RetroVK
This claim is disputed
season record to date:
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 23-20 -1.17units
dogs 28-19 +15.45units
overs 4-5-2 -1.00 units
unders 16-6-1 +9.08 units<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
__________________
ok not going to be as stat oriented in my writeups tonight. i have already played everything that i am going to for tomorrow ..... lets take a look.....
kansas city royals --Angels traveling back to the mississippi to take on the royals and give the ball to Santana. No need to get into his home and away splits as we are all pretty aware of them. He has pitched much better so far on the road this year but he has also worked really hard. This poor guy threw 647 pitches in the month of april. That has to take some toll on the guy. He pitches worse against kansas city than vs any other team in the league. They are 30/76 off of him. cough cough cough. Ok so the royals send out the famous "hard luck Tomko" to record angel outs. Angels bat an ok .269 against tomko but the rbi guys have not hit him well. vlad 1/13 , anderson 1/7 although hunter is ok at 3/10. He really didnt pitch poorly vs the angels last time but a two out 3 rbi double ny anderson scored three runs.... and he eventually lost 3-5. I thought this line would be in the realm of -115 vs -105 but i guess tomkos short outing , santanas early record , era and whip and the fact that angels are a public darling .... we get a nice price here. Anytime i can bet a team plus 35 cents like i did here AND i actually EXPECT them to win ... i feel like i have great value.
reds -- I would be an idiot if i was not a bit scared of laying money on the reds right now. I have a season long bet on these guys and it already looks like it might be toilet paper. With that said a lot of my favorite angles in baseball are in play here. Cubs havent seen cueto , reds hit dempster well , cubs first game of a second road series , reds off getting swept on the road, cubs may be without their best left handed bat. Cueto has a deceivingly better whip than his numbers even indicate so far because of last start. Reds bats awaken sunday. Just a lot of things point to the reds here ..... so even though they are playing the worst baseball in the league right now ... i can back them here at -115 i think
white sox and over 8 -- I will start with baserunners. I think we see a lot of them. Mcgowan and vazquez both can really struggle with control at times and kulpa behind the plate struggles with calling strikes. McGowan has 17 walks in 35.1 innings. thats a lot of walks and the white sox are a pretty veteran patient team at the plate ... so i expect them to be patient here ... and i am giving them credit for it ... because as bad as they have been hitting the normal reaction from hitters is to press and swing at bad pitches. The sox dont really hit mcgowan all that well at a .250 clip so that is a concern ( really early in the year it has been hard to find too many pitchers that this lineup hits well .. very overrated team early in my opinion ). The key will be Swisher. he is 1 of 10 with seven strikeouts vs mcgowan. Get something out of him and i think the white sox score. If mcgowan throws strikes ... we could be in some trouble cause the white sox simply arent hitting. Vazquez has nasty stuff and the sox tend to give him good run support. He has pretty much owned the bjays lineup but he is also a guy that can lose control and walk folks. Again with kulpa out there .. hard to believe he doesnt give a few free passes. The bluejays are hitting better than the white sox right now as well.... and playing better ball in general. 8 just seems too low to me for an american league game with these two particular pitchers..... so many concerns though ... the white sox may be batting so poorly right now that i shouldnt back them .. especially to an over. And none of mcgowans started games have hit double digits in runs scored. Both of these guys have also thrown 600 pitches or more already and again ,,, i promise you that hurts a pitchers stuff at some point. May not be monday but it is coming ... a day where the arm is just a bit too overworked.
like i said ... too many concerns for a full play here so i bet this on a little parlay.
thats all i really like for tomorrow.
official plays post incoming.
gl gang
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 23-20 -1.17units
dogs 28-19 +15.45units
overs 4-5-2 -1.00 units
unders 16-6-1 +9.08 units<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
__________________
ok not going to be as stat oriented in my writeups tonight. i have already played everything that i am going to for tomorrow ..... lets take a look.....
kansas city royals --Angels traveling back to the mississippi to take on the royals and give the ball to Santana. No need to get into his home and away splits as we are all pretty aware of them. He has pitched much better so far on the road this year but he has also worked really hard. This poor guy threw 647 pitches in the month of april. That has to take some toll on the guy. He pitches worse against kansas city than vs any other team in the league. They are 30/76 off of him. cough cough cough. Ok so the royals send out the famous "hard luck Tomko" to record angel outs. Angels bat an ok .269 against tomko but the rbi guys have not hit him well. vlad 1/13 , anderson 1/7 although hunter is ok at 3/10. He really didnt pitch poorly vs the angels last time but a two out 3 rbi double ny anderson scored three runs.... and he eventually lost 3-5. I thought this line would be in the realm of -115 vs -105 but i guess tomkos short outing , santanas early record , era and whip and the fact that angels are a public darling .... we get a nice price here. Anytime i can bet a team plus 35 cents like i did here AND i actually EXPECT them to win ... i feel like i have great value.
reds -- I would be an idiot if i was not a bit scared of laying money on the reds right now. I have a season long bet on these guys and it already looks like it might be toilet paper. With that said a lot of my favorite angles in baseball are in play here. Cubs havent seen cueto , reds hit dempster well , cubs first game of a second road series , reds off getting swept on the road, cubs may be without their best left handed bat. Cueto has a deceivingly better whip than his numbers even indicate so far because of last start. Reds bats awaken sunday. Just a lot of things point to the reds here ..... so even though they are playing the worst baseball in the league right now ... i can back them here at -115 i think
white sox and over 8 -- I will start with baserunners. I think we see a lot of them. Mcgowan and vazquez both can really struggle with control at times and kulpa behind the plate struggles with calling strikes. McGowan has 17 walks in 35.1 innings. thats a lot of walks and the white sox are a pretty veteran patient team at the plate ... so i expect them to be patient here ... and i am giving them credit for it ... because as bad as they have been hitting the normal reaction from hitters is to press and swing at bad pitches. The sox dont really hit mcgowan all that well at a .250 clip so that is a concern ( really early in the year it has been hard to find too many pitchers that this lineup hits well .. very overrated team early in my opinion ). The key will be Swisher. he is 1 of 10 with seven strikeouts vs mcgowan. Get something out of him and i think the white sox score. If mcgowan throws strikes ... we could be in some trouble cause the white sox simply arent hitting. Vazquez has nasty stuff and the sox tend to give him good run support. He has pretty much owned the bjays lineup but he is also a guy that can lose control and walk folks. Again with kulpa out there .. hard to believe he doesnt give a few free passes. The bluejays are hitting better than the white sox right now as well.... and playing better ball in general. 8 just seems too low to me for an american league game with these two particular pitchers..... so many concerns though ... the white sox may be batting so poorly right now that i shouldnt back them .. especially to an over. And none of mcgowans started games have hit double digits in runs scored. Both of these guys have also thrown 600 pitches or more already and again ,,, i promise you that hurts a pitchers stuff at some point. May not be monday but it is coming ... a day where the arm is just a bit too overworked.
like i said ... too many concerns for a full play here so i bet this on a little parlay.
thats all i really like for tomorrow.
official plays post incoming.
gl gang
