Week 1 in the FCS

These books line movements seem much more coordinated and timed this year. As the FIU line drops, I look at each other book I use and they have all dropped it. Not like I am interested in that game, but I would sometimes see a book move a game and I could go somewhere else and still get the old line. Now with the Army-Tarleton and the FIU-BCook lines, they are all moving together.
 
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I think this came out. @CPA-hole, you have intel on New Haven? Didn't bunch of their good players leave in the spring?

They decided to leave D2 so late in the spring, alot of players entered the portal. There was fear about the schedule because the Northeast 10's schedule was already made, and would not include New Haven. So finding games was going to be an issue for them.

I honestly have no clue what players, if any, stayed and what they are bringing back.
 
I’ve been critical of some of the info Steele has in his FCS preview, but without knowing otherwise, the New Haven page looks pretty informative.
 

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I've been thinking about that New Haven/Marist game

Remember when St. Thomas moved up from D3 and proceeded to pretty much dominate the conference?

Why couldn't a good D2 team beat up on the PFL bottom feeders?
 
I've been thinking about that New Haven/Marist game

Remember when St. Thomas moved up from D3 and proceeded to pretty much dominate the conference?

Why couldn't a good D2 team beat up on the PFL bottom feeders?

I do. I think the situation for New Haven is different. They lost their HC, who was the offensive coach I think, in May. Then they lost a bunch of players also in May. How much or if that matters I don't know. Marist was bad, that was year 1 of the new coach, I would assume vs this particular New Haven team that is going to take the field, they would fair better. If this was New Haven from 2024 with everything being what it should've been, then yeah, I'd see that point. Still kind of in the dark on them though
 
The line drop in the FIU vs BC game is puzzling to me.

I spent very little time thinking about this game, so I'm not aware of any angles really, other than FIU new HC was FAMU HC who used to play BC.

Somebody texted me "BC +30.5" long after the line had dropped this morning. I asked what's up and he said it is somebody that he tails plays on. Maybe people see how FIU hasn't done well vs FCS lately? But Bethune Cookman hasn't done well vs anyone in quite a while. I don't like tailing plays unless I'm looking to do so, I'm not interested in this game at all.
 
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Illinois -27.5 1H is widely available now so I took that as my way to have action in that one. No peacock subscription so won't know how it goes.
 
Army was -3 TOs and just 2-of-4 FGs including missing a FG end of regulation that would've given them the win and missed their other FG in OT2 before Tarleton made their 37y FG for the win. One of the Army TOs led to 20y TD 'drive' for Tarleton and Army was just 1 of 4 scoring TDs in the RZ. Army had 411-344 (5.0-4.8) yard edge.

Odd game for Rhode Island and Campbell, URI was much better than Campbell but some circumstances allowed Campbell to get up and it took a bit for URI to get things going for them again. URI scored easily to go up 7-0 on 1st poss. 2nd poss drive down field but missed FG, 3rd poss fum at the C11, all while Campbell is doing nothing, 6 of the Camels first 7 possessions moved the ball less than 10 yards, BUT because URI muffed a punt at their own 3 and fumbled KO at their own 18, Campbell was able to convert those TOs into 10 pts with one legitimate scoring drive all of which resulted in a 17-7 Campbell lead! URI scored before HT and slowly in the 3Q they got back into it. But at one point Farrell completed only like 2 of 13 passes. For the game he was 15-28-275-2-0 and made some really good passes and some pretty bad ones, this is who he is. Campbell played Sixkiller at QB while utilizing Chandler at RB and WR (1of3 passing). Chandler was the end of season starting QB for them last year. But they apparently like Sixkiller better (was at McNeese). Anyway, URI was able to comeback to win and they finished with a 384-268 (6.2-3.9) yard edge. Campbell really wasn't that good, just the turnovers helped them so much.

If you are wondering how your live New Haven +10.5 bet lost when it was a 10 pt game under 1min left to go and Marist was punting, NH failed to catch the punt and touched the bouncing ball which Marist fell on the ball in the EZ to win by 17. Marist scored a 59y TD on 4th-1, had a 13y 'drive' for TD after the first NH muffed punt and then had this other one to close the game. Basically NH started very slow and Marist was pretty tough 1H. As it wore on, NH moved the ball well, but had mistake and failure repeatedly to prevent them from getting back into the game. NH was SOD at the M01 (NH running game and OL was awful all night), had a FG blk'd from the M07 and were SOD at the M31 and M37. Their QB Duffy lacks touch and accuracy and likes to throw to covered or double covered receivers, but their passing game moved the ball. NH ended with a 395-303 (5.3-4.7) yard edge. Marist likes to run their QB who isn't a good passer.

Monmouth at Colgate was a pretty crazy game. Derek Robertson threw 6 INTs all of last year, he threw 3 on their first 4 drives of the game here including two from inside the Colgate 10 in the EZ. Colgate led 31-7 after Monmouth tried to onside kick opening the 3Q, but Colgate got it and extended their lead. But this is Monmouth, if they stopped throwing INTs they would be scoring and score they did. 70y TD pass, 51y TD pass, 75y TD run all while the Colgate O was going punt, punt, fumble, SOD M16. Monmouth actually led 42-31, but Colgate was able to get back in the EZ to make it a 3 pt game. Monmouth killed the final 5min though. Monmouth O put up 678y (9.3), but in typical Monmouth fashion they gave up 541 (7.0). One of the two running QBs Colgate had in 2024 had a pretty good game, Osborne 11-14-227-2-0 and led them in rushing with 59y. He was injured and Stearney finished (10-23-138-1-0). Robertson ended the game with 491y passing and a 4-4 ratio.
 
Wow Lehigh/Richmond +7.5. I definitely have to take the 7.5 even though I would think Lehigh wins. Most know what Lehigh returns, it is everyone except the #1 and #2 Center and their #1 tkl'r on D, but everyone else is literally back for them. And the losses for Richmond are mostly known, 2024 and part-time 2023 starting QB, top 3 WRs and #1 TE, #1 RB, 4 OL, 2 DL, top 3 LBs and top 4 DBs! That is a lot. Wickersham is back at QB who was the starter 2023 until injury and then the backup was pretty good and Wickersham never got the job back. But he's here now. RB should be fine. They have some reserves stepping into starting spots at WR/TE with a Maryland WR who hasn't played but was Scout Tm POY for them in '23 (I kind of like those things). OL while they lose 4 starters, about all the reserves are back so call it 5 of 10 return to the OL. The defensive front 7 should be fine. Actually return 3 of top 5 to the DL and they get a starter back from '23 who was injured last year. The 3 top reserves are back at LB (combined 55tkl). The secondary is the biggest concern. Fraser and Stocker have started a combined 14 games in their careers at CB, just they weren't the top guys. The largest void is at Safety. They lost their OC to W&M, head coaches son is now OC/QB coach, which might be just a little concerning if he is there because name rather than qualifications.

Lehigh was 5-1 ATS as a fav last year, all the covers were vs bad teams the one 'good' team they lost to Bucknell in OT. Richmond is rarely dogged like this vs FCS and when they are they win. They were 6 pt home dog to Delaware last year and won outright. They were dogged by 9.5 at URI and at W&M '23 and won both outright. Only spread or straight up loss the last 2 years as dogs was playoff at Albany, so 3-1 ATS the last 2 years as dogs with 3 outright wins. This spread last year was Richmond -9.5, now Lehigh -7.5. I think it is too much.

I am sure that Lehigh is going to be very up for this game, they want to prove last year was no fluke. But every interview I have heard from Richmond players, they all talked about this game, it was top of mind all off season, the fact that the team that ended their season, at home in the playoffs, they get to open this year with that same team, it has been motivating them
 
Wazzou/Idaho up to 14.5. Idaho can win. I think their team is stronger than most would think after the coaching departure and transfers. The OL is pretty good, RB is deep and everyone at Idaho is extremely high on Joshua Wood at QB. They are unknown at receiver. The DL and LB, the front 7 should be able to hold up. The secondary is my biggest concern so how Wazzou plans to attack could be important. And Wood is really the X factor here, if he is as good as advertised he could be the best QB on the field and Idaho has a chance to win.
 
I did play Georgetown at opening numbers and I'm getting a little cold feet, #1 just because it is Georgetown and you never know if you can trust them. The more I looked into some of the new staff at Davidson (Harvard ties) I kind of like that. And they have a lot on O coming back, think they could have a good O. What led me to GT in the first place was the GT O also has a lot coming back and Davidson loses nearly everyone on D (only return 6 of their top 20 tkl'rs and lose about all their sack, QBH and PBU production. Georgetown has 3 new position coaches on D and they lost a lot at Safety specifically and it's not like their D is good anyway. With +3.5 and +4.5 if the odds go any further I think I will try and play Davidson ML and think this could be an Over which is still at the 54.5 open. Last year they combined for 70 on a 59 O/U
 
Post #47 had thoughts on Stonehill which I did ML. That line has only dropped from 8.5 to 7.5.
 
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WV Wesleyan and Post, these teams are both bad right? Two bad teams is WV Wesleyan worth a shot?
 
The Pace Setters always makes me laugh. Don't love the card today. Central OK and UTPB is by far the best game today but it isn't up.

WV Wesleyan and Mesa St are awful but I shouldn't want to be laying -300 on Post and -400 on Western NM.

I played both bad dogs against the bad favorites. Probably just moving back to FCS now, wasn't any kind of variance really between who should be favored or whatever that I saw
 
I played both bad dogs against the bad favorites. Probably just moving back to FCS now, wasn't any kind of variance really between who should be favored or whatever that I saw

Exactly. The better games were Thursday. Alot of games with teams from leagues I'm not tuned into that much.
 
Line climbing on NIU has me thinking Holy Cross. Was concerned about their LB and S spots, but reading further seems like they like what they are plugging in there. DL is very good. OL and running game, good #1 WR. It all comes down to the new transfer QB who's never played. Don;t think this NIU team is especially strong right?
 
I’m still waiting on Richmond as it’s 9 at BM

You saw 9? I had to log out and back in as it wasn't showing me FCS and then I just see 7.5.

How about UNI continuing to drop? Vs Butler? 10.5 at BM, 12.5 most other places. WAs 14.5 at open. No intel on Butler, new coaching staff I think. UNI new staff too and they haven't been good for a while, but they didn't lose a ton to the portal as some coaching transitions lose
 
You saw 9? I had to log out and back in as it wasn't showing me FCS and then I just see 7.5.

How about UNI continuing to drop? Vs Butler? 10.5 at BM, 12.5 most other places. WAs 14.5 at open. No intel on Butler, new coaching staff I think. UNI new staff too and they haven't been good for a while, but they didn't lose a ton to the portal as some coaching transitions lose
It’s 8.5 119 or 9 123 now at BM. Was 9 112. Did Y class with wife and now at the park with the dog as I gotta get all my stuff in before noon haha
 
UNI now 11.5 at BM and 12.5 114 at FD. I missed the 10.5 as I probably would have taken alt 9.5 at that point but I expect it to head back up now
 
UNI now 11.5 at BM and 12.5 114 at FD. I missed the 10.5 as I probably would have taken alt 9.5 at that point but I expect it to head back up now
It was -9.5 -133 I took piece there to see what ekse it did I looked, I guess the coaching hire at Butler could be viewed ok, although not as good as having your HC get hired by FBS and hiring that schools former OC. And their QB is back who's good. But they lose at OL and on D. Like that UNI HC was at Drake and should be familiar with how their QB plays since he faced them every year
 
FD has the FCS available on the kiosk this year

Hopefully can beat the duck guy to some of these
 
Ark St moving up. I might've made a mistake on SEMO. Need the JUCO QB to be good today
 
Pitt and WVU both 4.5 higher than FD opens

Pitt is pretty strong offensively. WVU not sure how strong, but they play a weaker opponent. RM probably will be shut out.

Might see if I can find a good number on North Dakota team total Under. 1st game, new QB, new HC (same OC), WRs? Think they struggle to score.
 
Pitt is pretty strong offensively. WVU not sure how strong, but they play a weaker opponent. RM probably will be shut out.

Might see if I can find a good number on North Dakota team total Under. 1st game, new QB, new HC (same OC), WRs? Think they struggle to score.
I see both Pitt and WVU getting at least 45-52 and not sure if either opponent can muster up more than 10 maybe 17 if everything aligns or a couple screwy plays happen, so feel good about the 34.5 and 35.5’s I got
 
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