Sunday Discussion Thread
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2daBank
Voice of Reason
dNot gonna lie, it worked out very well for me I had a hectic day and only played football! Smashed the preseason once again but I’m ok admitting had I played mlb card Saturday it would not have went well. Guess there something to be said for knowing when ya not feeling it cause I had plenty of time to bet the night r see, even went scrids river to hit Seahawks 1st qrtr and 1st have, as much I wanted to grab some the night action I jus didn’t feel strong bout any of it and boy was I right! Anyways sometimes the toughest thing to do is lay off but sometimes it also the best. Now that out the way let’s see if I can actually cap this card like a mfer trying to make money!
Right out the Jump I’m loving this pitching matchup in atl! Dont think he a secret anymore but ya’ll know I been all bout this Herz kid from day 1! They offering some very nice plus money for him to go over 5.5 k’s. I dunno if I rather have that or see him bet down to 4.5 around -140/-150 to over? I’m not gonna rush to bet him im very willing play it either way, I think he fans 6+ no problem even against this version of Braves who have a little less swing and miss. On the other side what Lopez did to Philly his 1st game back was insane, he clearly has no rust or lingering problems. Im more inclined to look at nats Ff tt under than his k’s cause nats just don’t have much swing and miss in this lineup, maybe it doesn’t matter he could still fan 6 but the under interest me more. As does the Ff total u4.5 for both teams. That’s where I’ll be focused when I get up in morning.
Right out the Jump I’m loving this pitching matchup in atl! Dont think he a secret anymore but ya’ll know I been all bout this Herz kid from day 1! They offering some very nice plus money for him to go over 5.5 k’s. I dunno if I rather have that or see him bet down to 4.5 around -140/-150 to over? I’m not gonna rush to bet him im very willing play it either way, I think he fans 6+ no problem even against this version of Braves who have a little less swing and miss. On the other side what Lopez did to Philly his 1st game back was insane, he clearly has no rust or lingering problems. Im more inclined to look at nats Ff tt under than his k’s cause nats just don’t have much swing and miss in this lineup, maybe it doesn’t matter he could still fan 6 but the under interest me more. As does the Ff total u4.5 for both teams. That’s where I’ll be focused when I get up in morning.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Wow, snakes are plus money again! It them or nothing but I’ll have work to do in morning. Is Kelly ready to pitch at top his game or still a few starts away? Tough park and team if he don’t have his best. That said there no way I’d lay juice here. Im either on the better team who on fire or passing
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Hell of a pitching matchup in Seattle, Robbie Ray vs former team I believe is gonna do what they lined snell to do before walking half dozen. Ray won’t have that issue. Soo should have no problem going 6+ vs giants but I don’t really want to pay -194 for ov 17.5 outs. We see, maybe it worth it, maybe it come down or maybe it go up to 18.5 at plus money and could be a play, we see but the Ff def some plays with these pitchers!
FadeTheHype
Pretty much a regular
We agree. Did my initial bloodhound work. Snakes won 5 in a row, Red Sox have lost Houck's 6 last games. Sox were once 14 or 15 and 1 on Sunday's have lost 4 of last 5. Snakes on an absolute heater last couple weeks. Trust me, Dodgers are looking over their shoulder. Snakes the right play and even before I got in this thread did my early picks/leans and Dbacks were at top of the list.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Just beware we tend to play subpar after clinching a series
If it's up to me we try to destroy them and sweep but the last game after winning two has been less than pretty
FadeTheHype
Pretty much a regular
Other early leans/more than likely plays and reasons. Dbacks at plus money mentioned above. Only a couple more but here's what I think. I'm only going to give out plus money plays or near pick 'em's.
Give me Phillies at plus money too. You kidding me? Lugo not a stranger to Phillies.
White Sox odds look low. Hold off on this until we know if Simonson for Tigers a lefty gets involved. Think White Sox win and avoid sweep but only if Simonson is still part of the equation.
Angels/Blue Jays game caught my eye. Angels trying to avoid sweep after almost getting no hit. These two teams met in a series a couple weeks ago. Anderson got torched by Blue Jays and Gausman shut LAA down in separate games. I noticed this line changed last couple hours or so in favor of Angels. Anderson a much better pitcher on road and Gausman a slightly worse pitcher at home. Being it Sunday and neither team has anything to play for, does Guerrero, Springer, or Kirk sit out for whatever reasons? I initially liked the over, but the odds moving toward LAA makes me wonder if this is your typical "Vegas" game and LAA wins to avoid a sweep as neither team here cares as the standings don't matter. No play until lineups are final but Angels and possibly over on my radar.
Two totals in mind....Braves/Nats under 8.5 and Reds/Pirates over 8.5. Good luck all!
Give me Phillies at plus money too. You kidding me? Lugo not a stranger to Phillies.
White Sox odds look low. Hold off on this until we know if Simonson for Tigers a lefty gets involved. Think White Sox win and avoid sweep but only if Simonson is still part of the equation.
Angels/Blue Jays game caught my eye. Angels trying to avoid sweep after almost getting no hit. These two teams met in a series a couple weeks ago. Anderson got torched by Blue Jays and Gausman shut LAA down in separate games. I noticed this line changed last couple hours or so in favor of Angels. Anderson a much better pitcher on road and Gausman a slightly worse pitcher at home. Being it Sunday and neither team has anything to play for, does Guerrero, Springer, or Kirk sit out for whatever reasons? I initially liked the over, but the odds moving toward LAA makes me wonder if this is your typical "Vegas" game and LAA wins to avoid a sweep as neither team here cares as the standings don't matter. No play until lineups are final but Angels and possibly over on my radar.
Two totals in mind....Braves/Nats under 8.5 and Reds/Pirates over 8.5. Good luck all!
FadeTheHype
Pretty much a regular
You might be right but Boston not the same last few weeks. Momentum can help or hurt a team. Snakes have day off Monday so should be no rest for anybody. Red Sox in desperate mode right now but no day off Monday. Think Red Sox know they are done playoff-wise. Their Sunday magic is over but had a good run.
Gonna call it a night. My eyes are tired and got a round of golf in about 5 hours so doubt I'll be back on here to finalize anything but my thoughts are here to get us some winners. Good luck and remember to check lineups!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Interesting, I’ve said that bout cardinals for years, doesn’t really apply anymore cause they not winning the 1st 2 of any series these days, lol, but I thought that was a them thing more than a league wide ordeal? Used to be TLR montra to just win series so I used to fade the shit out of them when going for sweep. Now days it would just be cause i don’t believe they should beat anyone 3 straight. Feel like it just comes down to kelly, figure this his 3rd start back he should be bout ready to look like his old self. They have swept Mia, col, and cle this month. Obviously 2 of those pretty easy and Miami came on heels of being swept in Tampa.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Like the atl/nats under but prob just Ff cause I don’t play many full game unders, I hate bullpens, plus the extra inning rules really did a number on full game unders! Gl
2daBank
Voice of Reason
saw something the other day that would make me lean Philly with you. While I like royals they are a tad fugazi, their record against tigers and white sox is 19-4 against rest the league they are playing exactly .500 ball.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Only thing I bet while I was at casino (besides preseason) was I did Herz ov 5.5 k’s parlayed with the Ff u4.5
2daBank
Voice of Reason
That not all im betting just been doing lot of preseason at casino w cash and grabbed that also still running across river by my house and doing a normal baseball card online once I have it figured out! I just saw Herz went from +120 to +110 so wanted to get on him., and I love that Ff u4.5
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I'm such a good fan I quit watching around the 6th inning on Wednesday against the Fish and didn't realize we came back to win that game lol.
I'm more about giving Kelly and ERod 4 starts to get it all stretched out rather than just 2 but certainly hope the first time through the order should be improved by this start. Crazy things going on with this rotation right now. Not remotely sure what Montgomery's role in the bullpen will be, he's never been a relief pitcher so kinda wonder if Kelly will be on a short leash.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Yea I’m passing, Houck has some off the chain numbers for this game. Kelly will have to be his best and we ain’t seen that yet. Honestly there not shit on this card! I like the over in kc (hot again there), I thought I was gonna love twins team Ff tt against Fedde, I almost like that Fedde has totally shit on them 2s already this year but once again Lewis needed a day off like he damn Kawaii, Buxton still on IL, i swear twins annoy me!!
these mfers making these props!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I can’t believe these asshiles have woo outs at 17.5 -300 to over. Can we just get a 18.5 please? I don’t hate his k’a but he such a high volume fastball thrower his k’s will never be super consistent, if I coulda got 5.5 then yea cause I think he punch one per inning but 6.5 im on fence but I do like him to pitch thru the 6th and into 7th. If I www confident he could go all 7 than I guess ov 6.5 k’s be ok but I much rather play over 18.5 outs at plus money. You see anyone with that? I’m short on time! Help! lol.
Far as Ray the 7.5 is tough for me to play here. If he wasn’t on 4 days rest I’d say fuck if he can def punch out 8! But this historically his worst rest which seems dumb to me since he just coming back, I also think Seattle gonna take more, on his worst rest if they can just go up there laying off pitches I’m afraid he not going real deep so 7.5 feels iffy.
Ya know who I love this afternoon.
Gavin stone ov 5.5 +130!!!
Think we getting him on the super cheap when he just starting to find himself as a guy who can mow lineups down, rays a good lineup for that. I think this a crazy price, maybe I’m wrong but think there huge upside here and a lovely price to try it!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I think A’s ml worth a shot, I’ll be disappointed in them all the teams they play tough and they gonna let shitbag brewers sweep them? Estes stuff should play here, gun to head I don’t mind his over 17.5 outs but I rather just take the plus money on A’s and if I’m right bout Estes and punk ass Montas beats me so be it!
2daBank
Voice of Reason
If I can’t get woo over 18.5 outs I guess giants Ff tt u1.5 where my next look is. Dont love the -130 and I know I’m crazy but I’m hesitant on the u3.5 for both cause I’m a smidge worried bout Ray here. I know Seattle never scores and this seems like should be a gravy train for him, he has even punked the added righties in Turner and Arozarena but I still don’t have a great feeling bout Ray here, just don’t like 4 days and last start was night and this day so this like as little rest he could possibly get, If Seattle smart they take a ton of pitches and force him to be in the zone! Sadly they never listen to me so I dunno if they will, they might chase slider till he close to Woods record but then why fire the manager? If this approach isn’t to take take and take some more and sit dead red then they stupid. It might not work but just the rest situation and where he at I think he would walk some guys, thar my concern with the u3.5 but again that is asking Seattle to hit in a manner I would while crushing on mlb the show! I dunno if they listen. Lol. Either way I feel stronger woo has a 6+ inning 1 run outing but on fence bout his k’s.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Just looked at 8 different books and nothing other than 17.5 outs in the -240 range
I do not like Gavin Stone so I can't bet on him regardless who he's pitching against. As in I expect him to get shelled more often than what he did last start.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Get it. I actually lean Rays for the game but by no means am playing them.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Can't do an ALT line? Guess I've never looked for it on outs so maybe those don't exist?
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
We are on day 91 of 100+ temps which has shattered records so I might say some shit that doesn't make sense but the foundation says BWoo goes 6
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Jfc that’s a lot of hot. Even without humidity!! It actually hasn’t been super terrible this summer, I mean have had little stretches but we have had lot of breaks also. I just realized it getting hot again when I got out of car earlier I was like “wtf it hot”, all high and shit almost forgot still summer. It prob be hot as balls all sept.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
Now that I’m back home and not trying to post and drive with one freaking good eye! @KJ why don’t you like stone? He fuck one your girlfriends or it something bout his game? I seriously havnt watched more than 2 min of him so I dunno, I was just going off numbers and numbers I like kinda said he was high potential to pitch way better than he did earlier in the year, he prob didn’t even think he be in bigs this year if every dodger pitcher didn’t get hurt so I’m not gonna hold a rough start against anyone if I see improvement.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Oh it's monsoon season and while it might not seem high, 40% humidity every day when it's 105 plus is fucking sweat when you get out the shower. Swimming pools feel like spas right now. It's been hot and humid for us. Going to the mailbox is a workout.
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I don't like LA in general
2daBank
Voice of Reason
. Yordan is still out the lineup? It was just a stiff neck, Mfer prob don’t even gotta pay for a message! Get your neck rubbed and her back in the lineup, just don’t make the same mistake a certain qb and think you getting more! Or pay for the happy ending, whatever it takes to get back on the field but 3 days off for a sore neck is starting to feel excessive!!
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I don't like anything about that city
Give me SD and SF all day long compared to that cesspool
2daBank
Voice of Reason
I have mixed thoughts on this o’s/stros series. Everyone knows I been a o’s fan since these kids took off but as I stated in last post money is the motive so stros are the team when playoff time comes! Anyways I expected stros to take this series but once Yordan called in sick hour before 1st pitch I got off them. I still wonder if this series is doing wonders for the young o’s confidence? I think they kinda needed this but I also believe without a doubt had Yordan been playing all series the outcomes been different, plus Tucker still out so this be significantly stronger stros lineup than o’s seeing this weekend but that doesn’t mean this isn’t given them a little more belief which I think they needed! I guess we worry bout that down the road come playoff time. For tonight give me
Kikuchi ov 5.5 k’s -160 . Kickuxju swinging strike rate alone warrants a higher number than this so I was willing to pay the juice. Throw in the fact I expect him to become a better pitcher in Houston with better coaching and leadership.
Kikuchi ov 5.5 k’s -160 . Kickuxju swinging strike rate alone warrants a higher number than this so I was willing to pay the juice. Throw in the fact I expect him to become a better pitcher in Houston with better coaching and leadership.
