Hard to find a reason to lay -9 with Orlando with the depth issues especially at guard . Minny's depth tested losing Brewer and w/o McCants . Wolves have some good history @ Orl think 4-1 L5 meetings and its not like they were really ever the better team in that span. When Minny has caught 4 or more pts away they are 4-1 ATS losing @ Char last time out for the initial loss . More important is they either won SU when covering or had a chance to win SU but blew a lead in the 4 wins and the loss they trailed by 5 to start the 4th quarter.....
Also being shorthanded hosting Minny then OKC teams they are basically DD favs against they might coast with some off days and a western swing on the 8th .
have to think Knicks 1st Q , 1st H and game IMO . NY has heart and they were embarrassed vs CLE last week . They will come out focused and the fact they played today and Cavs have 3 days off should play a huge role IMO Look at that game @ MSG it was a bad spot with the traded players debuting and it wasnt till Harrington stepped in the game got crazy . I said this last week and one could check on this Harrington came into the game an NY was down 1 when he left 7 minutes and 20secs later they were down 18 !!!! maybe Nate can play but either way NYK and all those points ......anything above -11 is to high imo . The Knicks are getting big home pup lines because vs good teams they really dont have a home court edge now IMO. So -8 isnt really -15 if flipped for venue its more like -12 ..same reason why Portland was 7 or 7.5 today ...pretty confident in this play already ......
OKC +8 ...pretty big play ...Not sure how OKC is much different from Minnesota which was -4 and finished with Charlotte winningthe 4th Q and by 10. The issue is laying -4 is like a PKem cause if the home team win the game is extended a few possessions and even a 3,4 pt game becomes 8 . When the spread is -8 that 3,4 pt game might become 6,8,or 10 depending how teams shot FTs and if the losing teamhits a shot or not....3 or 4 pt lead might become just 5 or 6 pts ..Now th new coach factor as well. he has 3 days off to practice some and get some messages across . OKC play has clearly improved as well being very competitive in 4 of the 5 games with 1 win but a 2 pt and 1 pt loss which @ CLE was a backend of that tough 1 pt loss . So young team probably cameout flat ......
Josh Smith returns and maybe so does some of that ATL defense . Both teams with 3 days off and Memphis doesnt have a style and kindof just does what the opponent does . So probably a BIG UNDER play here ...1st H under as well ..1st Q even possible ...rust and more rust ...
Portland is rolling along but Wiz were in a good grrove today while Port had to claw back vs NY and owned the 4th q . Wont be so easy with Wash stars IMO . Wiz have been underacheiving and maybe the new coach will continue to get improved play . CHeck this but Wiz ML seems great ...Blazers play the WC Celts and even though LAL waits for Wiz who are they to look ahead to anyone at 4 and whatever...
No idea bout LAL and Philly yet but LAL off the tough loss and Philly off a close OT win . Of couse Kobe comes home ....Philly has never been kind to Kobe so interesting game ...
Pacers steal one at home and then travel to Boston to play the WC Celtics who they beat early on. Well Boston is starting to throw some beatdowns at home so with Indy busting their ass to come back would say Boston ....
Pho 2 questionable star big men .....
The You have to got to be fucking kidding me situation of the early season ??
Bulls play that silly Circus road trip and it did wind down in Philly not that far from home . However they get home late Sunday , have Monday , host Philly on Tuesday but lose in OT and then on Wed have to travel to Milw ????? We are talking 7 or 8 road games with last home game 11/15 before today Dec 2nd !!!!! Didnt Chi have an incredbly long losing streak @ MILW as well ? From like the early 90's or something to they finally ended when they were -5.5 pt favs @ Milw few years back vs a depleted Milw team??
It's going to be amazingly HARD To not pund the shit out of MILW here everyway I can try to !
Of course as I type Milw just jumped from -3 to -4 at CRIS . Literally as I type this !
LAC @ Houston NL
Miami @ Utah ML - Probably lean Miami depending on what JPicks has to say ..:cheers:
