Another up and down nite...
Detriot @ Charlotte
Right now I see value in the home dog and the under. What propels DET's offense is there attempts from the FT line and 3 pt shooting. Well Charlotte tends to keep teams in check from deep but the Pistons should see 30Ft attempts here which could be an easy 22-25 points. I have this line @ -2.5 by my numbers which are more reverse anaylsis.
Trends starting to develop for teams and we see Det 5-1 ATS while Char is 1-7 ATS on 1 days rest. With these teams combining for 191 points when they play in these situations(9-5 Under combined)
After 5 Unders the Bobcays have played 5 overs. There defense allowed 50+% FG to Wiz and last time that happened was actuallyhome to Miami and they rebounded with a tight 41% next game. After the Wiz game and last home game versus Miami I would expect a better effort on defense especially in the early going...which makes Char 1st Quarter and 1st Half Under interesting when it comes out...
Both teams shot well against eachother in the recent meeting and since he total was just 185 you might say they shot over there heads...The Under is 6-2 away for Det and Char has topped 100 jsut once at home. In Wash the Bobcats were also sloppy with the ball so look for interest in keeping turnovers down..
So looking to see how this moves but +4 or better seems to present some value in a so called payback spot when Char played well in DET. Pistons have been favored 3 times away and no team has given Char more then 4. What scares me about a total play is recent FG percentage allowed by both is above 50% past 5.......
Atl @ Portland
Well add Josh Smith to the walking wounded in Atl. Portland as a favorite is scary right now cause they are playing zero defense really. Still though an Under looks attractive IMO...Both teams are one man shows on offense. ATL plays well 4-1 ATS on 1 days rest while Port is just 3-7 ATS .The dog is 8-3 an road team 5-0 ATS. Blazers have won 9 straight in the series though and something like 7 straight at home. Early on Blazer totals were around 185 making overs look attractive now in the 190 range its the opposite IMO....Hawks shot and allow 43 % but with Port recently not playing DEF they are above 50%FG allowed...This is the 1st of a West Coast swing for Atl while this is the last home game for Port before an East coast trip. Blazers have dropped 9 of 11 and o for 9 against teams not from NJ...plus own 1 and 2 pt wins at home...
thinking Hawks and Under....
Orlando @ LAC
right now Clippers stink but at least home. While magic have won 9 of 10 games but off a lucky win @ Portalnd. LAC is just 1-2 ATS in B to B's . Till wee see improvement for LAC why wouldnt you gamble with Orlando as a Dog.. The under looks attractive when you see Magic 1902 under on1 day off.
So again dog and under......
Detriot @ Charlotte
Right now I see value in the home dog and the under. What propels DET's offense is there attempts from the FT line and 3 pt shooting. Well Charlotte tends to keep teams in check from deep but the Pistons should see 30Ft attempts here which could be an easy 22-25 points. I have this line @ -2.5 by my numbers which are more reverse anaylsis.
Trends starting to develop for teams and we see Det 5-1 ATS while Char is 1-7 ATS on 1 days rest. With these teams combining for 191 points when they play in these situations(9-5 Under combined)
After 5 Unders the Bobcays have played 5 overs. There defense allowed 50+% FG to Wiz and last time that happened was actuallyhome to Miami and they rebounded with a tight 41% next game. After the Wiz game and last home game versus Miami I would expect a better effort on defense especially in the early going...which makes Char 1st Quarter and 1st Half Under interesting when it comes out...
Both teams shot well against eachother in the recent meeting and since he total was just 185 you might say they shot over there heads...The Under is 6-2 away for Det and Char has topped 100 jsut once at home. In Wash the Bobcats were also sloppy with the ball so look for interest in keeping turnovers down..
So looking to see how this moves but +4 or better seems to present some value in a so called payback spot when Char played well in DET. Pistons have been favored 3 times away and no team has given Char more then 4. What scares me about a total play is recent FG percentage allowed by both is above 50% past 5.......
Atl @ Portland
Well add Josh Smith to the walking wounded in Atl. Portland as a favorite is scary right now cause they are playing zero defense really. Still though an Under looks attractive IMO...Both teams are one man shows on offense. ATL plays well 4-1 ATS on 1 days rest while Port is just 3-7 ATS .The dog is 8-3 an road team 5-0 ATS. Blazers have won 9 straight in the series though and something like 7 straight at home. Early on Blazer totals were around 185 making overs look attractive now in the 190 range its the opposite IMO....Hawks shot and allow 43 % but with Port recently not playing DEF they are above 50%FG allowed...This is the 1st of a West Coast swing for Atl while this is the last home game for Port before an East coast trip. Blazers have dropped 9 of 11 and o for 9 against teams not from NJ...plus own 1 and 2 pt wins at home...
thinking Hawks and Under....
Orlando @ LAC
right now Clippers stink but at least home. While magic have won 9 of 10 games but off a lucky win @ Portalnd. LAC is just 1-2 ATS in B to B's . Till wee see improvement for LAC why wouldnt you gamble with Orlando as a Dog.. The under looks attractive when you see Magic 1902 under on1 day off.
So again dog and under......
