Tail or Fade: NFL Week 14

rambler882

rambler882

2024 CTG Supporting Donation Member
Record - feels worse than it is

Raiders / Titans, 2u -102
Davante Adams o88.5, 1u -110
 
Ravens +1.5, 4u -106
Lions ML, 4u -126
Lions / Cowboys, 2u -112
Panthers +4.5, 4u -120
Cardinals +2, 2u -115
Jaguars +3.5, 2u -114
Browns-Bengals o46, 1u -115
Eagles / Niners, 2u +102
Eagles -1 / Ravens +7.5, 1u -120
Lions +4 / Ravens +7.5, 1u -120
Browns +11.5 / Chargers +9, 1u -120
Browns +11.5 / Jaguars +9.5, 1u -120

D'Onta Foreman o62.5, 2u -114
D'Andre Swift o63.5 (rush + rec), 1u -114

Panthers +7.5 / Foreman o62.5 / Lions / Ravens +3.5 / Eagles / Niners, 1u +1211
Panthers +7.5 / Foreman o62.5 / Henry TD / Lions / Cook o11.5 / Ravens +3.5 / Eagles, .5u +2231
Henry TD / Jaguars +7.5 / Lions / Bills -5.5 / Ravens +3.5 / Eagles / Browns +7.5 / Panthers +7.5 / Niners / Cardinals +3.5, .5u +8274
 
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Quick hits.

Lions. Not a secret Vikings are massively overrated and have a slew of lucky victories. The Lions defense has improved quite a bit with players coming back from injury the last month. Vikings have won 4 games either because of awful play calls (Jets last week) or awful turnovers (Commanders). Goff, generally, does not make big mistakes and the Lions offense is a well oiled machine.

Ravens. Huntley is one of the better back QBs in the league and while the Steelers have been trending up, it has not been versus the best teams. This should be low scoring so teasing the Ravens to +7.5 was an easy decision, but I also could see them winning this by double digits. Harris wont have the same success, Pickett will get picked, and the Ravens offense should have some success as long as they don't do dumb WR passes.

Panthers. This is one that I really liked but kept trying to talk myself out of it. End of the day, the Panthers defense is not as bad as people think and is rated in the top 10-15 in most categories and advanced stats. With Walker III and Metcalf both banged up (I assume each plays) I do think the Seahawks won't have as much success today on offense. Defensive side, maybe it is a man crush but I do love Foreman today. 2u prop is rare for me and Seattle has not stopped anyone on the ground. Gimme the points. Tease is good too

Jaguars. I loved Titans to start the week but after deeper research, the Jaguars have success stopping the run but what does that really matter if Henry decides to go off. The bigger thing for me is the Titans defensive injuries. Down CBs and LBs which is their strength, the Jaguars should have success with Lawrence-Etienne-Kirk.

I also like the Browns a bit and is one of those bet it and forget it type of games. I'm waiting for +6. Watson could be as bad as he was last week but divisional game, Chubb, Bengals riding high, just is a 'feel' game.

Eagles. Giants overrated as fuck, I hate laying 7 though so see them as a great teaser or ML parlay leg.
 
Browns +4.5, 2u -110
Nick Chubb TD, 1u +105
Broncos +8.5, 1u -110
James Cook o13.5 (rec), 1u -115

Ravens +8.5 / Browns +10.5 / Lions +4.5 / Panthers +10 / Eagles -.5 / Dolphins +3.5 / Cardinals +8 / Chiefs -2 / Buccaneers +10 / Jaguars +9.5, 1u +2000
 
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Jerry Jeudy o50.5, 2u -115
Miles Sanders TD, 1u +115
Mark Andrews TD, 1u +250

Andrews o4.5 / Swift o63.5 (rush + rec) / Sanders TD / Chubb TD / Henry TD / Foreman o62.5 / Hill o79.5, .5u +5628
 
Welp. I only thought Id use cowboys ML like that for 2nd time all year to save a lil money on juice. Never again. Fucking trash
 
Same story As last few weeks. Do well with sides, lose too much on props and too many teasers and parlays. They fun tho
 
Foreman not getting the ball is fucking priceless. 2u prop in shitter and last leg of parlay. So tired of this bs. Giving ball to 3rd stringer over him
 
+25.92u on week

Dolphins / Tua o249.5 / Hill o79.5 / Herbert o249.5 / Allen o49.5, 1u +366
Hill o79.5 / Allen o49.5, 1u +112
 
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