Survivor '24

[gps_3]

Seems like this has been helpful the last few seasons. Looking like one of the toughest week 1's in recent memory. Who do y'all like? The three highest by spread are:

Bengals -8.5
Bills -6
Seahawks -6

Everybody else is 4 or less. Cincy may be without Chase in week 1. Don't know too many other possible injury situations off the top of my head.

Any teams that will be auto-fade material? Carolina, Washington and Patriots appear to be pretty bad.

Looking forward to everyone's thoughts

 

[B.A.R.]

Thanks for getting this started.

Tonight I hit the war room to decide my strategy for my 26 entries at BOL plus other single entry contests.

 

[horses]

Not sure I want to touch the Bengals in week 1 w/the Chase situation, despite NE being likely the worst team in the league

Arizona defense should be bad but they can certainly chase a deficit; Bills could still be a top team and may be worth saving (for when they play NE)

Seattle may fit the bill playing a rookie QB in a tough venue; Denver is a young team that looks worse on paper this year with all their losses

Nothing definite for me yet but i would have to agree these are the 3 likely candidates

BOL

 

[Coverdatspred]

Super tough week. Cincy looks to me to be the only somewhat sure thing. So many of these first week games look like they can go either way to me.

 

[B.A.R.]

Super tough week. Cincy looks to me to be the only somewhat sure thing. So many of these first week games look like they can go either way to me.

I took Cincy in 13 of my 26 selections for the big one.

Spread out the other 13 between 4 teams.

 

[twinkie13]

I’d be careful going against Denver early. Just a hunch.

 

[gps_3]

I’d be careful going against Denver early. Just a hunch.

My first inclination was to take Seattle. I'll probably change it a dozen times before Sunday

 

[Coverdatspred]

I’d be careful going against Denver early. Just a hunch.

I think Im with you here. It appears to me that Sean Payton has something cooking over there. I will wait and watch.

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1832589418013847644

 

[gps_3]

I ended up switching from Cincy to Seattle this morning. 30% of our pool out already

 

[gps_3]

Who we liking this weekend? Seems like there's some decent choices based on lines

 

[CPA-hole]

Baltimore, Philly? can't use the Ravens. I've been burned more by them than any other team. Especially early in the season.

I can't see the Falcons winning in Philly. Cousins looks washed.

The Chargers will be popular. But I stay away from road teams in survivor.

There's 6 spreads 6 or higher this week as opposed to what 1 last week?

No real interest in using Detroit. Houston maybe? Chicago was gift wrapped a game last week. That feels like a blowout.

 

[gps_3]

I definitely avoid road teams until I can't anymore. Am I crazy for wanting to use the Cowboys? They looked pretty good last week, but maybe it's just because the Browns offense is that bad?

 

[CPA-hole]

I definitely avoid road teams until I can't anymore. Am I crazy for wanting to use the Cowboys? They looked pretty good last week, but maybe it's just because the Browns offense is that bad?

Not sure what to make of the Saints. Certainly Derek Carr won't play like that again vs a competent defense.

 

[Coverdatspred]

Lots of us, myself included, were pretty high on the Saints last season. Maybe we were one year off? They looked really strong last week albeit vs the Panthers. But still….. might be worth keeping an eye on.

 

[Coverdatspred]

I get the road game idea but this might be the best chance to use the Chargers all season. Take a look at the schedule. Really the you gotta go out to week 10 for the next good chance. Their home schedule is rough.

 

[twinkie13]

Lots of us, myself included, were pretty high on the Saints last season. Maybe we were one year off? They looked really strong last week albeit vs the Panthers. But still….. might be worth keeping an eye on.

Gotta see it one more time. I’m confident the defense is real

 

[Coverdatspred]

Brutal week for survivor pools.

If you are still alive there looks to be some good ones this week.

Raiders?
Bucs?

Both large favorites, both home non divisional games and both probably the best time to use them all season.

 

[CPA-hole]

A lot of high number spreads again like last week. But that obviously didn't work out for everybody.

I think TB is the best play on the board but unfortunately I used them week one.

I usually don't like using division games. The Jets and 49ers look good but I think I'll pass on them.

Cincy? They burned alot of people week 1.

 

[gps_3]

Glad I switched off Cowboys for the Texans last week. Any thoughts on the Browns? I know their offense has looked sketchy, but the defense is still good and the Giants suck. I was going to use Oak, but I had this nightmare that Andy Dalton turns the Panthers into a functional offense, so I'm going to pass on auto-fading Carolina. I think I like TB as well

 

[B.A.R.]

So many survivor pools have lost 66% or more.

A few opening new ones lol.

Funny start.

 

[Loves2kickass]

So many survivor pools have lost 66% or more.

A few opening new ones lol.

Funny start.

Circa giving out free night weekday stays to the eliminated folks

 

[Coverdatspred]

I think Im going with the Bucs this week. I think the Raiders smash the Panthers but I just cant do it. This screams letdown game to me. The Broncos just do not seem to have the weapons on offense to compete and the offensive line is putrid.

 

[CPA-hole]

Dalton started one game last year:

34-58 366 2tds 0int.

Yes they still lost by 10, but there's enough to just not quite trust the Raiders in survivor in this matchup.

 

[B.A.R.]

Dalton started one game last year:

34-58 366 2tds 0int.

Yes they still lost by 10, but there's enough to just not quite trust the Raiders in survivor in this matchup.

Agreed

 

[C-MAN]

Rolling with Clev today. Watson is always capable of blowing it, but don’t see NYG scoring much here.

 

[BiffTFinancial]

Went with Bucs, 58 of 69 teams in my pool lost in W1-W2, realize Bucs aren't 100% physically and have been fortunate, but gotta figure Nix can't advantage of the secondary issues.

 

[gps_3]

I took Bucs too, looks like we're out. Third straight week to start the season that the most picked team lost in my pool