TNF 11/14 WEEK 11

[Loves2kickass]

Washington @ Philadelphia

Washington 26-23/26-24 type game with slim possibility of a 24-24 close game at some point. The difference in these teams is very close but factoring in home/away turnovers gives Washington a small edge. In a game evenly played without several turnovers I have Philadelphia in a 23-21/24-21 type game. Both scenarios provides value with Washington.

The game total currently at 49.5 looks pretty close to the predicted outcome and no value there, unless of course, turnovers aren't a factor. In that case the under has value.

These are just estimates of what my figures show. In a nutshell it appears if Philadelphia wins the game should finish under the total and if Washington wins the total is higher, right near the current total.

My bets are...
Commanders +4
Commanders/Eagles Alt Total 56.5un -250

 

[Ticketwindow]

Good health! I am on the other side and I foresee the Eagles running at will. Shall see

 

[Inspekdah]

Washington @ Philadelphia

Washington 26-23/26-24 type game with slim possibility of a 24-24 close game at some point. The difference in these teams is very close but factoring in home/away turnovers gives Washington a small edge. In a game evenly played without several turnovers I have Philadelphia in a 23-21/24-21 type game. Both scenarios provides value with Washington.

The game total currently at 49.5 looks pretty close to the predicted outcome and no value there, unless of course, turnovers aren't a factor. In that case the under has value.

These are just estimates of what my figures show. In a nutshell it appears if Philadelphia wins the game should finish under the total and if Washington wins the total is higher, right near the current total.

My bets are...
Commanders +4
Commanders/Eagles Alt Total 56.5un -250

Eagles haven’t played a winning team with a pulse in their 5 game run. Expect them soon to go Big Dom mode and lose out.

 

[Inspekdah]

Good health! I am on the other side and I foresee the Eagles running at will. Shall see

Rush #s def give me pause as a potential Redskins backer

 

[Loves2kickass]

It appears BetMGM will get a nice middle if the Eagles win by 3 or less. Eagles backers are taking the -4 and Commanders backers the money line. I'll gladly take the Eagles 24-21 predictive score or any 3 point game below a mid 50's total.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Here's my official numbers for the game tonight. I used these as a starting point to use for total points scored.

Phi 22.48-18.31(-5.67) 40.79 (off vs def)
Phi 24.98-24.62(-1.86) 49.60 (def vs off)
Phi 23.73-21.47(-2.26) 45.20 (avg)
Was 25.47-23.73(-1.74) 49.2 (TO's incl)

 

[Loves2kickass]

Phi 22.48-18.31(-5.67) 40.79 (off vs def)
Phi 24.98-24.62(-1.86) 49.60 (def vs off)
Phi 23.73-21.47(-2.26) 45.20 (avg)
Was 25.47-23.73(-1.74) 49.2 (TO's incl)

The closest of the predictive lines in bold with the exact score for Wash along with cover and under. A low turnover game in red missed the game total by 1 point and also finished under the game total.

 

[B.A.R.]

Dead ass under, no doubt.

 

[2daBank]

Eagles haven’t played a winning team with a pulse in their 5 game run. Expect them soon to go Big Dom mode and lose out.

They held cincy to 17! Bungals might be losers but not many teams keeping Burrow out the 20s, eagles d is legit. We know what the offense capable of but that d needs to get more love, corners can lock guys down, wash WRs had what 2 catches? And Carter is turning into one those interior defenders that can wreck a game. How many times wash have 2nd and short and went backwards the next 2 plays? You never see that from them. Eagles are legit it gets imo. To me it them vs lions to decide the nfc.

 

[Inspekdah]

They held cincy to 17! Bungals might be losers but not many teams keeping Burrow out the 20s, eagles d is legit. We know what the offense capable of but that d needs to get more love, corners can lock guys down, wash WRs had what 2 catches? And Carter is turning into one those interior defenders that can wreck a game. How many times wash have 2nd and short and went backwards the next 2 plays? You never see that from them. Eagles are legit it gets imo. To me it them vs lions to decide the nfc.

Team takes way too long to get going on offense. Defense is way better under Fangio than whatever they were doing last year. Still not too impressed with the running Big Dom's. Would love to see them as a 9er fan instead of Detroit in the playoffs.

 

[2daBank]

Team takes way too long to get going on offense. Defense is way better under Fangio than whatever they were doing last year. Still not too impressed with the running Big Dom's. Would love to see them as a 9er fan instead of Detroit in the playoffs.

The fact it takes them a half to get going on offense is a bit puzzling. I mean some of it makes sense cause they continue hammering teams with the run game and eventually Barkley gets massive holes. The early scripting isn’t good tho, I agree with that. Luckily for them the d is good enough to keep them in it til the offense gets going, feel like some weeks they would be better served taking deep shots early to soften things up for Barkley. They might be scared hurts will hold ball to long and do something stupid! Lol