enough to make me feel like they'll have balance. One thing to point out is the apparent snubs these rbs have felt like the have taken might be huge motivation. Can't think of anyone bigger than Henry to have a big game and with NO now having to account for DHop only helps. Spears might even have some run here but I think Henry to score is a no brainer. Would also think he goes over yardage prop because I think he's gonna rip a long one.

I'm high on Pierce and think he only gets better.

I think the Dolphins when whole are a dangerous team. Give me the pts when I feel like it's a toss up talent wise & I have the coaching advantage. Biggest worry is Tua getting roughed up early but I'd lean more towards him finding Waddle/Hill for big plays. Forgoing pts hope it doesn't come into play.


Still looking at a couple others....
 
sorry for lack of reasoning this week, but I think this could be closely played...real quick

Jets D is for real but I do think the Bills can move the ball here. I'd expect some quick passes and trying to keep the D off balace. Deonte Hardy I think is the longshot I would take to score and think he will do some damage. I suspect the Bills have been keeping him quiet you don't pay a wr 8 mil to not use him. Kincaid should make a difference but really it's up to the oline this season. Torrence needs to play good immediately. I love that the Bills didn't hold on to the bums that were supposed to make a difference. Bates gone, AJ Klein gone. Allen gonna be allen just have to cut down on the boneheaded forced plays. He has weapons this year guys

Defensively I worry about the middle lb but the Dline should be improved.... Rousseau should have a season. Dbackfield is healthy, I think the Jets oline is shaky at best in pass pro so I think Mr. mescaline might have hands in his face tonight.

I think we're in for a good game. Go Bills
 
Couldn't have possibly factored in a total meltdown of Allen.

What a joker. Diggs continues to show why he a top tier wr. Allen continues to get all pie eyed in close games late. Really don't understand how his mind works- there's an easy 5+ yards available every time he throws a dumb pick. Just a total breakdown offensively 2ndh, but bright spots there. Kincaid will be an instant impact & Cook looked good in open space. Defensively I feel like I'm dead on in my initial assessment. Run D needs work & I'm a little worried about Tre white as he missed tackles on 2 big plays. Can't do anything about that td grab that was other wordly.....

Credit where it's due- Jets D like I said is for real and Breece is unreal. That d line is gonna destroy bad offenses I'll be looking to play them vs NE and @Denver.

I'll have my thoughts on Bills matchup next week but that was such a draining game.
 
The stats on Allen’s turnovers going back are crazy. More than I thought. That Jets D is really good though.
 
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