Tuesday Total Discussion

Dmoney416

Ben Mauk's Counsel
Open - current

Miami Ohio - Buffalo: 52.5-49.5

No. Illinois - Ball St.: 47?-47
Toledo - Akron: 54?-54 (lean under here)

Maryland - Va. Tech: 43?-43
TCU - Utah: 43?-43.5

Nevada - Fresno St.: 71?-71

Open - Current (10:05 AM EST Saturday) (Original Projection)


Syracuse - Rutgers: 47.5 - 48.5 (48)
Wisconsin - Indiana: 51.5 - 51.5 (51) (Went up to 53 for a short time)
Ohio St. - Northwestern: 40.5 - 40.5 (40.5) (Went as high as 42.5)
Purdue - Michigan St.: 49.5 - 52 (53.5)
Georgia Tech - North Carolina: 43.5 - 42 (44.5)
Illinois - Western Michigan: 63 - 60 (68) (Went as low as 59.5)
Virginia - Wake Forest: 37 - 40 (42)
NC State - Duke: 47 - 49.5 (48)
Oklahoma St. - Texas Tech: 75 - 69.5 (70)
Florida - Vanderbilt: 48 - 48 (45.5)
Arkansas - South Carolina: 44.5 - 44 (44.5)
Georgia - Kentucky: 44.5 - 46 (45)
Bowling Green - Ohio: 52 - 50 (47.5)
San Diego St. - BYU: 59 - 63.5 (64)
Utah St. - Boise St.: 54.5 - 51.5 (51.5)
Oklahoma - Texas A&M: 75 - 71 (76)
Army - Rice: 59 - 54 (59)
Iowa St. - Colorado: 53 - 47.5 (51.5)
Memphis - SMU: 63 - 61.5 (66.5)
Kansas St. - Missouri: 77 - 70 (71.5)
Clemson - Florida St.: 45 - 44 (46)
Marshall - East Carolina: 45 - 46.5 (46.5) (Went down to 44.5 before the rise)
Kansas - Nebraska: 70 - 62 (69.5) (Went as low as 60.5)
Penn St. - Iowa: 45 - 42.5 (43.5)
Notre Dame - Boston College: 46.5 - 45 (47.5)
Wyoming - Tennessee: 39.5 - 41.5 (41)
Alabama - LSU: 50 - 46.5 (45)
Stanford - Oregon: 60 - 56.5 (59)
Arizona St. - Washington: 48 - 49.5 (49.5)
Hawaii - New Mexico St.: 54.5 - 53 (50.5)
Tulane - Houston: 59 - 57 (57.5)
Colorado St. - Air Force: 49.5 - 51.5 (49)
Oregon St. - UCLA: 54.5 - 48 (53.5)
Arizona - Washington St.: 63.5 - 56.5 (59)
So. Miss - Central Florida: 54.5 - 49.5 (51.5)
Baylor - Texas: 68 - 61.5 (66.5)
Cincinnati - West Virginia: 41.5 - 45.5 (48)
Louisville - Pittsburgh: 55.5 - 52 (49)
Michigan - Minnesota: 48.5 - 48.5 (49.5)
California - USC: 55.5 - 48 (52)
La. Tech - San Jose St.: 43.5 - 41 (44)
New Mexico - UNLV: 48 - 49 (49.5)

W. Kentucky - Troy: 56 - 55.5 (48)
North Texas - Florida Atlantic: 64 - 65.5 (63.5) (I believe this went to about 68 before falling back)
UTEP - La. Lafayette: 73.5 - 73.5 (74.5)
Arkansas St. - Fla. Int.: 53 - 46 (49)
UL Monroe - Middle Tenn. St.: 50.5 - 52 (47.5)

Sorry about the late start - lets find some winners. :cheers:
 
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Here's mine. Dmoney/Matador:

Syracuse - Rutgers: 48/46
Wisconsin - Indiana: 51/55
Ohio St. - Northwestern: 46/39
Purdue - Michigan St.: 53.5/53
Georgia Tech - North Carolina: 44.5/48
Illinois - Western Michigan: 68/56 Rain likely.
Virginia - Wak Forest: 42/38
NC State - Duke: 48/52
Oklahoma St. - Texas Tech: 70/72
Florida - Vanderbilt: 45.5/49
Arkansas - South Carolina: 44.5/47
Georgia - Kentucky: 45/40
Bowling Green - Ohio: 47.5/54
San Diego St. - BYU: 64/63
Utah St. - Boise St.: 51.5/50
Oklahoma - Texas A&M: 76/68
Army - Rice: 59/59
Iowa St. - Colorado: 51.5/56
Memphis - SMU: 66.5/57
Kansas St. - Missouri: 71.5/74
Clemson - Florida St.: 46/49
Marshall - East Carolina: 46.5/48
Kansas - Nebraska: 69.5/64
Penn St. - Iowa: 43.5/45
Notre Dame - Boston College: 47.5/53
Wyoming - Tennessee: 41/36
Alabama - LSU: 45/42
Stanford - Oregon: 59/57
Arizona St. - Washington: 49.5/49
Hawaii - New Mexico St.: 50.5/55
Tulane - Houston: 57.5/55
Colorado St. - Air Force: 49/54
Oregon St. - UCLA: 53.5/51
Arizona - Washington St.: 59/62
So. Miss - Central Florida: 51.5/49
Baylor - Texas: 66.5/60
Cincinnati - West Virginia: 48/49
Louisville - Pittsburgh: 49/56
Michigan - Minnesota: 49.5/53
California - USC: 52/59
La. Tech - San Jose St.: 44/39
New Mexico - UNLV: 49.5/46

W. Kentucky - Troy: 48/52
North Texas - Florida Atlantic: 63.5/67
UTEP - La. Lafayette: 74.5/76
Arkansas St. - Fla. Int.: 49/46
UL Monroe - Middle Tenn. St.: 47.5/57
 
Ala/LSU down to 48.5 and WVU/Cin up to 43.5
What is your take on Louisville, they are a team that I do not understand.
 
Ala/LSU down to 48.5 and WVU/Cin up to 43.5
What is your take on Louisville, they are a team that I do not understand.

I don't understand them either, but they do struggle on the road.

In terms of the spread, I think its about right - probably would have made Pitt -7.

Like the under since both teams will run and both are capable of containing the run (but you wouldn't know it from Louisville's performance last week.

I see a 24-21 or 27-20 type game.
 
That's all - four for me:

Cincy/WV over 41.5 (2.2u to win 2)
WKU/Troy under 56 (1.65u to win 1.5)
Ville/Pitt under 55.5 (1.65u to win 1.5)
Bama/LSU under 50 (1.32u to win 1.2)
 
^so i'm assuming you think w mich gets to 30+ here? that makes me feel confident in my play on w mich...

you like anything tonight, neil?
 
^so i'm assuming you think w mich gets to 30+ here? that makes me feel confident in my play on w mich...

you like anything tonight, neil?

if western michigan throws the ball, yah, they'll get to 30. On turf, with the way that illinois has played up-tempo teams and the fact that wmu can't stop the big play, this has illinois in the high 30's i would assume.

i'm thinkin along the lines of 37-28 minimum.

as for tonight, i'm leaning toledo under prolly, not sure if i'll play it yet. As for the NIU game, coach kill is a genius. But this is by far the best defense they'll play all year and they just don't have the experience, actually lean chalk there.
 
GL bro.I love totals and had not had one total in 2 months interest me. I always take a look at what you got.Great job and great thread.
 
Bump for those interested. Added the openers, the current, and my original projection in parentheses.

A lot of movement again this week. By my count, 14 games moved four points or more. And, of those, 5 games moved by seven points or more. Astounding number there.

Also interesting to note:

Of the games that opened with a total of 60 or higher (11 of them), 9 are lower (many by several points) than the original opener. The exceptions are North Texas/FAU (64 to 65.5) and UTEP/ULL (stayed at 73.5). This has happened often this year - so if you like the overs on these high numbers, it is often best to wait. (and vice versa for the unders)
 
Wow on that Oklahoma move.

I grabbed it at its apex then, as I'm in at o69.

Silly. TAMU should luck into at least 17, and OK, well....

TAMU is averaging right around 40 pass attempts in their last 5 games, and that will go very well today with their shitty D.
 
Wow on that Oklahoma move.

I grabbed it at its apex then, as I'm in at o69.

Silly. TAMU should luck into at least 17, and OK, well....

TAMU is averaging right around 40 pass attempts in their last 5 games, and that will go very well today with their shitty D.

Tend to agree - Oklahoma could score on every possession. This was my highest projected total of the week.

If I saw that 69, I might be with you. :cheers:
 
Thanks nawlins - appreciate it. Will you be capping CBB - sure to find some good totals there.

VK - liked the under at the original opener, not so much now.

Sorry I missed these posts earlier....
 
It was there for about 5 min, if that.

The under steamed, and I said WTF, and luckily Bookmaker held onto the 69 a few seconds longer than "we move on air and Pinny juice" 5Dimes.
 
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