Week 1 Discussion

cogenman

Raider Nation for Life
It's not too early to discuss these games.

[TABLE="class: TableSchedule, width: 100%, align: center"]
<tbody>[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBanner, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]NFL GM: SPREADS - MONEY LN - TOTALS - Sep 04[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]NFL FOOTBALL - WEEK 1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 4TH[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 04[/TD]
[TD]461[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]GB PACKERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+5½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780325_5.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o45-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780325_-45_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]8:35 PM[/TD]
[TD]462[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]SEA SEAHAWKS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-5½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780325_-5.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u45-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780325_45_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBanner, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]NFL GM: SPREADS - MONEY LN - TOTALS - Sep 07[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]NFL FOOTBALL - WEEK 1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 7TH[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]463[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]NO SAINTS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2+101<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780326_-2_101">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o52-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780326_-52_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]464[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]ATL FALCONS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+2-111<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780326_2_-111">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u52-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780326_52_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]467[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]CLE BROWNS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+6½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780328_6.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o40½-104<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780328_-40.5_-104">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]468[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]PIT STEELERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-6½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780328_-6.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u40½-106<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780328_40.5_-106">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]469[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]JAX JAGUARS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+10-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780329_10_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o53-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780329_-53_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]470[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]PHI EAGLES[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-10-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780329_-10_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u53-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780329_53_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]471[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]OAK RAIDERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+4½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780330_4.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o40-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780330_-40_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]472[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]NY JETS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780330_-4.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u40-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780330_40_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]473[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]CIN BENGALS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+2½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780331_2.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o42½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780331_-42.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]474[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]BAL RAVENS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780331_-2.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u42½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780331_42.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]475[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]BUF BILLS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+6½EV<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780332_6.5_-100">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o49-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780332_-49_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]476[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]CHI BEARS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-6½-110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780332_-6.5_-110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u49-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780332_49_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]477[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]WAS REDSKINS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+3-120<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780333_3_-120">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o46-103<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780333_-46_-103">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]478[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]HOU TEXANS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3+110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780333_-3_110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u46-107<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780333_46_-107">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]479[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]TEN TITANS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+4½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780334_4.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o44-103<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780334_-44_-103">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]480[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]KC CHIEFS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780334_-4.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u44-107<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780334_44_-107">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]481[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]NE PATRIOTS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780335_-4_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o46½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780335_-46.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]482[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]MIA DOLPHINS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+4-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780335_4_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u46½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780335_46.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]483[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]CAR PANTHERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780336_-1_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o39-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780336_-39_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]4:25 PM[/TD]
[TD]484[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]TB BUCCANEERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+1-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780336_1_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u39-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780336_39_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]485[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]SF 49ERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-6-102<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780337_-6_-102">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o50½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780337_-50.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]4:25 PM[/TD]
[TD]486[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]DAL COWBOYS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+6-108<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780337_6_-108">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u50½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780337_50.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]487[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]IND COLTS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+7-110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780338_7_-110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o56-101<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780338_-56_-101">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]8:30 PM[/TD]
[TD]488[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]DEN BRONCOS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-7EV<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780338_-7_-100">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u56-109<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780338_56_-109">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBanner, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]NFL GM: SPREADS - MONEY LN - TOTALS - Sep 08[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]NFL FOOTBALL - WEEK 1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 8TH[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 08[/TD]
[TD]489[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]NY GIANTS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+4½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780339_4.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o46½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780339_-46.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]7:10 PM[/TD]
[TD]490[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]DET LIONS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780339_-4.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u46½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780339_46.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 08[/TD]
[TD]491[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]SD CHARGERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+3+110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780340_3_110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o44½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780340_-44.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]10:25 PM[/TD]
[TD]492[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]ARI CARDINALS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3-120<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780340_-3_-120">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u44½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780340_44.5_-105">

[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
First game I like is GB/Sea OVER 45. I know Seattle has a great defense, but Aaron Rodgers will get his against them and RW and his offense has looked sharp in preseason. It'll be interesting to see if they keep throwing the flags in the regular season like preseason.
 
lines from 5/16 for comparison's sake...

Week 1
Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (-5, 44.5), Thursday
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (-1, 51.5)
Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams (-4.5, 45.5)
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5, 40.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles (-11, 52)
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (-4.5, 40)
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5, 43)
Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears (-6.5, 48.5)
Washington Redskins at Houston Texans (-2.5, 46)
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-5, 44)
New England Patriots (-3.5, 47.5) at Miami Dolphins
Carolina Panthers (-2, 40.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
San Francisco 49ers (-3.5, 48) at Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (-7, 55.5)
New York Giants at Detroit Lions (-4, 46)
San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals (-3 (-115), 44.5)

Biggest moves from opening
ATL -1 is now NO -2
PIT -5 is now PIT -6.5
SF -3.5 is now SF -6

SF/DAL Over 48 is now Over 50.5
 
I am already on the pats ml pretty big...

like the raiders +4.5 and over Broncos 56

Lions ml as well
 
Think Tenny and Dallas are live dogs. Already took them as well as Jack. I expect a drop off from SF, KC and Phi this year.
 
Think Tenny and Dallas are live dogs. Already took them as well as Jack. I expect a drop off from SF, KC and Phi this year.

SF has looked crap on the O this year, but to trust that Dallas defense is tough as welll
 
Cam has hairline fracture in his ribs, hopeful to be ready for week 1.
 
Obv take me with a grain, but Saints are a play...yea road juice with a team that hasn't laid it well, but this team got much better and I didn't notice the Falcons getting much better
 
First week is always tough( at least for me ) hard to get a lot from preseason, so we end up going by what took place last season and that can be tricky.

If falcons get to three I'll be on them, don't think it gets to that key number though
 
Twink.....heard some dudes on ESPN radio this weekend down here in the south talking about long term effect of the Saints and Jimmy Graham basically going at it in court this offseason regarding his position. Said he's heard there's bad blood.....thoughts?
 
I gotta believe that discount double check has been waiting for another crack at the Seahawks in Seattle since that fuck up by the refs a couple years back that stole a packer win. If there is an offense that can play with the Seahawks defense in the league it's the pack. Especially now that they have a power back to hand the ball to. I'm hoping for some money to roll in on the Super Bowl champs this week so that I can get six or better and I will probably sprinkle some on the ML.
 
Twink.....heard some dudes on ESPN radio this weekend down here in the south talking about long term effect of the Saints and Jimmy Graham basically going at it in court this offseason regarding his position. Said he's heard there's bad blood.....thoughts?

nah I doubt it. He got paid, and he has a nice QB to throw him the ball and a HC that always wants to.

Him and SP got into on the sidelines when he dunked and all that, but I don't think anything is there now.....since he got paid
 
I think Chicago deserves a look. Buffalo's offense hasn't looked all that great so far in the preseason, while Alonso's loss looks like it's leading to a shaky defense. Buffalo seems like its still a year away from putting all the pieces together, and even if they are able to string together a 7 or 8 win season, asking them to get off on the right foot against a legitimate NFC contender at Soldier Field is one tall task. Chicago's offense is poised to be one of the most dynamic in the league and the Buffalo secondary should allow the Bears to shine at home. At -7, the line is a steep one, especially when one considers how impressive the Buffalo offense looks on paper. But after watching what Buffalo has actually done so far in this preseason, there is a lot of work left to do. This team hasn't seemed to gel just yet. Give me the team that's ready to win now, starting the season off at home, with the offense that is capable of a DD win. Chicago -7.
 
First week is always tough( at least for me ) hard to get a lot from preseason, so we end up going by what took place last season and that can be tricky.

If falcons get to three I'll be on them, don't think it gets to that key number though
It moved to 3 at my book, slightly juiced though...

[TABLE="class: TableSchedule, width: 100%, align: center"]
<tbody>[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 7TH[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]463[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]NO SAINTS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3+105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780326_-3_105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o52-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780326_-52_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]464[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]ATL FALCONS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+3-115<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780326_3_-115">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u52-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780326_52_-105">[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
There are no byes obviously on Week 1 but the dumb ass NFL schedule people put 10 (10am pst) games and only 2 (1:25 pst) games. WTF throw another game or 2 for the late afternoon games.
 
I think Chicago deserves a look. Buffalo's offense hasn't looked all that great so far in the preseason, while Alonso's loss looks like it's leading to a shaky defense. Buffalo seems like its still a year away from putting all the pieces together, and even if they are able to string together a 7 or 8 win season, asking them to get off on the right foot against a legitimate NFC contender at Soldier Field is one tall task. Chicago's offense is poised to be one of the most dynamic in the league and the Buffalo secondary should allow the Bears to shine at home. At -7, the line is a steep one, especially when one considers how impressive the Buffalo offense looks on paper. But after watching what Buffalo has actually done so far in this preseason, there is a lot of work left to do. This team hasn't seemed to gel just yet. Give me the team that's ready to win now, starting the season off at home, with the offense that is capable of a DD win. Chicago -7.

Enjoyed reading, but I'm not sure the Bills offense looks good anywhere on any type of paper
 
Some interesting line moves. The OVER/UNDER on GB/Sea game went up a full point to 46 from 45. I think it goes up another .5 point at least by game time. We'll see. Also with the Raiders announcing Derek Carr is starting, that line went from +4.5 to +5.5 for the Raiders. Obviously because of the rookie QB starting. Lastly Denver crossed the 7 line and is now a 7.5 point favorite. If that keeps going up I will be on Indy as they seem to play the tough teams well.
 
will not play any unders with the way the refs are throwing flags in the secondary

over gb/sea, over dal/sf, over atl/No all worth a look to me
 
OVER getting some major steam on GB/Sea. Was 46.5 early this morning, then 47, now 47.5 at my book. I think if you want to hit some OVERs on Sunday, do it early and don't wait for the lines to move on you.
 
Surprised it bumped up a full point...I was going to play it tonight at 46.5. That sucks.

You think it goes to 48?
 
Surprised it bumped up a full point...I was going to play it tonight at 46.5. That sucks.

You think it goes to 48?
It's actually gone up from 45. I posted the lines in the first post and you can see it there. I'm glad I got it at 45. I think this will be a scoring league this year so I wouldn't doubt it if it goes to 48. Aaron Rodgers will get his and RW has been phenomenal in the pre season scoring on I think 11 of 13 drives.
 
Yeah, I know where it opened...I'm just worried I get it now and it drops back down to 47. But yeah, I agree. I think it very well continue to tick upwwrds
 
will just put my picks in here:

GB +7 (bought 1)
Patriots ml -200
KC over 43


Leans:
Raiders +
Bears -7
over Broncos 55
 
Enjoyed reading, but I'm not sure the Bills offense looks good anywhere on any type of paper

Outside of the QB, they have a pretty damn good offense. If they had a QB other than EJ, they would be seen as one of the better NFL offenses. Spiller and Jackson in the backfield, with Watkins, Woods, Mike Williams, and Marquise Goodwin is a great set of skill players, with a ton of speed. Their OL is also pretty capable of running the ball efficiently, but they do have a new guy or two there this year.
 
Some updated lines. SF dropping like a rock. KC looks like a decent bet to me at -3 playing in their house. Gonna have to look into that more.

[TABLE="class: TableSchedule, width: 100%, align: center"]
<tbody>[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]NFL FOOTBALL - WEEK 1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 7TH[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]463[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]NO SAINTS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3EV<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780326_-3_-100">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o51½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780326_-51.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-165<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780326_0_-165">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]464[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]ATL FALCONS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+3-110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780326_3_-110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u51½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780326_51.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+140<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780326_0_140">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]465[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]MIN VIKINGS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+3½-110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780327_3.5_-110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o43-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780327_-43_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+150<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780327_0_150">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]466[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]ST. LOUIS RAMS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3½EV<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780327_-3.5_-100">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u43-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780327_43_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-175<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780327_0_-175">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]467[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]CLE BROWNS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+6½EV<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780328_6.5_-100">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o41½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780328_-41.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+250<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780328_0_250">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]468[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]PIT STEELERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-6½-110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780328_-6.5_-110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u41½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780328_41.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-300<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780328_0_-300">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]469[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]JAX JAGUARS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+10½-110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780329_10.5_-110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o52½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780329_-52.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]470[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]PHI EAGLES[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-10½EV<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780329_-10.5_-100">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u52½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780329_52.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]471[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]OAK RAIDERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+5½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780330_5.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o39½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780330_-39.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+210<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780330_0_210">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]472[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]NY JETS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-5½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780330_-5.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u39½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780330_39.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-255<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780330_0_-255">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]473[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]CIN BENGALS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+1-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780331_1_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o42½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780331_-42.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-101<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780331_0_-101">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]474[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]BAL RAVENS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780331_-1_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u42½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780331_42.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-119<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780331_0_-119">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]475[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]BUF BILLS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+6½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780332_6.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o47½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780332_-47.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+240<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780332_0_240">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]476[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]CHI BEARS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-6½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780332_-6.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u47½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780332_47.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-290<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780332_0_-290">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]477[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]WAS REDSKINS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+3+105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780333_3_105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o44½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780333_-44.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+155<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780333_0_155">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]478[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]HOU TEXANS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3-115<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780333_-3_-115">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u44½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780333_44.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-180<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780333_0_-180">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]479[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]TEN TITANS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+3-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780334_3_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o43½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780334_-43.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+140<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780334_0_140">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]480[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]KC CHIEFS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780334_-3_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u43½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780334_43.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-165<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780334_0_-165">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]481[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]NE PATRIOTS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780335_-4_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o46½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780335_-46.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-200<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780335_0_-200">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]1:00 PM[/TD]
[TD]482[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]MIA DOLPHINS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+4-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780335_4_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u46½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780335_46.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+170<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780335_0_170">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]483[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]CAR PANTHERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+2½EV<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780336_2.5_-100">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o39-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780336_-39_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+125<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780336_0_125">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]4:25 PM[/TD]
[TD]484[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]TB BUCCANEERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2½-110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780336_-2.5_-110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u39-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780336_39_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-145<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780336_0_-145">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]485[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]SF 49ERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4EV<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780337_-4_-100">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o51-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780337_-51_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-205<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780337_0_-205">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]4:25 PM[/TD]
[TD]486[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]DAL COWBOYS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+4-110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780337_4_-110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u51-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780337_51_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+175<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780337_0_175">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 07[/TD]
[TD]487[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]IND COLTS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+7½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780338_7.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o55½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780338_-55.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+290<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780338_0_290">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]8:30 PM[/TD]
[TD]488[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]DEN BRONCOS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-7½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780338_-7.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u55½-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780338_55.5_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-350<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780338_0_-350">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBanner, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]NFL GM: SPREADS - MONEY LN - TOTALS - Sep 08[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]NFL FOOTBALL - WEEK 1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: GameBannerAuto, bgcolor: #ED0003"]
[TD="colspan: 8"]MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 8TH[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 08[/TD]
[TD]489[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]NY GIANTS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+6-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780339_6_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o47-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780339_-47_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+220<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780339_0_220">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameEven, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]7:10 PM[/TD]
[TD]490[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]DET LIONS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-6-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780339_-6_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u47-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780339_47_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-265<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="5_780339_0_-265">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Sep 08[/TD]
[TD]491[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]SD CHARGERS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+3EV<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="0_780340_3_-100">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]o45-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="2_780340_-45_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+145<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="4_780340_0_145">[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: TrGameOdd, bgcolor: #F4F4F4"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]10:25 PM[/TD]
[TD]492[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: left"]ARI CARDINALS[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3-110<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="1_780340_-3_-110">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]u45-105<input type="checkbox" name="text_" value="3_780340_45_-105">[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-170[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Bears seem like a trap, all that hype surrounding the emergence of Alshon Jeffrey and Matt Forte's awesome year plus Trestman another year deeper into his coaching career
 
Outside of the QB, they have a pretty damn good offense. If they had a QB other than EJ, they would be seen as one of the better NFL offenses. Spiller and Jackson in the backfield, with Watkins, Woods, Mike Williams, and Marquise Goodwin is a great set of skill players, with a ton of speed. Their OL is also pretty capable of running the ball efficiently, but they do have a new guy or two there this year.

unfortunately it starts and ends with QB, if you got one you're a good offense and if you don't you're nothing imho
 
I'll be on the Titans. I missed the good number, but I think public money could drive this back up to 3.5. I just want 3.5 at this point. When Locker is healthy, the Titans are legit offensively. His ability to scramble should neutralize the KC pass rush from the edges. On the other side of the ball, KC is hurting on the O-line and Bowe is out. They are really only playing with Charles and the two TE's as weapons. I'd expect a low-scoring, boring game, decided by a FG either way.
 
I've watched most of the Bills preseason and they do not look improved to me at all. There is a fine line between winning and losing in this league and that team - although pretty talented - lacks the depth and leadership to win consistently. I expect a 6-10 season.

With respect to week 1, I think Buf+7 looks more like a trap to me.
 
With respect to week 1, I think Buf+7 looks more like a trap to me.


A ton of questions surrounding the Bills team for me entering week 1. I totally agree that they looked unimpressive (to say the least) in preseason, but they showed no offensive wrinkles at all, limited the touches for both CJ/Fred and experimented a bit moving guys around the offensive line.

Of course EJ is a concern and in the end the offense will go as he does, but let's not forget this is a running team first. The addition of Watkins does not change that, but will definitely stretch the field for them. Just have to worry about EJ telegraphing passes and getting him killed. They are facing a Bears rush D that is a big question mark- they are supposed to be improved vs the run but I have my doubts. Jared Allen isn't getting any younger, I think Cordy can handle him. O-line will have to play well but I do think they have the right guys in place. Spiller in the final year of his contract and everything to play for and finally 100% healthy. Fred got paid and also well rested, I really think the Bills come out running the ball and work the pass off of that. I think we have just as much talent @ wr as nearly every top team in the league.


Defense is where many of the questions are. The Bills imo are top 3 in the league on the D-line, so I'll just skip them. With Alonso done for the year I do expect Bradham to be a key player on the weakside at LB, but he is suspended game 1. That leaves Spikes anchoring the LB in between Preston Brown and Richards. Scary to say the least- it's no secret Spikes is not a great pass-defense lb. Ideally he wouldn't even be in during obvious passing situations but given how thin the Bills are, he likely will be out there. Not the best news when you have to worry about Forte out of the backfield as well as Bennett and the best wr tandem in football.

Which brings me to the secondary. Gilmore is not a top corner. I'm not sure he should be anyone's top starting corner but hey he is the Bill's. I know he still isn't 100% but he looked downright terrible in the preseason (also just as bad when I went to minicamp). DaNorris Searcy is a playmaker but is also raw and prone to make a couple boneheaded plays. McKelvin is coming off undoubtedly the best season of his career, so hopefully he can build on that but I do think Byrd gone is a big loss that has not been fixed.

I think given the ? defensively for Buffalo playing them on the ML is a highly risky proposition. However I don't trust the Bears defense enough to warrant laying the chalk. Pretty telling to me the total is so high despite Buffalo's offensive woes in the preseason....leaning pretty heavy on the over and dog+pts.
 
I'll be on the Titans. I missed the good number, but I think public money could drive this back up to 3.5. I just want 3.5 at this point. When Locker is healthy, the Titans are legit offensively. His ability to scramble should neutralize the KC pass rush from the edges. On the other side of the ball, KC is hurting on the O-line and Bowe is out. They are really only playing with Charles and the two TE's as weapons. I'd expect a low-scoring, boring game, decided by a FG either way.

Add DeAnthony Thomas to the injury list now. Not expected to play. He would have been in line for at least some kind of role with Bowe out. This offense will be look ugly on Sunday.
 
I know every Tom, Dick and Harry will be on Denver on SNF. But I like them ,too. Not sure how Colts O-line will handle this Denver D, which I feel is a top 3 unit in the entire league. AQ Shipley set to start at C. Ouch
 
Maybe an Indy local can confirm, but I'm reading that Indy is entering this game with only 1 healthy back up O-lineman, as of now. Is that true? I assume some no name(s) would be called up from the practice squad if so.
 
Spiller in the final year of his contract and everything to play for and finally 100% healthy. Fred got paid and also well rested, I really think the Bills come out running the ball and work the pass off of that. I think we have just as much talent @ wr as nearly every top team in the league.

I agree that Spiller is healthy (we'll see how long that lasts), but he has 2 years left on his deal. He can opt-out after this year, and most likely that's what he'll do, but he does have 2 years left. The way he'll play, like a man playing for a contract, is definitely worth noting. I only bring up there are 2 years left if, for some reason, he gets injured and misses significant time, as he may re-think opting out of his deal. Of course, that's a slim chance, and it would have to be a season-ending injury, but it is possible.

:shake:
 
Yeah i was thinking about it after the fact and he does have 2 left, just hope he can stay healthy and produce
 
Bears seem like a trap, all that hype surrounding the emergence of Alshon Jeffrey and Matt Forte's awesome year plus Trestman another year deeper into his coaching career

im pretty much with the world on liking bears this season but unlike most everyone there just no way im laying those points. im not as sure as most that EJ is gonna be terrible but more importantly im pretty sure bills can and will be able to run the ball effectively on the bears weak ass run d. i think bears only won maybe 2 games by a td or more last season and the offense was good last year. maybe times are changing but i cant stomach laying a td vs the better defensive team who i think wins the rushing battle by a wide margin..
 
when i saw vikings +6 few weeks ago i thought the line was retarded, i guess hindsight and all i shoulda bet it then but what has happened to the line since is downright goofy. there no damn way bradford is worth 2-3 points, if anything i think it addition by subtraction. i trust odds makers to be smarter than me so if they thought lambs were 5-6 points better at home than viks before the bradford injury i say they still are..i know minny has looked good this preseason but their secondary still looks beatable to me and lambs front 7 will cause some problems for cassel.. even tho on paper lambs d should be really good i still worry they not the best tacklers so little scared of ap but there a ton of talent for williams to play around with and wreak havoc at the line of scrimmage.. woulda never thought 3 weeks ago id be looking to bet on my lambs but think at -3 or lower im taking a shot..
 
pats win and cover

im scared enough of them i wont be playing fish. they always play them tough it seems but man i like pats d, trusting phins offense vs them a bigger leap of faith than im willing to take. not to mention brady always wins week 1 doesnt he?
 
I've watched most of the Bills preseason and they do not look improved to me at all. There is a fine line between winning and losing in this league and that team - although pretty talented - lacks the depth and leadership to win consistently. I expect a 6-10 season.

With respect to week 1, I think Buf+7 looks more like a trap to me.

You must not understand what I mean by trap, nobody wants to bet the bills
 
when i saw vikings +6 few weeks ago i thought the line was retarded, i guess hindsight and all i shoulda bet it then but what has happened to the line since is downright goofy. there no damn way bradford is worth 2-3 points, if anything i think it addition by subtraction. i trust odds makers to be smarter than me so if they thought lambs were 5-6 points better at home than viks before the bradford injury i say they still are..i know minny has looked good this preseason but their secondary still looks beatable to me and lambs front 7 will cause some problems for cassel.. even tho on paper lambs d should be really good i still worry they not the best tacklers so little scared of ap but there a ton of talent for williams to play around with and wreak havoc at the line of scrimmage.. woulda never thought 3 weeks ago id be looking to bet on my lambs but think at -3 or lower im taking a shot..

Feel that, pretty much exactly

I'm on TB -2.5 and StL -3

SuperContest picks:
Stl -3.5 TB -2 chi -7 pit -6.5 HOU -2.5
 
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