Thursday Discussion Thread

Damn mlb not playing, every day I wake up I see I gotta get to work! Don’t get me wrong I love day baseball it just been tough go keep up w it all since I’ve actually been sleeping at night more lately. Guess it time to get the coffee on and the weed burning!! 🔥
 
Only 6 games tho. Think we talked bout this a different day but mlb doing a much better job spreading games out instead of having All the games basically starting at same times on east or west coast. Def prefer this.,
 
When the last time Walker Buehler took the mound and you actually trusted him? I sure can’t remember it, jays look like they might actually hang around this year, you can pretty much always count on Bassitt to give his team a chance, he pitched 4 games vs Boston last year. 3 of them he went at least 6 innings and never allowed more than 2 runs. Then his last start of year he struggled but don’t think that means much. Feel like ya gotta pretty much mark him down for a QS, facing a guy you never know what gonna get? Played jays as dogs last night and think they short again today considering the pitching matchup I’d say they should prob be favs.
 
Damn mlb not playing, every day I wake up I see I gotta get to work! Don’t get me wrong I love day baseball it just been tough go keep up w it all since I’ve actually been sleeping at night more lately. Guess it time to get the coffee on and the weed burning!! 🔥
I believe, Bank! Love the routine, BOL today.
 
Cws is back at it again, havnt won a game all month and have a grand total of 15 runs in the 7 games, tough to win scoring 2.5 runs a game!

Gavin Williams a intersting case, I was high on him long ago before he got hurt. This spring he looked so good all the fantasy dorks were slobbering all over his potential, can’t blame them I’ve been there but we all know spring training numbers can be a bit misleading and he hasn’t exactly come out the gates strong. Books still buying him with a 6.5 k number, that pretty high for a guy who has lived between a 10-12% swinging strike rate in the bigs. The fastball another tick up but not sure that matters a lot, the slider looks better than last season but bottom line is it all about control and efficiency with him. If he locating he can punch out 7 no problem, if he continues walking guys and going deep into counts he won’t be able to pile up the innings to put up these numbers! The plus money and opponent make it tempting, really not playing the percentages here tho, he limited starts in his career he punched 7+ but he also has never put together a full healthy season. I wanna be a believer here, we will revisit, I gotta go get some cigs! Coffee w no cigs makes dan angry!!
 
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Couldn’t I argue we getting the better starter with angels? The hitting vs rhp been fairly close, I have no clue if laa still has a bad pen? Think I read they threw some money in it, rays I expect to find guys but not real sure. Clearly the thought is rays have a pen edge cause laa +116 for gm but pretty much even for ff. I don’t think there any question soriono has more talent and upside than Littel, he has changed his pitch mix this year and for the most part I like the results. His ov 4.5 k’s seems solid but somewhat juicy, needs a parlay partner, I like

Soriano ov 4.5 k’s/laa 1st 5
 
I'm colder than Buffalo in January....
My initial leans are

Brewers -1.5
Blue Jays +102

With you on jays, little scared if that lineup can get shut down b2b days but the consistency of Bassitt vs the who the fuck knows of Ferris Buehler and I think ya gotta take the dog with the pitcher you can trust.

Havnt looked at Milw yet but they typically not a team im gonna lay -1,5 with cause I don’t trust that offense vs anyone!
 
I suppose being at coors helps Milw case but who this guy pitching for beers? I’m assuming he has never pitched at coors, kinda a rule of mine I won’t back a pitcher until I’ve seen him pitch there. I’m sure I’ve broken it but not sure I would here. Feltner record certainly leaves a lot to be desired at coors be he also a vet who knows how to pitch there.

Not sure I want a young kid making his 1st start for my team at coors? Apparently curve one his better pitches and I’ve always wondered if pitchers struggled more getting the 12-6 break at coors? I by no means an expert here I just know for some time Rox attempted to acquire pitchers that threw more heat,sinkers, cutters. Appears Red Sox were trying to change his pitch mix before trading him, I just can’t trust this dude as a fav. Not gonna be against you either, I have no clue how that game goes.
 
Think Rox get it done today. They're generally good for one dub, in a series. Included them in a parlay is all.

Once the season gets going like trying ti catch a team going to Coors that 1st game. To early for that imo but yea milw on a get away day rox could steal one., i dont know rox rotation real well anymore, I know Freeland still there, feels like he been there since the opened! Marquez has has a pretty long run, in dunno if they still have that cat cards gave them in Arenado swap? He threw a big 12-6 curve, at times pitched well at coors (Gomber, just remembered!) , i can’t recall if he kept using the curve but he was also a lefty. I like fading a guy msking his 1st coors start also, think Feltner bout as good rox have to offer.

As I said no real opinion for me here, but I feel like I’m starting to lean to the plus money if anything. The real question becomes if this a full card would I be playing this? Hell, truth is I wouldn’t have even invested the time! So pass is prob the best move for me, gun to head id ride w you abd the plus money.
 
So I don’t love this. Gavin Williams was + money at ov 6.5 but I couldn’t taje him to fan 7, just cooking justify. So I did

Williams 6+ k’s
Soriano ov 4.5 k’

Alrsssy had the Soriano and halo Ff so that means I need a halo Ff parlayed with something else.

So I did

Laa ml
Williams un1.5 er
 
We see if Williams ready to be that dude i thought he could be years ago, he has never made more than 15 starts, his stuff looked great this spring but that not always the best indicator! If he gonna be that dude I’d say it needs to start today in the cold vs the white sox! Im giving him one more chance to prove he that guy who should control the game spotting that heater which been increasing in velo while whipping guys out w his curve!!
 
I will be on redsox today as one of my favorite plays is when home team loses 1st 3 games of a 4 game home series.

I really only bet lakers games and I got 4-5 guys around league I follow props and bet. That has been working pretty good for me. NCAA cut one my legs out w 1 team every thru elite 8 (even gators not covering once got ms), but I got all that back w gators winning, but then think it was last Saturday j took a nba beating which hurt at tad. But again last night had the dream spot to go Luka wat over points, bron over points and lakers to win. Easy get back spot!
 
Minny/kc 1st inning un 2.5 r,h,e -125

I worry a tad here cause wacha needs that change up feel, always a chance he walks a guy or 2 out gates, the good news is those don’t hurt, hoping at worse he gives up a hit and run but that doesn’t knock us out if Bailey has a 1-2-3 1st. I’ve decided I like these, lost a few but think overall they well.

I played kc ml and several props in a sgp. It will mostly depend on wacha getting the grip that change early. Anyways I can’t think of everything I played. Straight I played these cause I can’t parlay h,r,rbi prop, kinda a bummer!!

Correa un 1.5 h,r,rbi
Witt ov 1.5 h,r,rbi
France ov 1.5 h,r,rbi

Like I said I can’t parlay those. Correa never hits before May and doesn’t hit wacha! It cold in kc and he a topical ppl!

Witt needs no explination!

France has the numbers vs wacha which makes sense, I rather be a righty vs wacha than see a ton the chsnvge he throws to lefties a lot!

The guys I did the sgp w and what ull have to post in a minute the puppy barking trying to ruin my day! Lol
 
Think Rox get it done today. They're generally good for one dub, in a series. Included them in a parlay is all.

You might be right but the fact I can trust the jays pitcher to give me a QS 75% the time while I have no clue if Buehler will make it 2 innings makes them a very tough bet. I’d need plus money on Sox to even think bout but passing prop not worse thing rather. Not sure if Sox lineup getting shut down b2b Games right now, all and all I’d say line close to correct cause nobody really knows what we get from Ferris.
 
You might be right but the fact I can trust the jays pitcher to give me a QS 75% the time while I have no clue if Buehler will make it 2 innings makes them a very tough bet. I’d need plus money on Sox to even think bout but passing prop not worse thing rather. Not sure if Sox lineup getting shut down b2b Games right now, all and all I’d say line close to correct cause nobody really knows what we get from Ferris.

Rox, Sox it's all the same Bank, lol
 
I was just thinking it I saw that lollipop that struck out last cle batter from batters box in would hit that bitch 500ft! Sure enough, he smashed it, lol
 
Rox, Sox it's all the same Bank,

Lmao, I already wrote Boit agreeing w you on Rox didn’t I? Between the weed and my vision being a pain in the ass this getting redic!! I can’t find glasses that help up close to phone so then I gotta leave on nose so I can see shen I look up! Plus I have a cataract in the eye that had the detached retina!!! I can’t really get that taken care of til Theresa passes! My life a mess, thank god im actually pretty good at this baseball shit! Lol
 
Lmao, I already wrote Boit agreeing w you on Rox didn’t I? Between the weed and my vision being a pain in the ass this getting redic!! I can’t find glasses that help up close to phone so then I gotta leave on nose so I can see shen I look up! Plus I have a cataract in the eye that had the detached retina!!! I can’t really get that taken care of til Theresa passes! My life a mess, thank god im actually pretty good at this baseball shit! Lol
All good bro, what you do / going thru is well documented but it was a good chuckle
 
The fantasy geeks (no offense to anyone who plays fantasy, I’ve played my share!) talked so good bout Williams this offseason and I always been a buyer but he looks like the same freaking guy to me.
 
Cmon Gavin give me at least 1 punch out and a clean inning or better yet just fan 2 and get it over with!!!
 
Well at least he kept pitch count down! He should be able to pitch into 6th. Another game I’m on the pitcher under er where I rather be in the cws ff Tt instead. Has only burnt me 1-2 so far this year at least,
 
Good 1st by wacha fkacka flame (that nickname don’t fit like when he came into league w that fireball heat and whipe out change!), rather it was a walk than hit but hopefully ober has a nice quick inning,
 
Just going purely on trends at this point. I think they'll end up about the same this year.

Halo’s get the easier schedule tho. Stros are pretending they somewhere around the rays when it comes to money. Seattle refuses to deal a pitcher to get some hitting. Rangers pitching staying healthy probably decides it, A’s my fav team to watch!
 
Halo’s get the easier schedule tho. Stros are pretending they somewhere around the rays when it comes to money. Seattle refuses to deal a pitcher to get some hitting. Rangers pitching staying healthy probably decides it, A’s my fav team to watch!
Agree on all this
 
Bittersweet single by Witt jr. Helps cash his prop but now I need ober out the inning.

This guy on tv says “now you in trouble if you the white Sox”, lol, Mfer they down 4 to a guy they can’t hit and they were in trouble the min they announced the 40 man roster!
 
Ok cle you have had Williams sitting way too long, end this inning aleady! You have more than enough runs!
 
Don’t love kc lost the lead but hitting all 3 over h,r,rbi props in 1st at bat while pitcher cashing k’s in another game not bad! I’d think or hope that all for Williams to cash his under 1.5 runs allowed
 
This should be it for night

Buehler ov 2.5 er +118
Jays ml (not sure if I posted yet?)

Debating wtf to do with lazardo, not loving over 6,5 k’s but not trying to pay -176 for 6+, dunno if their anything to parlay w hiim?
 
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