Wednesday Discussion Thread

bulldogs said:
kc und 4 is now moving to 3.5 in some places
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Same thing happened after I grabbed dat/sea yesterday early. Knew it would. Ended up not mattering but it easily could have with Gilbert bull shitting in 1st couple innings! Actually got me a little extra cause I live bet under 5.5 Ff after he gave those runs up thinking he might have given me a push on 4. Worked out even better! I love when a plan comes together! lol
 
bulldogs said:
pgh/tb und 3.5 1st 5

cinn -.5 -110 1st 5

minn -.5 -115 1st 5
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Havnt looked at twins yet but they are incredibly overpriced for how they playing imo. Not to try to be a know it all on you but seeing how twinks the away team, I’m pretty sure still have what considered one the better pens in baseball (is that correct? I’m not 100%), I think I rather have the entire game and lay -1.5. I don’t know a lot bout chisox pen either but that generally one the last things you fix in rebuild as you can generally get good value to trade desirable relief pitching and who needs that till you have starters who can get ya to pen and a offense to get ya a lead? Anyways this my long way of saying even tho im not interested in laying juice on twinks right now I’d think a lot the price comes from the fact they have a massive edge late in games which certainly showed yesterday. I know all bout preferring the Ff -5 opposed to laying the -1.5 but I think this a situation if you finna play twinks it might be better to look at full game options, besides the reasons above I feel like it been taking their offense a minute to crank up, I don’t recall them scoring shit for runs as it seemed like every time I checked score cards were up on them. And we seeing right now cards not exactly a good team! Just a thought, not a game I’ll be involved in but I want you to win!
 
I assume time of day they playing in sactown and fact it not a huge bowl of concrete in sky we shouldn’t have to worry bout shadows? All just an assumption by me tho so ya know how that can go! Anyone w real incite?
 
2daBank said:
Havnt looked at twins yet but they are incredibly overpriced for how they playing imo. Not to try to be a know it all on you but seeing how twinks the away team, I’m pretty sure still have what considered one the better pens in baseball (is that correct? I’m not 100%), I think I rather have the entire game and lay -1.5. I don’t know a lot bout chisox pen either but that generally one the last things you fix in rebuild as you can generally get good value to trade desirable relief pitching and who needs that till you have starters who can get ya to pen and a offense to get ya a lead? Anyways this my long way of saying even tho im not interested in laying juice on twinks right now I’d think a lot the price comes from the fact they have a massive edge late in games which certainly showed yesterday. I know all bout preferring the Ff -5 opposed to laying the -1.5 but I think this a situation if you finna play twinks it might be better to look at full game options, besides the reasons above I feel like it been taking their offense a minute to crank up, I don’t recall them scoring shit for runs as it seemed like every time I checked score cards were up on them. And we seeing right now cards not exactly a good team! Just a thought, not a game I’ll be involved in but I want you to win!
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Twins have the worst record in baseball over the past 43 games from last season. Something like 12-31, heard it yesterday.
 
peelpub94 said:
Twins have the worst record in baseball over the past 43 games from last season. Something like 12-31, heard it yesterday.
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I forgot bout last year, just the eye test playing what I know isn’t a very good cardinals team was horrific! And getting swept by cards? Even in our last run of glory cards were rarely a team you could count on to sweep (not counting the crazy year they won pretty much every game in sept and caught the Braves!? as their mantra always been to win series, not sweep! It wasn’t just the fact they lost, not just they got behind every game, but their body language wasn’t great. Everyone knows how I feel bout their meathead manager, there a really good chance this team has tuned him out completely. It’s funny, when they came out of nowhere to be competitive for playoffs they were dogs 75% the time all way til all star break that year, I cashed a ton of plus money tickets on them. Now they have this perception of being a playoff type team maybe even thought of as tops in Al west but I think they more likely to finish in a fight for last with chi Sox than stay anywhere close to kc or cle! Yea they won yesterday but the fact they were like -160s was comical to me, good luck betting them at that price against any teams!
 
B.A.R. said:
Love it man.

I've only made 4 plays this year.

2 my own, 2 tails but I can say I've yet to lose.

I'll definitely be more involved with the home team from the start this year.
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I was only around 7 bets before the last 2 days. Can’t remember if I lost 1 or 2. I’ve bet god knows how many plays the last 2 days, probably 20ish! All I know is my account has over quadrupled these 2 days so im doing something right!!

Just remember I was one the 1st other than you to start loving the tigers again! I need a new team while cards make me annoyed at best
 
I remember exactly when I start betting lot of tigers games and props. I liked them coming into last year but the offense was so fucjing terrible till around June. One day @B.A.R. posted a stat about tigers record if they simply scored 3 runs! Right then I knew we were into something with them as I already liked several their pitchers!
 
Greene appears efficient today, I like the slow and study Greene better than the guy I’m praying gets 7+ k’s before he gets yanked in 3rd or 4th. Lol
 
2daBank said:
I remember exactly when I start betting lot of tigers games and props. I liked them coming into last year but the offense was so fucjing terrible till around June. One day @B.A.R. posted a stat about tigers record if they simply scored 3 runs! Right then I knew we were into something with them as I already liked several their pitchers!
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Yup.

That stat was something last year.

This team simply needs to navigate April and get out somewhere near .500

Yes, CWS on deck but afterwards...


VS New York (AL)
@ Minny
@ Milwaukee

VS Kansas City
VS San Diego
VS Baltimore

@ Houston


Then May starts much lighter...
 
B.A.R. said:
Yup.

That stat was something last year.

This team simply needs to navigate April and get out somewhere near .500

Yes, CWS on deck but afterwards...


VS New York (AL)
@ Minny
@ Milwaukee

VS Kansas City
VS San Diego
VS Baltimore

@ Houston


Then May starts much lighter...
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After watching the lad series it might have been bad in the w-l column I was pretty convinced they can play with pretty much everyone
 
I'm thinking about Athletics F5 RL +110. Taillon was tossing meatballs to AZ, who I get is a tough line up, but the A's are no slouch, started to get into a bit last night I noticed, and I think Springs is in a different class than Taillon and should be able to keep Cubs off balance enough.
 
peelpub94 said:
Now this is a man who thinks outside the box. NRFI value is all but lost. Unlike when we were hot on it in May last year before it caught up.
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The 1st weekend I told @VirginiaCavs I wasn’t sure I was ready for baseball full time, I was enjoying posting some and watching the college games but not same amount of commitment mlb is for me. I might have been sandbagging a bit! I was betting a few games and just trying to get some ideas, if you ain’t evolving you dying! Let’s not go announcing it to everyone at other places or anything, I’m sure I won’t be only one to figure out but yea this seemed like it helped me in a few ways, since the offshore doesn’t come w props and shit overnight I knew I was gonna get stuck w awful numbers on some things ppl eat up. These didn’t seem to be getting nearly the attention and to be real I might like it more. And it hits/runs/errors, not rbi, my bad, that be stupid. So there things to like bout this. A walk which is basically a double 50% the time then he gets moved over and scores without even a hit kills the nrfi but we still have 2 things to work with! A solo bomb doesn’t beat us! My biggest thought been try to avoid teams who commit errors but we still really early.,
 
2daBank said:
I did! Im
Sorry I don’t recall who posted but you know who you were! Great call!
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I’ll get better with everyone who contributes daily names fast I can, I suck wit names anyways and once again gonna use the wife dying excuse. Normally I’d totally remember your name!! Lol

Don’t think of it as ego If you quote me and say it was you. I’d prefer you did cause it will help me remember name!
 
Patrick9 said:
Man, Leiter looks better than on Friday.

Half my play's gone.
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I actually played his k’s, Greene k’s, Cruz steal, something else I hope wasn’t reds.

It was yiu who pointed out the rangers getting run on wasn’t it? If so great job man.

I’m a parlay freak but just remember to not let one thing kill your other good plays, either layer individual plays from the one game to another and:or straight bet the best ya got. Hope this makes sense im pretty stoned but it took me a few years long time ago to figure out I could go 6-2 and not make any fucking money! That just something that gotta be fixed! A damn moron called me dumb!
 
Cmon Greene, 1 more punch out!! I love seeing the efficient greene. I really think bringing singer to this staff is gonna do guys like Greene a world of good.
 
I don’t know if I have a reds game bet but I would sure hate to see Greene lose this game. What the rangers pen looking like? Can they carry 3 innings?
 
Springs over 5.5 k’s +118

I was on fence at 5.5 when I wrote down but not at +118!! Cubs might be on a heater but I know this team has plenty of swing and miss and I’m really thinking if the change up working the aggressive cubs hitters could be swinging thru a lot of pitches
 
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