here is mi pick...
Game: Florida Marlins at Washington Nationals.
Line: Florida -148
Hot team coming of a huge comeback win and no love from the oddmakers? I dont get it... Lets see... Volstad is a solid starter and he has been hot, in his last 2 outings he has 12 ip 5 hits and 2 er and 1 of those games was against the nats with 5 ip 2 hits and 1 er and looking at the 2008 numbers volstad is better away from home... Volstad allowed .253 at home compared to .222 away why is he not to continue his good outings against this national team pitching at the nats home? I think he is going to show up tonight big again... According to his scouting report he is a very young talented pitcher but a flaw is his stamina, with that being said lets see the fish bullpen... Plain and simple the best in the league away from home, in 20.2 ip they have allowed only 10 hits and 5 BB 0 and 0 runs they are hot, I am looking to see kiko calero, leo nunez, dan meyer and matt lindstrom, those are the guys who pitch when the team is winning and any of them has bad numbers against this nats lineup... Still if they were loosing the game the guys would be Kensig, Pinto and Penn and they dont have bad numbers either... On the other hand we have Daniel Cabrera who comes with 11ip 13 hits and 6 er he has 1 start at home in which he allowd just 1 run but it wasnt a good start he allowed 6 hits 2 bb in 5 innings the point is that he was a different thing away from home and at home in baltimore ...he allowed an opp ave of .251 away from home but at home he allowed .279 in basically the same at bats... Why is this gonna change here in washington? I dont see it happening, he is kind of a mental case if you ask me... Now the nuts bullpen sucks, they are terrible they have an era of 7.53 at home and the guys I think I am gonna see tonight if Florida is winning the game are: rivera and shell, we might see ledezma again, rivera hasnt played since the 13th and shell since the 12th and both have bad numbers against this fish lineup, specially rivera, now if the nats are winning we would see Beimel, hinckey, hanagan and tavarez, the only one I would trust there would be hinckey so I hope we dont see him today... In the batting part, simple Florida is hot, last games they have connected 9,10 and 11 hits and the nats have been pretty hot lately too 13,12 and 7 hits but I would go with the hot pitcher and batting team against a terrible bullpen and not ride a team because "they are due for a win" . Cantu is out buts that actually could be better, he doesnt like nasty sliders and he is 12-1 lifetime against cabrera so its ok he is out...All right GL !!!
Play: Florida Marlins -1 at -117.5 for 1.1 units.