Gorgolon Lives
The Reverend of CTG
Utah Jazz ML (Risking 8 units to win 9.5 Units)
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I still don’t know how I want to play this. My book doesn’t have lines up yet. I like 1Q, 1H, and ML. I like spread if it hits -4.
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I am a believer that by the time games 6 and 7 roll around in a playoff series, you pretty much know what to expect. If a team got out-rebounded in the first games, they most likely will get out-rebounded in game 6. If their FT shooting was poor in all 5 games, expect the same in game 6. And so on and so forth… So here is what I’ve seen in all 5 games in this series.
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Utah on Offense:
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Deron Williams is the catalyst to the Jazz offense. The point guard has always been so important in Sloan’s offense. Williams is able to do whatever he wants on Alston: open jumpers, drives, open passing lanes. He’s averaging almost 16 points a game and 7 assists in the series.
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Carlos Boozer is dominating the series. Boozer is averaging 23 and 10 this series. Yao cannot guard him on the outside. Jerry Sloan’s flex offense employs the bigs on the perimeter, which draws the shot-blockers away from the basket. This allows Boozer to take Yao away from the hoop, and open up easy inside baskets. The Jazz half-court execution has been nearly perfect this series.
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Utah on Defense:
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Memo Okur is getting blasted for his lack of scoring in the series, but his defense has been very good on Ming. Most of the time he is able to play Ming 1 on 1, which doesn’t allow the Houston perimeter players open 3’s. Houston relies heavily on 3pt shooting, and that hasn’t been there this series. Yao Ming is going to get his 20 points a game, just based on his size. But if you can contain him to single coverage, and not allow the Houston perimeter players open looks, you can have success.
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Tracy McGrady is the X-factor this series. Utah hasn’t had much of an answer for him down the stretch. That’s the main reason they lost games 1 and 5, when they probably should have won.
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Utah has led all 5 games at the half, and I see that happening in game 6. The crowd should be electric in this elimination game. It is very hard to eliminate an opponent on their home floor. We’ve seen it so far with Toronto and Dallas. Houston got manhandled in the 2 games in Utah this series. And I don’t see how they will have ANY confidence to be able to close out this series in 6 games on Utah’s home floor. This is a must-win for Utah. Houston knows they can bring this back to their place in game 7 where they will have a huge edge with their crowd. On top of that McGrady aggravated a back injury in game 5. He did return, but with his prior history, we don’t know if we can expect him to be 100%.
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CANCELLED DALLAS BET* (Might take GSW)
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GL :cheers:
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I still don’t know how I want to play this. My book doesn’t have lines up yet. I like 1Q, 1H, and ML. I like spread if it hits -4.
<o></o>
I am a believer that by the time games 6 and 7 roll around in a playoff series, you pretty much know what to expect. If a team got out-rebounded in the first games, they most likely will get out-rebounded in game 6. If their FT shooting was poor in all 5 games, expect the same in game 6. And so on and so forth… So here is what I’ve seen in all 5 games in this series.
<o></o>
Utah on Offense:
<o></o>
Deron Williams is the catalyst to the Jazz offense. The point guard has always been so important in Sloan’s offense. Williams is able to do whatever he wants on Alston: open jumpers, drives, open passing lanes. He’s averaging almost 16 points a game and 7 assists in the series.
<o></o>
Carlos Boozer is dominating the series. Boozer is averaging 23 and 10 this series. Yao cannot guard him on the outside. Jerry Sloan’s flex offense employs the bigs on the perimeter, which draws the shot-blockers away from the basket. This allows Boozer to take Yao away from the hoop, and open up easy inside baskets. The Jazz half-court execution has been nearly perfect this series.
<o></o>
Utah on Defense:
<o></o>
Memo Okur is getting blasted for his lack of scoring in the series, but his defense has been very good on Ming. Most of the time he is able to play Ming 1 on 1, which doesn’t allow the Houston perimeter players open 3’s. Houston relies heavily on 3pt shooting, and that hasn’t been there this series. Yao Ming is going to get his 20 points a game, just based on his size. But if you can contain him to single coverage, and not allow the Houston perimeter players open looks, you can have success.
<o></o>
Tracy McGrady is the X-factor this series. Utah hasn’t had much of an answer for him down the stretch. That’s the main reason they lost games 1 and 5, when they probably should have won.
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Utah has led all 5 games at the half, and I see that happening in game 6. The crowd should be electric in this elimination game. It is very hard to eliminate an opponent on their home floor. We’ve seen it so far with Toronto and Dallas. Houston got manhandled in the 2 games in Utah this series. And I don’t see how they will have ANY confidence to be able to close out this series in 6 games on Utah’s home floor. This is a must-win for Utah. Houston knows they can bring this back to their place in game 7 where they will have a huge edge with their crowd. On top of that McGrady aggravated a back injury in game 5. He did return, but with his prior history, we don’t know if we can expect him to be 100%.
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CANCELLED DALLAS BET* (Might take GSW)
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GL :cheers:
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