Tuesday, July 24 SDQL

JROCK1966

JROCK1966

Big Blue Nation
Overall YTD: -$341.27

Since July 5th: +$167.38

-$48.00 yesterday.

Braves @ Marlins: Chen is on his best rest and has great splits at home this year. Teheran has not done bad vs. the Marlins or at Marlins Park. We also have the Under ump Doug Eddings behind the dish with a 5-13 O/U record. Gonna try and sweat out a couple of Unders....

  1. 7/24/2018 12:10 PM MLB Baseball 901 Atlanta Braves/Miami Marlins* Under 7½ -105
    J Teheran - R Listed W Chen - L Listed
    Risking $21.00 To Win $20.00
  2. 7/24/2018 12:10 PM MLB Baseball 901 Atlanta Braves/Miami Marlins* Under 4 -115 for 1st 5 Innings
    J Teheran - R Listed W Chen - L Listed
    Risking $23.00 To Win $20.00
BOLTA!
 
Red Sox @ Orioles: So I think this is cool :cool: and is a great example of how gambling can be counter-intuitive. In the pics below, I ran the queries with win differential. In the first pic I just did the amount of wins for the road team is more than the home team. The SU win percentage is 40%. One might expect, when the win differential increases in favor of the road team, the win percentage for the home team would decrease. But that is not the case. In pic 2, I increase the win diff to 5 and the percentage for the home team goes up to 53.3%. What?? I increase it by 5 more wins in pic 3 and the percentage for the home team goes up to 71.4%. Finally, the last one goes back down to 66% but the RL is perfect 3-0. Query says 1-0 but it's wrong...should be 3-0.

orioles2.jpgorioles3.jpgorioles4.jpgorioles5.jpg
 
Padres@Mets: The only time this situation lost was last year when the Cubs beat the Braves with John Lackey on the bump. I'm not sure why but my thought process said to immediately check how the Cubs hitting fared last year vs. the Padres hitting this season. The Cubs ranked 6th last year in the NL and the Padres rank 13th this year. I'm thinking Wheeler will have a but easier time tonight vs. the Padres than Newcomb did last season vs. the Cubs. Am I wrong to go thinking off on some weird tangent like this?

:doink:

mets6.jpg
 
Tigers @ Royals: Lots of mojo for the home team in this situation and Tigers currently sitting at 94% consensus on ESPN Pickcenter. Tigers the public bloodbath for the evening perhaps?

tigers9.jpg
 
My Card for the night:

  1. 7/24/2018 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 904 Philadelphia Phillies* -114 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    K Maeda - R Listed A Nola - R Listed
    Risking $22.80 To Win $20.00
  2. 7/24/2018 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 908 New York Mets* -135 vs San Diego Padres
    E Lauer - L Listed Z Wheeler - R Listed
    Risking $27.00 To Win $20.00
  3. 7/24/2018 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 914 Baltimore Orioles* +1½ -130 vs Boston Red Sox
    D Pomeranz - L Listed Y Ramirez - R Listed
    Risking $26.00 To Win $20.00
  4. 7/24/2018 8:05 PM MLB Baseball 919 Oakland Athletics* -101 vs Texas Rangers
    F Montas - R Listed M Minor - L Listed
    Risking $20.20 To Win $20.00
  5. 7/24/2018 8:15 PM MLB Baseball 922 Kansas City Royals* -107 vs Detroit Tigers
    J Zimmermann - R Listed B Smith - R Listed
    Risking $21.40 To Win $20.00
BOLTA!!
 
1 Parlay....3, 4, & 5-teamer RRs:

  1. 7/24/2018 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 904 Philadelphia Phillies* -1½ +170 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    K Maeda - R Listed A Nola - R Listed
  2. 7/24/2018 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 908 New York Mets* -1½ +160 vs San Diego Padres
    E Lauer - L Listed Z Wheeler - R Listed
  3. 7/24/2018 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 914 Baltimore Orioles* -1½ +250 vs Boston Red Sox
    D Pomeranz - L Listed Y Ramirez - R Listed
  4. 7/24/2018 8:05 PM MLB Baseball 919 Oakland Athletics* -1½ +150 vs Texas Rangers
    F Montas - R Listed M Minor - L Listed
  5. 7/24/2018 8:15 PM MLB Baseball 922 Kansas City Royals* -1½ +185 vs Detroit Tigers
    J Zimmermann - R Listed B Smith - R Listed
Risking $16.00 (16 parlays at $1.00) To Win $696.78


:eatingburger:
 
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