E.T.G.
One of trus baby mommas
Figure maybe it was my titles that caused me the bad streak so we'll stay with the adjectives. Bottom line, I have to be smart today with these early games and not get down on myself if I lose them.
2:05..... Giants +131 / Brewers -141 / Over 8.5: No bet here, had Brewers last 2 nights and they cashed, now is not the time to get greedy. Brewers do kill LHP at home and Zito has not been consistent this yr. Brewers are 10-2 when Vargas pitches as well. Giants have now dropped 6 in a row? Brewers have won 8 of their last 9 games. Didn't look at the ump but I think this game goes over..Not touching a side, don't want to be a victim of the Giants and Zito getting off the shitter.
2:05.....Marlins +118 / WSux -128: Alright, had Mitre last start vs the Royals and dude gives up 6er, I guess at this point I will chalk that up as a bad start. I realize 5 of them came in the 6th and 7th inning but still he gave up 6er. I want to see lineups for this game if it is true that the WSux are even more banged up. Hamstring wise, I think Mitre has to be cool by now, he did go 6.1 last start and throw 88 pitches so I would think its alright. Both teams are 3-7 in their last 10 games but Florida is batting .291 in that span while WSux are batting .251. Mitre doesn't give up the long ball and he doesn't walk many batters which is good so the light hitting WhiteSux will have to earn their runs. WSux really didn't do much hitting outside of the first inning when they scored 4runs yesterday. They got 3hits from the 2nd inning on against Obermueller, Miller, Lindstrom, Benitez, and Gregg and batted .194 as a team in that game. Marlins have batted (.366), (.333), (.312), (.405) in their last 4 games so the bats are def there. Garland is a decent pitcher, not really dominant and he is hittable. Marlins are free swingers and an agressive team on offense so they could play into him a little bit. Garland is 3-3 w/ 3.36era at home, 8games, 56.1ip, 52h, 16bb, 24k. Sox are 4-9 when Garland pitches and the Marlins are 4-7 when Mitre pitches. Last 3 games, Garland is 1-1 w/ 2.53era, 21.1ip, 26h, 4bb, 11k. Currently lean to the Marlins +118
3:35....Reds +218 / A's -238 / RL -1.5 -127: Talk about juice on the RL huh. There is no other reasonable way to play this game unless you just take a shot with the Reds.. Alright well Haren has looked like the best pitcher in baseball this yr and that is pretty much it. Belisle is garbage but is 4-1 w/ 4.28era on the road this yr. He is 0-1 w/ 7.68era in his last 3 games. My problem here is that I don't believe in the A's offense 1 bit and they can make Belisle look decent today, which he is not. Haren has given up more than 2er only 1 time in 15 starts this yr, (3 vs. Yanks in April), every other game has been 2er or less, and 8 starts have been 1er or less, so that means most likely the A's have to get 4 runs to cover the RL here, which is doable. A's are 11-4 when Haren pitches and have covered the RL in 7 of his 15 starts this yr. Currently lean to the A's -1.5 -127.
3:40....Drays -110 / DBacks +100 / Under 8.5 -110:
DBacks game ended around 1:45am last night and this game is at 3:40, could be a little fatigure here on both sides. I don't like the under as much as I did last night since the number has dropped, DRay offense is real hot, the bullpens blow and the number is lower than I want by 1run..
Shields gave up 4er on 4hits and back to back homers in the first inning vs. the Rockies last start, he went on to pitch 6innings (shortest outting this yr) give up 6hits and 5er. That was Shields first loss of the season as well.
Shields Away = 3-1, 3.27era, 6g, 44ip, 34h, 7bb, 34k... Batters hitting .211 off him
Shields L3 = 2-1, 20.1ip, 16h, 3.98era, 2bb, 16k
Shields has 10 starts this yr out of 14 total with 3er or less and has gone further than 6ip in every start except the last one vs. the Rockies.
I am fully expecting him to bounce back here against a not so potent offense in Arizona for atleast 7ip.
Here is the rundown on Owings numbers wise.
Owings at Home = 2-1, 3.05era, 6g, 38.1ip, 37h, 12bb, 27k... Batters hitting .259 off him
Owings L3 = 1-0, 17ip, 20h, 3.18era, 5bb, 7k
Owings has given up 3er or less in 9 of his 10 starts this yr. Pretty impressive I must say.
The first 2 games in this series have gone Over. The last 5 games Arizona has played have gone Over, yet the 5 games before that went Under the total and they are 28-40-1 on the O/U this yr..Tampa has hit the over in 10 of their last 11 games but is 22-9-2 O/U on the road.
Shields is 7-6 O/U and Owings is 6-4 O/U.
Of course TB bullpen can blow this thing at anytime but if Shields can get through 7innings or more and Reyes comes in later, it should be alright. (I wrote that last night) Now that he has pitched 2inning-4er, I take it back, nothing is alright. Another reason for concern for the under is the way TB is hitting lately, .297 off RHP in their last 10, meanwhile the DBacks are hitting RHP around .215 and Shields pretty much dominated the DBacks last yr in his only career start vs. the DBacks. If Shields dominates the DBacks there is a lot of room for some runs for the under. If Owings dominates the DRays, this game should def hit under.
I am showing Martin Foster as the ump and he is 5-8 O/U this yr w/ 62.5% for strikes.
I personally think Shields bounces back here and gets the W, Arizona has a good home record (21-15) but they are a streaky bunch just like the DRays. It might have been different if the Rays were going for the sweep but the DBacks stole one last night and now its time to get owned again. TB has advantage with SP and offense and that is where I currently lean. <!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
2:05..... Giants +131 / Brewers -141 / Over 8.5: No bet here, had Brewers last 2 nights and they cashed, now is not the time to get greedy. Brewers do kill LHP at home and Zito has not been consistent this yr. Brewers are 10-2 when Vargas pitches as well. Giants have now dropped 6 in a row? Brewers have won 8 of their last 9 games. Didn't look at the ump but I think this game goes over..Not touching a side, don't want to be a victim of the Giants and Zito getting off the shitter.
2:05.....Marlins +118 / WSux -128: Alright, had Mitre last start vs the Royals and dude gives up 6er, I guess at this point I will chalk that up as a bad start. I realize 5 of them came in the 6th and 7th inning but still he gave up 6er. I want to see lineups for this game if it is true that the WSux are even more banged up. Hamstring wise, I think Mitre has to be cool by now, he did go 6.1 last start and throw 88 pitches so I would think its alright. Both teams are 3-7 in their last 10 games but Florida is batting .291 in that span while WSux are batting .251. Mitre doesn't give up the long ball and he doesn't walk many batters which is good so the light hitting WhiteSux will have to earn their runs. WSux really didn't do much hitting outside of the first inning when they scored 4runs yesterday. They got 3hits from the 2nd inning on against Obermueller, Miller, Lindstrom, Benitez, and Gregg and batted .194 as a team in that game. Marlins have batted (.366), (.333), (.312), (.405) in their last 4 games so the bats are def there. Garland is a decent pitcher, not really dominant and he is hittable. Marlins are free swingers and an agressive team on offense so they could play into him a little bit. Garland is 3-3 w/ 3.36era at home, 8games, 56.1ip, 52h, 16bb, 24k. Sox are 4-9 when Garland pitches and the Marlins are 4-7 when Mitre pitches. Last 3 games, Garland is 1-1 w/ 2.53era, 21.1ip, 26h, 4bb, 11k. Currently lean to the Marlins +118
3:35....Reds +218 / A's -238 / RL -1.5 -127: Talk about juice on the RL huh. There is no other reasonable way to play this game unless you just take a shot with the Reds.. Alright well Haren has looked like the best pitcher in baseball this yr and that is pretty much it. Belisle is garbage but is 4-1 w/ 4.28era on the road this yr. He is 0-1 w/ 7.68era in his last 3 games. My problem here is that I don't believe in the A's offense 1 bit and they can make Belisle look decent today, which he is not. Haren has given up more than 2er only 1 time in 15 starts this yr, (3 vs. Yanks in April), every other game has been 2er or less, and 8 starts have been 1er or less, so that means most likely the A's have to get 4 runs to cover the RL here, which is doable. A's are 11-4 when Haren pitches and have covered the RL in 7 of his 15 starts this yr. Currently lean to the A's -1.5 -127.
3:40....Drays -110 / DBacks +100 / Under 8.5 -110:
DBacks game ended around 1:45am last night and this game is at 3:40, could be a little fatigure here on both sides. I don't like the under as much as I did last night since the number has dropped, DRay offense is real hot, the bullpens blow and the number is lower than I want by 1run..
Shields gave up 4er on 4hits and back to back homers in the first inning vs. the Rockies last start, he went on to pitch 6innings (shortest outting this yr) give up 6hits and 5er. That was Shields first loss of the season as well.
Shields Away = 3-1, 3.27era, 6g, 44ip, 34h, 7bb, 34k... Batters hitting .211 off him
Shields L3 = 2-1, 20.1ip, 16h, 3.98era, 2bb, 16k
Shields has 10 starts this yr out of 14 total with 3er or less and has gone further than 6ip in every start except the last one vs. the Rockies.
I am fully expecting him to bounce back here against a not so potent offense in Arizona for atleast 7ip.
Here is the rundown on Owings numbers wise.
Owings at Home = 2-1, 3.05era, 6g, 38.1ip, 37h, 12bb, 27k... Batters hitting .259 off him
Owings L3 = 1-0, 17ip, 20h, 3.18era, 5bb, 7k
Owings has given up 3er or less in 9 of his 10 starts this yr. Pretty impressive I must say.
The first 2 games in this series have gone Over. The last 5 games Arizona has played have gone Over, yet the 5 games before that went Under the total and they are 28-40-1 on the O/U this yr..Tampa has hit the over in 10 of their last 11 games but is 22-9-2 O/U on the road.
Shields is 7-6 O/U and Owings is 6-4 O/U.
Of course TB bullpen can blow this thing at anytime but if Shields can get through 7innings or more and Reyes comes in later, it should be alright. (I wrote that last night) Now that he has pitched 2inning-4er, I take it back, nothing is alright. Another reason for concern for the under is the way TB is hitting lately, .297 off RHP in their last 10, meanwhile the DBacks are hitting RHP around .215 and Shields pretty much dominated the DBacks last yr in his only career start vs. the DBacks. If Shields dominates the DBacks there is a lot of room for some runs for the under. If Owings dominates the DRays, this game should def hit under.
I am showing Martin Foster as the ump and he is 5-8 O/U this yr w/ 62.5% for strikes.
I personally think Shields bounces back here and gets the W, Arizona has a good home record (21-15) but they are a streaky bunch just like the DRays. It might have been different if the Rays were going for the sweep but the DBacks stole one last night and now its time to get owned again. TB has advantage with SP and offense and that is where I currently lean. <!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
