Wed Discussion

[Trueblue]

nice, thanks for the reply, sn. I think I may make a play on the under.. pen is well rested after yesterday's 7 ip shut out effort by weaver

 

[SportsNut]

TB with Shields is probably not a good spot since he is off a 1 hitter and NY needing a win a spot they have done well in to avoid long streaks...they were clueless vs Moose in NY. Also Shields is terrible vs NY and I just looked it up so much worse then I thought 0-6 in 6 starts. Best he has done is losing by 2 runs and best outins 7inn 4 runs twice......being we have Rasner vs Kaz on Thursday and the Yanks inability to score vs LHP this seems lik ethe more probable spot for a WIN for them....

Beware of daing Glavine at NIGHT. He is actually pretty good if you look at the extreme difference.

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysptblthbody1 align=right><TD class=yspdetailttl>G</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>GS</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>W</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>L</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SV</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>CG</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SHO</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>IP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>H</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>R</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ER</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>HR</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BB</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>K</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ERA</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>WHIP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BAA</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>Day</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>2</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>2</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>4.2</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>10</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>8</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>8</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>6</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>3</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>15.43</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>3.43</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.476</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>Night</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>4</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>4</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>24.1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>21</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>6</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>5</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>2</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>10</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>11</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.85</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.27</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.247</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysptblthbody1 align=right><TD class=yspdetailttl>G</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>GS</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>W</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>L</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SV</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>CG</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SHO</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>IP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>H</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>R</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ER</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>HR</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BB</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>K</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ERA</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>WHIP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BAA</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>Day</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>8</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>8</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>3</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>4</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>39.0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>52</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>36</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>33</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>6</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>15</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>17</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>7.62</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.72</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.319</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>Night</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>26</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>26</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>10</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>4</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>161.1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>167</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>66</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>66</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>17</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>49</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>72</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>3.68</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.34</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.271</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysptblthbody1 align=right><TD class=yspdetailttl>G</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>GS</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>W</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>L</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SV</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>CG</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SHO</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>IP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>H</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>R</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ER</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>HR</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BB</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>K</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ERA</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>WHIP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BAA</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>Day</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>12</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>12</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>4</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>2</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>74.1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>85</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>37</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>33</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>5</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>21</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>49</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>4.00</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.43</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.291</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>Night</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>20</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>20</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>11</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>5</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>123.2</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>117</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>57</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>51</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>17</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>41</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>82</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>3.71</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.28</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.252</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysptblthbody1 align=right><TD class=yspdetailttl></TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>GS</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>W</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>L</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SV</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>CG</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>SHO</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>IP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>H</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>R</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ER</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>HR</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BB</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>K</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>ERA</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>WHIP</TD><TD class=yspdetailttl>BAA</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow1 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>Day</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>13</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>13</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>4</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>6</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>79.1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>96</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>35</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>34</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>6</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>26</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>37</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>3.86</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.54</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.307</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD></TR><TR class=ysprow2 align=right><TD class=yspscores align=left height=16>Night</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16></TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>20</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>20</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>9</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>7</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>132.0</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>131</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>53</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>49</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>6</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>35</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>68</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>3.34</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>1.26</TD><TD class=yspscores height=16>.261</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

I am not really concerned with ERA as much as BAA when I look at this stuff. When for 3+ years there is a 40+ pt difference I think that is huge.

Myers 2-2 at home so far & Philly has lost 7 of his last 8 starts when favored at home. He is 4-6 L10 vs ATL and 2-4 at home.

Si I hate to say but since no one really seemed aware of the difference in Glavine past few seasons night and day I think I may have to ride ATL. The biggest difference I see is while Myers has been sharper at home its been versus SF , Chi , and Houston teams who really have very little to offer from the LH side. Fukudome has been terrible on the road and Berkman wasnt really hitting at that time ...so the ATL LHB should present a a challenge IMO. Also his velocity is down and that has been a concern due to him throwing his cutter which the staff does not want to see.

Also probably like Contreras and WSox if they lose today...think Lackey has had a few rehabs but I dont recall any SP off the DL winning there 1st start of the season. Only guys who pitched then went on the DL have seen there teams win......Contreras has been solid on the road so far especially his last 3 lasting at least 7 and his career numbers are fairly decent especially compared to lackey who made 4 rehab stats of which 3 came in A ball and the other in extended ST....LAA minus a few bats lately seems to have hurt them...:shake:

Well as I said wasnt around much today and stuck to what I said last night...meaning I played Boston and texas in the dya dropping both. At night I played ATL , NYY , LAD and WSOX...and could win all 4 if WSox hold on....also played COL 1st ML and ML plus 1st 5 Under that I spoke about.....

Today was really rushed and my 2 favorite plays were ATL and NYY but I couldnt get as much as I would have liked on either...

So today looked like.{1unit unless noted}

Texas -120
Boston -130
Braves +130
Over 10 Braves
Indians +140 -1.5 RL
Over 4 -115 1st 5 Inn Oak
Over 8 Oak
Reds -140 {0.75Units}
Over 9 Washington
Yankees +130 {1.5 units}
1st 5 ML +130 Yanks {.5units}
Over 8.5 -120 NYY
Dodgers -110 {1.25 units}
Cubs -130
Pirates +130 {0.75units}
Rockies ML +150 1st 5 inn
Rockies +160 ML - so close !
Under 5.5 Rockies 1st 5 inn {0.75 units}
WSox +130 1st 5 ML {0.85 units} PUSH
WSox +130 ML {1.25 units}
+1.77 units


- Only really feel like I forced Pitt and over 9 Wash..just screwed up not having enough on ATL and maybe NYY...so probably cost my self 4 units in bases....not so bad since everything was rushed today

Celts -9 {1.5units}
Over 176 {.75units}
Over 90 2nd H {0.75 units}
Celts -8 2nd H {1.5units}
Over 90 & Celts -8 parlay {.75 to win 2 units}
+3.35 units

:shake: