Tennis - Week 40 Discussion Thread

GatorsLeafsBills

GatorsLeafsBills

Pretty much a regular
Figured I'd start this thread. Get it going. Some great Womens Action this week. Will update this post with the draws.

ATP 250 - Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia (Notable Entries: Dimitrov, Ferrer, Karlovic, Lopez, Kyrgios)

http://www.protennislive.com/posting/2015/6003/mds.pdf

ATP 250 - Shenzhen, China (Notable Entries: Berdych, Cilic)

http://www.protennislive.com/posting/2015/6967/mds.pdf

WTA - Wuhan, China (Notable Entires: 16 of the Top 21WTA Rankings)

http://www.wtatennis.com/SEWTATour-Archive/posting/2015/1075/MDS.pdf

WTA - Tashkent, Uzbekistan (Notable Entires: Jovanovski only Top 50)

http://www.wtatennis.com/SEWTATour-Archive/posting/2015/825/MDS.pdf
 
Last edited:
Wuhan started with regular matches. Will start capping and posting schedules tomorrow night. Like I said, my whole night was rocked by the Gators win. I just couldnt concentrate
 
Daily Schedule for September 28, 2015

​ATP – Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia (IndoorHard)
4:00AM: Samuel Groth vs. Benjamin Becker
7:15 AM: Nick Kyrgios vs. Santiago Giraldo

ATP – Shenzhen, China (Indoor Hard)
2:30AM: Austin Krajicek vs. James Duckworth
6:00 AM: Ernests Gulbis vs. Mikhail Youzhny

WTA – Tashkent, Uzbekistan (Hard)
1:00AM: Anhelina Kalinina vs. Nao Hibino
2:30 AM: Kristyna Pliskova vs. Carina Witthoeft
4:00 AM: Margarita Gasparyan vs. Alexandra Panova
5:30 AM: Elena Vesnina vs. Anna-Lena Friedsam

WTA – Wuha, China (Hard)
11:00PM: Alexandra Dulgheru vs. Ana Ivanovic
11:00 PM: Danka Kvinic vs. Roberta Vinci
12:00 AM: Madison Brengle vs. Dominika Cibulkova
12:30 AM: Allison Riske vs. Sloane Stephens
1:00 AM: Jelena Jankovic vs. Heather Watson
1:30 AM: Mariana Duque-Marino vs. Anna Schmiedlova
1:30 AM: Patricia Maria Tig vs. Kristina Mladenovic
2:00 AM: Mirjana Lucic-Baroni vs. Karolina Pliskova
2:30 AM: Sara Errani vs. Caroline Garcia
3:00 AM: Madison Keys vs. Magdalena Rybarikova
3:00 AM: Tsvetana Pironkova vs. Camila Giorgi
3:30 AM: Eugenie Bouchard vs. Belinda Bencic
4:30 AM: Zarina Diyas vs. Irina-Camelia Begu
6:30 AM: Barbora Strycova vs. Maria Sharapova
8:00 AM: Agnieszka Radwanska vs. Venus Williams
 
GLB Plays 9/28

ATP Plays:
AustinKrajicek -118

WTA Plays:
Dulgheru/IvanovicUnder 18 Games (-118)
Dominika Cibulkova -240
Mrijana Lucic-Baroni +1.5 Sets (-160)
Mirjana Lucic-Baroni +170
Sara Errani -120
Keys/Rybarikova Under 20 Games (-116)
Diyas/Begu Over 20.5 Games (-118)
Nao Hibino -225
Alexandra Panova +107
 
glad to see I am taking my notes right. in agreement with a lot and tailing you on 2 of the totals. ivanovic, begu

ATP
Krakicek -118 1u
Chardy -150 .5u

WTA
Cibulkova -235 1.5u
Ivanovic -783 3u
Ivanovic U 18 games -110 1u
Jankovic -235 1u
Errani -120 1u
Lucic-Baroni +1.5 -180 1.5u
Lucic-Baroni +170 1u
Panova +1.5 -230 2u
Panova +110 1u
Begu -205 1u
Begu/Diyas O20.5 1u
Bencic -325 1u
Keys -305 2u
Keys/Rybarikova u20
Hibino -215 .5u
 
ksimpsc said:
ATP
Krakicek -118 1u
Chardy -150 .5u

WTA
Cibulkova -235 1.5u
Ivanovic -783 3u
Ivanovic U 18 games -110 1u
Jankovic -235 1u
Errani -120 1u
Lucic-Baroni +1.5 -180 1.5u
Lucic-Baroni +170 1u
Panova +1.5 -230 2u
Panova +110 1u
Begu -205 1u
Begu/Diyas O20.5 1u
Bencic -325 1u
Keys -305 2u
Keys/Rybarikova u20
Hibino -215 .5u
Click to expand...
I'll add Kyrgios -285 1u
Bolelli -195 .5u

coming back for some of my bolelli money from last week but may just be paying the admission here, we will see
 
forgot I played vinci too saw she just won lol didnt realize she already played just saw the cash come in. We can leave off record if we want or whatever was only 1u

[TABLE="class: title, width: 326"]
<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; border: none;">[TR]
[TD][Ticket #: 226974527] STRAIGHT BET[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
[TABLE="width: 326"]
<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; border: none;">[TR]
[TD="class: dateCell, align: center"]09/27/2015 @ 11:10 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: idCell, align: center"]MU[/TD]
[TD="class: pickCell"][8624] R VINCI -360
(D KOVINIC vrs R VINCI) [/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
10-6-2 -1u sadly with none of the doggies even showing a pulse other than Lucic.

Benecic Kyrgios as not bets. Keys taking it to 3 and Errani losing it for me two weeks in a row is what caused -1 not +1. Can't really say much about Cibulkova, she got worked.

Bolelli -195 .5u
Chardy -150 .5u

still rolling will take a look at everything else later
 
Daily Schedule 9/28/2015

ATP – Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia (IndoorHard)
1:00AM: Radu Albot vs. Viktor Troicki
1:00 AM: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Alexsandr Nedovyesov
2:30 AM: Ramkumar Ramanathan vs. Mikhail Kukushkin
2:30 AM: Alexander Zverev vs. Jeremy Chardy
4:00 AM: Tatsuma Ito vs. Jarkko Nieminen
5:30 AM: Radek Stepanek vs. Yuichi Sugita
6:15 AM: Vasek Pospisil vs. Yasutaka Uchiyama
7:15 AM: Nicolas Almagro vs. Marcos Baghdatis

ATP – Shenzhen, China (Hard)
2:00AM: Yan Bai vs. Taukto Niki
2:00 AM: Dennis Istomin vs. Lukas Rosol
2:00 AM: Adrian Mannarino vs. Lucas Pouille
2:00 AM: Di Wu vs. Hyeon Chung
3:30 AM: Ricardas Berankis vs. Kiroki Moriya
3:30 AM: Matthew Ebden vs. Victor Estrella Burgos
3:30 AM: Zhizhen Zhang vs. Go Soeda
3:30 AM: Ze Zhang vs. Jiri Vesely
5:00 AM: Andreas Haider-Maurer vs. Simone Bolelli
6:00 AM: Aljaz Bedene vs. Mikhail Youzhny

WTA – Tashkent, Uzbekistan (Hard)
1:00AM: Bojana Jovanovski vs. Jelena Ostapenko
1:00 AM: Andreea Mity vs. Yaroslava Shvedova
1:00 AM: Evgeniya Rodina vs. Urszula Radwanska
2:30 AM: Paula Kania vs. Katerina Siniakova
2:30 AM: Klara Koukalova vs. Kateryna Kokzlova
2:30 AM: Petra Martic vs. Nigina Abduraimova
3:30 AM: Anett Kontaveit vs. Aleksandra Krunic
4:00 AM: Kiki Bertens vs. Donna Vekic
4:00 AM: Sabina Sharipova vs. Jana Cepelova
4:00 AM: Stefanie Voegele vs. Johanna Larsson
6:00 AM: Annika Beck vs. Elizaveta Kulichkva
6:00 AM: Polona Hercog vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich

WTA – Wuha, China (Hard)
11:00PM: Madison Brengle vs. Ana Ivanovic
11:00 PM: Angelique Kerber vs. Jelena Jankovic
11:00 PM: Madison Keys vs. Kristina Mladenovic
11:00 PM: Elina Svitolina vs. Varvara Lepchenko
12:30 AM: Caroline Garcia vs. Coco Vandeweghe
12:30 AM: Camila Giorgi vs. Belinda Bencic
12:30 AM: Monica Niclescu vs. Carla Suarez Navarro
1:00 AM: Anna Schmiedlova vs. Caroline Wozniacki
2:00 AM: Victoria Azarenka vs. Johanna Konta
2:00 AM: Irina Begu vs. Roberta Vinci
2:30 AM: Venus Williams vs. Julia Goerges
3:30 AM: Garbine Muguruza vs. Sloane Stephens
7:30 AM: Petra Kvitova vs. Daria Gavrilova
9:00 AM: Simona Halep vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
 
Took some double jenk:

Babos/Mladenovic -420 2.5u (was 360 earlier and I got caught sleeping)
Begu/Niculescu -135 1u
Groth/Kukushkin -140 1u
Benecic/Strycova -290 2u
Hantuchova/Vinci -115 1u
 
GLB Plays 9/29

ATP Plays:
NikolozBasilashvili -150
Yasutaka Uchiyama +5 Games Won (-105)
Yan Bai -220
Mannarino/Pouille Over 22 Games (-116)
Matthew Ebden -130

WTA Plays:
UrzulaRadwanska -150
Anett Kontaveit -4.5 Games (-110)
Annika Beck -165
Madison Keys -175
Garcia/Vandeweghe Over 22 Games (-125)
Belinda Bencic -210
Azarenka/Konta Over 19.5 Games (-124)
Irina-Camelia Begu +110

 
Halep isn't 100% right, and the Pavlyuchenkova destroyed Kuznetsova in an outstanding 6-0 6-1 effort the previous round (I watched a lot of the 2nd set, it was more about her dominating play than Kuznetsova just dishing up garbage). Allertova beating Halep (without dropping a set no less) shows the Romanian isn't fully there on any given day at present (been bothered by a leg/hip issue on & off most of the year apparently), at current odds Pavy is certainly worth a shot.


Kerber's odds vs, Jankovic signal that the Serb's injury (upper left thigh, her pivot leg for serving) vs. Watson is not insignificant. She picked it up in the 2nd set (3 games in) and while Watson was able to make her pay to claim that set, the Brit lost her shit and choked 5 games away before playing like she should've done from game 1 but left her run too late (won 3 straight from 5-0 down before losing 6-3). Serb was visibly affected, and gave up on chasing down a number of potential returns. Kerber off a disappointing effort vs. Wozniacki in the QF in Tokyo, came out listless, didn't look right but even then she was still capable of winning a set and only lost the 3rd late. If the German is anything like her normal self, I fail to see how Jankovic overcomes her injury. Kerber has won 3 of 4 meetings, so the Serb wouldn't be the Fav even if she wasn't injured. Also the Serb is just off winning a final at Guangzhou, so she shouldn't feel the need to put a big showing here.

Svitolina's game is a superior version of what Lepchenko brings to the court. See no reason why the Ukrainian doesn't win in 2 sets here everything being even. They've met once on HC (in '14), Svit won 3 & 3, but the Ukrainian has improved leaps & bounds since then.

Kerber/Svitolina ml parlay
Pavlyuchenkova ml
Halep/Pavy o19.5
 
for the early card of WTA, will look at the rest and the mens if there is anything else I like. Like what you got to say there about Svitolina. and will join you on the parlay and prob add one as well. Add an Azerenka to a Parlay rather than bet any units on her -400.

I am going to roll with my girl Vinci one more time here. Been riding her at all the right times. They have traded matches in the past but it has been a while since they have played.

Vinci-120 1u
Svitolina -275 2u
Ivanovic -275 2u
Keys -175 1.5u
Kerber -260 2u
Benecic -205 2u

parlay Svitolina, Kerber 2u for 1.7
parlay Svitolina, Kerber, Azarenka 2u for 2.644
 
Going to join you on the Pavy for half a unit. I am also going back to my girl Sasnovich for a play here.

radwanska -150 1u
Beck -174 1.5u
Kontaveit -285 2u
Sasnovich +1.5 1u
Sasnovich +125 1u
Pavlyuchenkova +1.5 .5u
Pavlyuchenkova +350 .5u
parlay beck, kontaveit, kvitova .5u for .749u

For Atp I have Bolelli and Chardy going

Troicki -355 2u
 
yea great call on both of them. Garcia is the one that beat Errani in her last match.

You are not kidding about Suarez 4-0 against Niculescu
 
little parlay before bedtime despite me learning this lesson, gnite

azarenka, Cepelova, Kontaveit, Kvitova 1.5u to win 2.278u
 
yea I did on those 2, got a couple things still running right now but about an even day so far again
 
lol mladenovic just spent her night fucking me, won against keys and then lost her doubles match
 
15-11-1 wash of a day. F me man second day in a row positive record but flat or a loss. Kontaveit alone could have made that a +3u day with the only one of two parlays that missed sadly. Sasnovich and Schmiedlova dogs helped me out big there.

Total record 26-17-4 -1u have lost some of my multi unit on favorites and dropped at least 3 parlays now with a large favorite that loses SU. We will keep it rolling
 
got some good matches coming up today. Schmiedlova against Mladenovic with schmied as a dog. Giving her a consideration as she has been playing very well lately, so has Mlad but with her also playing a doubles match and the long match with Keys giving it some thought
 
Svitolina PLiskova match looks pretty interesting, PLiskova had her number in the past but Svitolina has been playing very well, slight fav
 
was looking at the strycova match, probably lay off completely or play vandeweghe with the sets
 
do they refund all retirements or is there a certain point where it is counted as a loss? I feel like i had one I was winning that was a few sets in on mens side that was a no bet during US Open.
 
Certain books have different rules. 5dimes is 1 set must be complete with 1 serve in Set 2.

Most books have it where all play must be completed
 
shvedova -180 1u
venus -365 2u
svitolina 160 1u
ivanovic +1.5 2.5u
ivanovic +125 1u
schmieldova +1.5 2.5u
schmieldova +125 1u
strycova -145 1u
beck -385 2.5u
sasnovich -240 2.5u
halep -465 2.5u
kerber -400 2.5u

parlay beck, sasno, halep, kerber 1.5u
 
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