Wednesday how many times can the Mets walk off on me Discussion
- Thread starter GWarner27
- Start date
austinhous
Pretty much a regular
You got a little disparity in Santiago's ERA and xFIP. It's been there for a minute as the A's did nothing to help him "correct" it last time out.
G
Gyno
Guest
Despaigne @ +155 seems crazy high. Anyone agree?
Hollywood Beaker
Stalking the umps
Jays are 31-5 this season when they score 5 runs or more. In those games, they are averaging 8.0 runs per game.
Jays are 3-27 this season when they score 4 runs or less. In those games, they are averaging 2.4 runs per game, while giving up 4.6. Since May 5th, they're 1-15 in this situation, averaging 2.6 runs per game, while giving up 4.4.
Jays are 3-27 this season when they score 4 runs or less. In those games, they are averaging 2.4 runs per game, while giving up 4.6. Since May 5th, they're 1-15 in this situation, averaging 2.6 runs per game, while giving up 4.4.
G
Gyno
Guest
83-74 +2.80 units
Stl-min under 8 for 0.7 units
SD +158 for 0.5 units
Stl-min under 8 for 0.7 units
SD +158 for 0.5 units
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
Welcome to the site :shake:
gsro
Give me the NHL, or give me death
Like the under in Minny as well..Martinez will keep those minn bats quiet and certainly believe that Milone has the ability to keep the bats to a minimum for the Cards.
gsro
Give me the NHL, or give me death
already hit the over in that game
Marsski
MAC Marvel
Couple of gas cans in Cellular Field.
Look at Locke's road starts:
7 hits, 4 runs @ ATL
8 hits, 7 runs @ SD
6 hits, 5 runs @ Cubs
8 hits, 6 runs @ Cubs
7 hits, 2 runs @ MIL
Road whip over 2.
Meanwhile, Captain Dank has been bad in four of five recent outings. I watched him pitch May 26 (shelled by Blue Jays) and it just seemed like he was throwing meatballs up there. Velocity down, not locating.
Other than a shutout of Hou, he has done nothing but get smoked since that game...think we are seeing his last year of servicability as a pitcher.
Look at Locke's road starts:
7 hits, 4 runs @ ATL
8 hits, 7 runs @ SD
6 hits, 5 runs @ Cubs
8 hits, 6 runs @ Cubs
7 hits, 2 runs @ MIL
Road whip over 2.
Meanwhile, Captain Dank has been bad in four of five recent outings. I watched him pitch May 26 (shelled by Blue Jays) and it just seemed like he was throwing meatballs up there. Velocity down, not locating.
Other than a shutout of Hou, he has done nothing but get smoked since that game...think we are seeing his last year of servicability as a pitcher.
As bad as Locke has been on the road, the White Sox don't really score much at home. 97 runs in 28 games home in Chicago and they're hitting just .204 against lefties overall this year. I'm not saying the over is a bad play since I think Danks is gonna get spanked, but I prefer a play on the Pirates myself 
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Marsski
MAC Marvel
Welcome.
I don't like Locke at all on the road so while the Pirates are red hot, I would pass on that one.
Royals have Blanton going, ugh, he's usually a reliever. Hasn't started in 2 years, no thanks.
Cards and Hou I could get on board with.
Thanks!
I guess I explained my thoughts on the PIT/CHW game a couple of posts above. Regarding the KC game I feel your concerns. Just think we're getting such a good price on KC at home and their bats are so hot now that they can bail Blanton out if he bombs. Then they obviously have a superb bullpen that can fill in at just about any time.
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
welcome, hopefully you will be my good luck charm as i've been hemorrhaging money
G
Gyno
Guest
never in my life have I been more wrong on a line. I would of lined SD +120, they are sitting at +174?
Blows my mind this line.
Blows my mind this line.
G
Gyno
Guest
Let me just say we are reaching that point of the season where it starts getting easier. Late June-Early August is the best part of the season imo.
The good teams start pulling away and the bad teams start showing their colors. Just be patient, put on your seatbelts and enjoy the ride that is coming.
The good teams start pulling away and the bad teams start showing their colors. Just be patient, put on your seatbelts and enjoy the ride that is coming.
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
CHW has been godawful against LHP i believe
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
i don't like the recent form i'm in, but i think it's time to cut volume and only play good teams
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Padre pitcher on 4 .99 ERA based on 27.1 innings its a little complicated because of night ERA and away ERA but Killersports has a trend up that supports the play/.
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
Despaigne unseen, though the Pads bullpen gave away a very likely win yesterday
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Astro pitchers first game in Colorado.
Of course tomorrow Colin goes----7.80 ERA at the site based on 15 innings
Go Brett
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G
Gyno
Guest
Despigne is a pretty solid pitcher. It's not like Chavez is an ace or the A's are all that great.
G
Gyno
Guest
BTW I got a terrible line on SD but good lines on my other two.
STL/MIN got 8 now 7.5
TOR -1 (-138) Which is -182 and RL +105 now -205 or more and RL +100
STL/MIN got 8 now 7.5
TOR -1 (-138) Which is -182 and RL +105 now -205 or more and RL +100
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
the Mets will be at a major disadvantage with their lineup in that park against one like TOR's, but the Jays haven't exactly done much the last two nights
Hollywood Beaker
Stalking the umps
Is KC so desperate that they have to start Joe Blanton?
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
he sucks, but it's probably to avoid bring a prospect up and to avoid messing with their incredible bullpen
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
Correct, .204 team avg vs LHP this season and league low 33 runs in 452 AB's vs LHP this season
austinhous
Pretty much a regular
Hutch is 11-3 SU and to the under at Rogers Centre with the roof open. He allowed 24 runs (24 ER) in 78.1 IP (ERA = 2.76) in those 14 starts. Since September 8 the Jays are 17-5 SU L22 at home with the roof open (11-0 SU NIGHT).
austinhous
Pretty much a regular
Cubs 8-1 SU after losing game one of the series. Tribe 3-7 SU home v LHP and 4-14 SU since last season after shutting out an opponent.
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
Despaigne at +181 is a must play for me
I love pitchers in a routine and Despaigne is proof of what I mean, he was knocked around earlier this season when making starts on 7 days rest, he's had 3 starts this season on extended rest (6+) and they were awful, today he's on 4 days rest..his best 0.99 era in 4 starts on 4 days this season, overall 2.33 era in his L5 starts. Oak has never faced him.
Chavez is 2nd to last in mlb in run support, A's only average 2.20 runs in his starts
SD 5-1 L6 Despaigne on 4 days rest
SD 11-3 L 14 after losing first two games of series
A's 1-6 L7 Chavez starts
I love pitchers in a routine and Despaigne is proof of what I mean, he was knocked around earlier this season when making starts on 7 days rest, he's had 3 starts this season on extended rest (6+) and they were awful, today he's on 4 days rest..his best 0.99 era in 4 starts on 4 days this season, overall 2.33 era in his L5 starts. Oak has never faced him.
Chavez is 2nd to last in mlb in run support, A's only average 2.20 runs in his starts
SD 5-1 L6 Despaigne on 4 days rest
SD 11-3 L 14 after losing first two games of series
A's 1-6 L7 Chavez starts
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
Oh yeah, Hutch most run support in mlb as well 7.15
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
still looking at Min, Stl .226 vs LHP and only 4-4 on road vs LHP this season
austinhous
Pretty much a regular
San Diego is 8-6 SU in Despaigne's starts when the opposing team is seeing him for the first time (8-2 SU when they score > 1 run). That's appropriate to consider as last season the Padres were close to setting MLB records for worst offense ever.
The A's have literally zero ABs versus Despaigne. And it is kind of the same story on the other side of the ball, as the Padres have only seen Chavez in six relief appearances (5.1 IP). Since Chavez has been in Oakland, the A's are 10-3 SU (5-1 SU home) when he is making his first start versus the opposing team.
The A's have literally zero ABs versus Despaigne. And it is kind of the same story on the other side of the ball, as the Padres have only seen Chavez in six relief appearances (5.1 IP). Since Chavez has been in Oakland, the A's are 10-3 SU (5-1 SU home) when he is making his first start versus the opposing team.
GWarner27
Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
feel like he's a very different pitcher this year, struggling with BBs even when he's on the line of getting a W at 4.2 IP
he had a bunch of double plays and didn't even hit 100 pitches in his last complete game
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
I lost my mind and went completely crazy, thinking Phi
Ubaldo better at home 2.48 (6 starts) vs road 4.23 (6 starts)
Ubaldo 3 starts in Phi, years ago but 11.25 era
Bal 5-15 L20 road
Bal 1-5 L6 Ubaldo road starts
Correia is a gamble but maybe worth it at a price, he had a great start vs Bal last season
Phi has been on road, 7-3 L10 as home/dogs
Ubaldo better at home 2.48 (6 starts) vs road 4.23 (6 starts)
Ubaldo 3 starts in Phi, years ago but 11.25 era
Bal 5-15 L20 road
Bal 1-5 L6 Ubaldo road starts
Correia is a gamble but maybe worth it at a price, he had a great start vs Bal last season
Phi has been on road, 7-3 L10 as home/dogs
Play2win
Mod by Monday Morning
Maybe Phi F5 as well, Bal 6-17-6 F5 road this season
