I added ND team over 34.5
First, some history I just learned this morning In 1996 and 2012, these teams met in Ireland. Results: ND 54-27 as -16 (1996) and ND 50-10 as -16 (2012). Those games were late in the season. Perhaps the Irish get fired up to play in Ireland.
In the last 33 meetings, Notre Dame is 12-21 ATS, but Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS when they play Navy game 7 or earlier and 2-0 ATS vs Navy in Ireland. ND has Tennessee State on deck. ND has a scout team QB who ran the option in high school. Bad news is the same kid ran the scout team before last year's game also. But that was game 10, between the huge win over Clemson and Boston College. This time they're fully focused.
This is part of it, but main reason for the over/team over play is what Hartman did at Wake against similar athletes in his games against Army the last two years, and what ND's passing game did to Navy last year.
Hartman at QB has lit up Army (not Navy) past two years; presume Navy D has similar athletes
2021 - 23-29-458, 5-0 (Wake 70-56 as -3, total 54)
2022 - 13-19-246, 1-0 (Wake 45-10 as -16, total 65.5)
LY Notre Dame beat Navy 35-32 – ND passed 17-21-269, 4-1
Irish Illustrated guys think Hartman will throw the ball downfield a good bit, Their predictions:
41-17
41-13
38-14
28-10
41-13
42-7
My preliminary calculations say we'll lose an average of 6.5 plays (runs, passes, punts, FGA's) per game, or between 4 and 5% of the game/points.
