TB OVER reasoning:
-Price is always a guy I look to play at The Trop, but he's had serious difficulty this year and I'm not ready to trust him. His 12-2 lifetime record against the Jays is nice, but that was before his velocity dropped on both fastballs and he didn't leave spinning breaking balls down the middle to RH hitters. After him is a bullpen who can't get out of its own way getting overworked while sucking. Fernando Rodney should be available to close today and Joel Peralta should be available in the 8th, but no one else in that bullpen can get outs and I'm still unsure of Rodney. On the other side is a knuckleballer who is tough to predict with a completely gassed bullpen after two early exits from SP. RA Dickey clearly isn't what he was and the Rays are crushing the ball. Tim Welke's tight strikezone behind the plate combined with Toronto playing this series like its manager's job was on the line works well with TB wanting to salvage a split after blowing games 1 & 2. Give me a run to put in my pocket that should be on the total and I'm in to see 8+ men crossing the plate.