Time to post my week 7 card so far

RetroVK

RetroVK

This claim is disputed
Week One: 22-29 -9.90 units
Week two: 28-26 -0.6 units
Week three: 31-31 -3.1 units
Week four: 27-24 +0.6 units
Week five 38-33 +1.7 units
Week six 39-33 +2.7 units
Overall 185-176 -8.6 units

Had a positive week last week, particularly with the bigger (bolded) plays.. Shout out to CTG member pstone who is currently in first place in the GN contest. Keep it rolling, sir. There is zero way you would be doing this good without the expert analysis of the Tulane Green Wave (Wow) in the first week of the year from that fine gentleman at GN sportsbook.

Tuesday
Appst at Arkst (under 61) winner 1-0

Thursday
Texas Tech at TCU (2h tcu -2.5) loser 1-1
Ga Southern at Texas State (Texas State 17.5, trxst 7.5 2h, ov 23.5 2h) winner winner loser 3-2-

Friday
USF at Tulsa (USF -7) loser 3-2
AFA at SDSU (AFA 11.5) winner 4-3
Arizona at Utah (Utah -14) winner 5-3

Saturday
Minnesota at Ohio State (Ohio State -29.5) 5-4
Nebraska at Northwestern (Over 59) 6-4
Oklahoma State at Kansas State (Okst -7) 6-5
Akron at Buffalo (Buffalo -11) 7-5
Florida at Vanderbilt (Under 50.5) 7-6
Vols at Auburn (Pending) 7-6
Iowa at Indiana (over 53.5) 8-6
Rutgers at Maryland (Terps -23.5) 9-6
Toledo at Eastern Michigan (under 63.5) 10-6
Duke at GT (Duke 2, under 55.5) 12-6
Ville at Boston College (Ville 14, under 60) 13-7
UAB at rice (rice 17) 13-8
troy at Liberty (Troy -10) 13-9
USM at UNT (Usm 9.5) 13-10
Pitt at Ndame (Pitt 21) 14-10
kent State at Moh (Kent St 11, over 58) 14-12
wmich at bowling green (under 70.5) 14-13
Ball State at CMU (over 53 - tailing some folks) 14-14
Ohio at NIU (Ohio 4, Over 51.5) 15-15
Marshall at ODU (Marshall 4, Over 59) 17-15
Baylor at Texas (under 60.5) 18-15
wku at Charlotte (charlotte 7.5) 19-15
TAMU at S Carolina (TAMU -2) 20-15
Purdue at Illinois (under 62) 21-15
Army at SJSU (Army -15, over 51.5) 23-15
msu at psu (Penn State -13.5, over 53) 23-17
uga at lsu (under 50.5) 23-18
Temple at Navy (Temple -5.5) 24-18
Washington at Oregon (over 58) 24-19
UCF at Memphis (UCF -4.5, under 81) 25-20
New Mexico at Colorado State (csu pick, over 64) 26-21
UNLV at Utah State (Utah State -26.5) 27-21
ULM at Coastal (ULM 7 -120, under 66) 29-21
Latech at UTSA (Latech -11.5) 30-21
Missouri at Alabama (Under 74 hugish) 31-21
UCLA at Cal (UCLA 7, over 52) 32-22
West Virginia at ISU (West Virginia -6.5, over 55.5) 32-24
Houston at ECU (Houston -16 largest side) 33-24
VT at UNC (Under 58.5) 34-24
Miami Fl at UVA (under 48) 35-24
Wisconsin at Michigan (Michigan -8) 36-24
Ole Miss at Arkansas (Over 69 1h under 34.5 2hun 34 38-25
MTSU at FIU (MTSU 2) 38-26
Hawaii at BYU (Hawaii 12, over 57 2h un 24.5 39-28
Wyoming at Fresno State (Pending)
Boise State at Nevada (Boise State -17, over 60.5) 39-30
Colorado at USC (Colorado 7, over 57) 39-32
 
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Sorry all, very behind on work and so i haven't had time to consolidate and post what I have so far, let alone reasons. And only part way through the card at this point. Vacation really set me back and catching up is difficult.
 
USF at Tulsa (USF -7)
AFA at SDSU (AFA 11.5)
Arizona at Utah (Utah -14)

Saturday
Minnesota at Ohio State (Ohio State -29.5)
Nebraska at Northwestern (Over 59)
Oklahoma State at Kansas State (Okst -7)
Akron at Buffalo (Buffalo -11)
Florida at Vanderbilt (Under 50.5)
Iowa at Indiana (over 53.5)
Rutgers at Maryland (Terps -23.5)
Toledo at Eastern Michigan (under 63.5)
Duke at GT (Duke 2, under 55.5)
Ville at Boston College (Ville 14, under 60)
troy at Liberty (Troy -10)
Pitt at Ndame (Pitt 21)
kent State at Moh (Kent St 11, over 58)
wmich at bowling green (under 70.5)
Ball State at CMU (over 53)
Ohio at NIU (Ohio 4, Over 51.5)
Marshall at ODU (Marshall 4, Over 59)
Baylor at Texas (under 60.5)
wku at Charlotte (charlotte 7.5)
TAMU at S Carolina (TAMU -2)
Purdue at Illinois (under 62)
Army at SJSU (Army -15, over 51.5)
msu at psu (Penn State -13.5, over 53)
uga at lsu (under 50.5)
Temple at Navy (Temple -5.5)
Washington at Oregon (over 58)
UCF at Memphis (UCF -4.5, under 81)
UNLV at Utah State (Utah State -26.5)
ULM at Coastal (ULM 7 -120, under 66)
Latech at UTSA (Latech -11.5)
Missouri at Alabama (Under 74 hugish)
UCLA at Cal (UCLA 7, over 52)
West Virginia at ISU (West Virginia -6.5, over 55.5)
Houston at ECU (Houston -16 largest side)
Wisconsin at Michigan (Michigan -8)
Ole Miss at Arkansas (Over 69)
MTSU at FIU (MTSU 2)
Hawaii at BYU (Hawaii 12, over 57)
Boise State at Nevada (Boise State -17, over 60.5)
Colorado at USC (Colorado 7, over 57)
 
Adds

1H ole miss/Ark under 34.5
usm 9.5
Colorado state Pick
Colorado st/UNM over 64
vatech/unc under 58.5
miami fl/uva under 48
Rice 17


So I was able to get Rice at an MGM property at 17 and so my patience paid off there. I still like it at 16.5 but I think if you want to bet rice, a drop to 16 is less significant than a rise to 17. I might be digging a bigger hole than I want with the ole miss / Ark game but there is weather there and I am hoping this is a way of juicing out. If it goes over, I should have the ability to go under again 2h .. and if that loses, I will have lost a 1.2 units instead of winning a unit. It's a risk. I did something similar with oregon in a bowl game a couple years ago and won both bets. I should probably just eat the loss.

good luck
 
Had a nice day and went 7-2 on the bigger stuff with two losses both being tied to Penn State's offense. I actually didn't get to see that game so I will watch it during the week sometime while I am working and will check the box/pbp tonight.

Some thoughts that came to me as I watched games today:

1. Colorado coach might have been an English major or a Physical Education major or a Communications major .... but he wasn't a math major. trailing 31-20 late in the game he went for two. If you can explain it, let me know. The 2h total was 24.5 and it was almost a brutal beat for those folks. I am super confused how a coach cannot know to kick an extra point in that spot. Maybe we will find out the kicker and back up kicker were both hurt.

2. TOSU is a finesse passing team on offense against competition now. Expecting their offensive line to physically dominate in the run schemes isn't going to happen against any above average defensive line. TOSU failed in short yardage again. The defensive line for TOSU is still good without Bosa but they are not elite like they would be with him. The second level of the defense continues to take bad angles on ball carriers. As for Minnesota ... thought they played a very physical game and I thought the young QB looked pretty poised for a road start at the shoe. Their pass game has a long ways to go but he was far from being a deer in headlights. If you told me before the game started that Haskins would throw for over 400 and TOSU would be plus three in turnovers, I would have expected a huge win. Not the case because the buckeyes rushed for under three a carry. At no point did they look 30 pts better than Minnesota.

3. Duke dominance vs the option continued, holding GT to 354 yards, 229 rushing at 3.8 per carry. I like to point this out because it is one of the few things that I believe I spotted way before anyone else, perhaps even first. It will be talked about almost every time Duke plays against the option going forward with this coaching staff. Duke offense really sputtered and the two teams had a lot of turnovers.

4. I have to throw Rice into my unbettable teams folder for now. They cannot generate points and their defense is simply not good enough to sustain being put into bad positions.

5. Apparently the starting QB for Troy State is worth about three TD's.

6. Memphis played in the rain against Navy and lost, playing badly. Memphis played in the rain against Tulane and played badly. And after a good half, once the rain started to really fall down, Memphis played bad offense again and lost. Tough spot for Memphis next week with Mizz off the drumming and likely able to stop the Memphis RB. Anyway, be sure to check weather when betting Memphis. They really need a QB who is either a threat to run or a threat to pass. White is not proficient at either. Also, this UCF team is a shell of last years squad.

7. UTSA has the worst offensive football team in the NCAA ... or most offensive, depending which definition of the word you are using.
 
2........ what in hell was greg schiano doing with double high safeties all game? afraid annexstad was going to beat him over the top? instead just give them the quick underneath and the numbers to run which is exactly what minnesota did. they did this at psu after getting torched by hamler and i can see it with psu's speed but minnesota? my god schiano is a joke
 
dickydunn said:
2........ what in hell was greg schiano doing with double high safeties all game? afraid annexstad was going to beat him over the top? instead just give them the quick underneath and the numbers to run which is exactly what minnesota did. they did this at psu after getting torched by hamler and i can see it with psu's speed but minnesota? my god schiano is a joke
Click to expand...

I would rather take the rare big play hit too compared to the wearing down by way of the little cuts. Also, they haven't been good at all in coming up and making the tackles. the bad angles and missed tackles can make those short passes turn into something bigger with how the buckeyes safeties are playing.

UCF also overplayed the pass for an entire half, costing us what should have been an easy cover. How can you possibly give up 172 first half yards to Henderson when he is about the only thing you need to stop in the Memphis offense?
 
booksbestfriend said:
UCLA covered. Just in case you are looking for the record head scratcher. Good work VK.
Click to expand...

Ya i go too fast grading them in here. As I ocassionally have other nonposted things (usually 2h's i dont have time to post or games listed at multiple numbers whereas i post only my most invested number here) in my spreadsheet it isnt a check figure. Thanks
 
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