Wednesday Discussion Thread

I’m too tired to do anything tonight. Gonna keep live betting the late games til I pass out but had ru bring this one up.

Skenes va pepiot should be amazing!! Forget the torpedo bats. They gonna need metal bats that shaped like those old fat whiffle ball bats for kids to hit these guys!!!!
 
Just so ya know I love all you degenerate fucks and appreciate everyone who reached out asking how me and Theresa were doing. I wasn’t sure if I would be able to post and bet cause it made me feel a little guilty but it really helps take my mind off it. She knows i love this and has told me so many times she wanted me to be happy cause i made the last 10–12 years her life the best she had. Anyways enough w the sappy shit, let’s keep making this money!!

I gotta sleep 1st tho! I havnt slept since waking up at 1:30 last night! lol
 
I am a Rangers fan since the eighties.
I am betting on the Reds ml and rl and F5.
I think (hope) Leiter is serviceable this year (and definitely into the future),
but his last game was smoke and mirrors against a "spinning tires" RedSox lineup.
Double plays and generous calls on boarder line pitches.
He won't be as bad as last year, but this shouldn't be his game against Greene.
 
Patrick9 said:
I am a Rangers fan since the eighties.
I am betting on the Reds ml and rl and F5.
I think (hope) Leiter is serviceable this year (and definitely into the future),
but his last game was smoke and mirrors against a "spinning tires" RedSox lineup.
Double plays and generous calls on boarder line pitches.
He won't be as bad as last year, but this shouldn't be his game against Greene.
Click to expand...

I see 81% chance of rain but it don’t say if it during game or later toniggg or what? Lot of help that is, lol. I’m gonna check weather and if it looks ok I’ll dig in, I hate fucjing w games w potential weather delays!
 
Patrick9 said:
I am a Rangers fan since the eighties.
I am betting on the Reds ml and rl and F5.
I think (hope) Leiter is serviceable this year (and definitely into the future),
but his last game was smoke and mirrors against a "spinning tires" RedSox lineup.
Double plays and generous calls on boarder line pitches.
He won't be as bad as last year, but this shouldn't be his game against Greene.
Click to expand...
Great info. I was wondering why this game was priced the way it was, massive mismatch on the mound in their current form.
 
Oh damn, it gonna storm here today it looks like. Far as cincy goes it appears game should be fine, rain later, it does say windy, prob good to know which direction that wind blowing in that bandbox, anyone know?
 
peelpub94 said:
Weather is insane in Cincy today:

View attachment 95381
Click to expand...

It been crazy here lately so not surprised. Keeps going back and forth between nice and cold which not totally unusual but I swear it has felt like we lived in Chicago this month it been so freaking windy! Looks like we got a line of storms coming thru in next few hours. All these old trees around power lines where I live I freaking cross my fingers before every storm we don’t lose power!
 
Patrick9 said:
I am a Rangers fan since the eighties.
I am betting on the Reds ml and rl and F5.
I think (hope) Leiter is serviceable this year (and definitely into the future),
but his last game was smoke and mirrors against a "spinning tires" RedSox lineup.
Double plays and generous calls on boarder line pitches.
He won't be as bad as last year, but this shouldn't be his game against Greene.
Click to expand...
I'd suggest throwing the Texas Team Total Under in the mix as well. The boys tend to do a lot of swinging on getaway day. I listen to pretty much every Rangers game and even Eric and Matt are itching to get out of there.
 
The rain should hold off until after.

Cincy's new approach under Tito is more contact/speed oriented which should rush things for a rookie pitcher.
We saw this not work with Eovaldi, but Rocker couldn't slow things down in order to keep his fastball down.
The rangers aren't scoring, and are really not scoring outside of the HR. (an MLB problem in general)
Greene is hard to score on outside of the HR and 20mph winds are blowing in.
The winds are supposed to shift from R to L later in the game before the real threat of rain comes late afternoon.
I think (unfortunately) it will be a multiple run lead early and sustained.
 
Patrick9 said:
The rain should hold off until after.

Cincy's new approach under Tito is more contact/speed oriented which should rush things for a rookie pitcher.
We saw this not work with Eovaldi, but Rocker couldn't slow things down in order to keep his fastball down.
The rangers aren't scoring, and are really not scoring outside of the HR. (an MLB problem in general)
Greene is hard to score on outside of the HR and 20mph winds are blowing in.
The winds are supposed to shift from R to L later in the game before the real threat of rain comes late afternoon.
I think (unfortunately) it will be a multiple run lead early and sustained.
Click to expand...

Yea it looked to me like rain should hold off.
 
I dunno what kind of competitor pepiot is, I assume he gonna be up for the challenge of facing the guy who gets all the much deserved love, he facing a lineup I think I coulda prob got thru 1x in my prime (nobody ever accused me of lacking confidence no matter how misguided! lol). Getting this dude at plus money to fan 7+ is really fucking tempting to me!

Also no shock the nrfi in that game is like -200! However I see under 2.5 hits/runs/errors is -152, that doesn’t seem so bad.
 
Patrick9 said:
I don't know. Rangers are an average SO team.
Click to expand...

Greene one those guys I don’t worry much bout the team he facing. Lot of pitchers are matchup dependent for me but when it comes to stuff this kid has it just comes down to if he on or not. If he on he punching out 7+ against anyone. If his control not there and he walking guys which tends to lead to throwing some obvious pitches right down the pipe then he can get ran from the game early vs pretty much any crappy lineup.
 
Patrick9 said:
I don't know. Rangers are an average SO team.

I forgot to add, the Ranger catchers are 0 for 10 this year on SB's
Click to expand...

Oh wow. We know Cruz basically runs every time he gets on base doesn’t he? He usually don’t stop after getting 2nd either. Dont think i ever played a steal prop but maybe this the day!!
 
Cruz is +152 to steal a base! Considering I have never even dabbled in this market I have no clue what a good price would be? I’d assume The most obvious thing is ya gotta figure out his chances of 1st reaching base then go from there?
 
It'll be something to watch. If the Tampa pitchers wear down with the humidity. I remember the Miami pitchers talking about this before they got their new stadium. And they had years to adapt and prep and see what works and what doesn't. Tampa Bay will be an interesting experiment this summer.

Braves pitchers go through this somewhat still.
 
Patrick9 said:
It'll be something to watch. If the Tampa pitchers wear down with the humidity. I remember the Miami pitchers talking about this before they got their new stadium. And they had years to adapt and prep and see what works and what doesn't. Tampa Bay will be an interesting experiment this summer.

Braves pitchers go through this somewhat still.
Click to expand...

Interesting stuff. I never woulda thought bout that and rays are not shy bout overworking their pen. Great thoughts my dude.
 
Speaking of these minor league parks being used how great is it watching A’s games? I feel for the ppl of Oakland cause I think it a god damn tragedy these owners get us to foot the bill for their stadiums to yet again increase their value (as they losing so much money!), I’m all for the ppl saying “fucking take your tax breaks and pay for your own shit!”, unfortunately there always seems to be another city ready to swoop in and throw cash and property at these pricks while homeless ppl begging on street!!

Anyways off the soapbox. I’m betting the shit out of overs in sac town! It so fun seeing a packed venue and not that god forsaken wasteland A’s been posting games in! Used to be an easy way to go to sleep turning a A’s game on at night, nothing could be more boring!! Not the case anymore! It be nice they win one these games but it still so much better and until they adjust overs all day!
 
CPA-hole said:
Tomato can Bryce Elder somehow gets another start for the Braves today. Good luck with that. Dodgers run line and F5 seem almost too easy.
Click to expand...

Most everyone knows I bet very few favs, I don’t mind paying juice on props but I try to keep it minimal on sides but I’ve kinda joined the dark side a bit with lad. It’s just disgusting how good they are, once I caught most one the Japan games and saw their pen I was like “jfc unless they just have a swarm of injuries these mfers gonna win 115+ games or whatever the record is!”.. I havnt been betting them pre game but the other day I played glastnow k prop after watching him throw 7-9 pitches I live bet them -1.5 -135 or some shit, went to bed knowing that was cash! Lol, last night after they were down 1-0 for awhile I guess, I didn’t really follow. A more “square” friend of mine me mentioned they were pretty cheap, forget what it was but felt like stealing so I jump in live, 10 min later they up 3-1! I can’t see myself ever playing what their prices be before start of games but im hunting chances anytime they get down to live bet them! When you feel really confident most nights the pen isn’t gonna let the game get away from them plus lock it down if/when they do get lead. You know they either about to get into the others teams pen who prob sucks! Or they at the very least getting a 2nd or 3rd look at a starter that had to work his ass off to hold a lead long as he did!

So yea, I never stop evolving at this thing we do, I can be a “square” when the opportunities present themselves!! Nothing square bout making money! And im sure I can spin it to tell myself how impressive it is im so diverse! Lmao
 
Ragans v Peralta another one, I’ve always been a Freddy p fan, he inconsistent but when he on his game he is nails. Ragans needs no introduction at this point, he mows mfers down, beers lucky kc couldn’t get that timely hit last night cause not sure they score of this kid followed by the trifecta of doom in their pen! I dunno where runs coming from?

Kc/mil Ff u4 -118
 
A’s tt ov 4.5 +110
A’s ff -.5 +115

I know the scrubbies have all kinds of momentum going, Houston looks cheaper and more pathetic everyday without Tucker while he just what the cubs needed. Yes I lost on A’s ml yesterday but cashed their team total and hefty play on over 8 :)

Talked bout this with @peelpub94 the other day. I thought springs looked like the same guy before the TJ, I had to watch cause it hard to make concrete statements about a lefty after facing Seattle as if you could train a circus clown to throw left handed he could wipe out Seattle! That said the depth on his change looked fantastic which makes his 91-92 mph fastball play way up especially when he dotting it! I think he got a few further over the plate against sea but Seattle being who they are still swung right thru them or just stared like idiots! That said I’d think that to be expected making his 1st start in 18 months or whatever. I expect he will get better and better, the one thing to cool down a hot offense a stud pitcher, in this case I think one with a filthy breaking ball might just be what they need to hold cubs down for a game. A’s have fallen behind every game this series and while Taillon fine I think today the day A’s offense starts the party.
 
Patrick9 said:
Be careful with Tampa home games. It's already into the 80's and rains there most afternoons/evenings during the spring/summer.
Click to expand...

Yea I’m still in wait and see on that park. I’m full blown over mode in sac town A’s till proven otherwise. I mean with these pitchers I worry far less bout weather. You know what could be super interesting, I know it rains basically every day at some point, I’m not sure if that generally before when their night games will start or not but one the reasons I try to avoid weather games like the plague is cause most starters don’t come back into games if they pitch a few innings and then suffer a delay. Even if it a quick 15-20 min downpour (I have no clue what the weather does down there other than seeing hurricane damage on news, lol, for most part I’ve only traveled south and west, never east so never seen Florida). Anyways even a quick downpour then ya got another 20-30 min for grounds crew to do their thing and players to work back up. Nothing is a bigger kick in nuts than having a pitcher out or k total looking awesome then they get yanked cause a delay or they take a line drive off their shin!! Well the only thing worse might be that Neanderthal manager in Minnesota who has no fucking clue how to manage a rotation or when to take or leave guys in!! Stupidity is actually harder to deal with than bad luck but at this point I know better so it would be as much stupidity on my part expecting that limp
Dick asshole to do the right thing!!
 
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