Thing I like about fading Bouchtard from here is the line up of the draw. Bet on Hercog & she fails -> Cibulkova should be on deck for the 3R. The Canadian somehow gets by the pocket rocket then it should be Vinci (her best Slam record is at the USO, but her recent peformances elsewhere haven't been great, so her odds should be well playable). She makes the QF, then her run would end against any of Makarova/Svitolina/Mladenovic (esp. the first 2).