Sunday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Aug 28 Sun 2022

12:40 PM
957Colorado RockiesG. Marquez -R+1½
+130
+287O 7½
+105
958New York MetsM. Scherzer -R-1½
-150
-325U 7½
-125
01:10 PM
959Chicago CubsA. Sampson -R+1½
-145
+142O 8½
-110
960Milwaukee BrewersE. Lauer -L-1½
+125
-154U 8½
-110
03:07 PM
971New York YankeesC. Schmidt -R-1½
-135
-220O 8½
-105
972Oakland AthleticsZ. Logue -L+1½
+115
+200U 8½
-115
 
Should be a hell of a pitching duel in Miami (again), on a staff loaded w talent Cabrera might be the best of the bunch, kid is pure filth, he hasn’t given up a run all month w 28k’s in 22.2 innings! Last I checked Urias is a lefty and a pretty damn good 1, fish can’t hit lhp to save their life. Pick your poison, we see where the k props are but both could easily hit any number, fish Ff tt un1.5, Ff un3.5, gm u7. I think they all pretty good options.
 
No secret how much I like that Lodolo kid pitching for the reds. -120 to get him vs that dumpster fire Corbin seems like a fantastic price to me, I’ll prob just play the Ff as it all about a starter I like vs one I think sucks! Why muddy it up w the pens and needing cincy to sweep?
 
We should maybe dub this young gun Sunday, pirates are also throwing a young kid with some filth! They really gonna give us +250 facing the guy who used to be Thor? This looks like one these games we can borrow the +2.5 run play from @Wiretowire if we so choose, we see where the price is on that, if it plus money I love it! I will be playing pirates Ff +.5 +150 for sure as this kid could go 5 scoreless and cash this without any runs from his crappy teammates! I will also be playing ov4.5 k’s even money!! I think he has shown nice growth this month facing some pretty good lineups.
 
i think jays win today and prob safe to lay the -1.5, wanted to play their Ff tt over but didht expect to see 3.5 as those usually only pop up at the most hitter friendly parks. It certainly warranted here with laa throwing a lhp who walks more than he strikes out (22 walks in 30 innings!). Feel pretty confident jays rough up davidson but really don’t know best way to attack it? I’ve never liked stripling but he better than I give him credit for and don’t think he has lot of trouble w laa lineup.
 
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Davies will never be confused w the yomg kids with all world stuff but that ok cause the white Sox offense has a hard time pretending to be a big league lineup! . Davies plenty crafty enough to keep these losers from scoring 3 runs thru 5!!
Cws Ff tt u2.5 seems like a good play to me!!
 
8 seems low for waino/ofderuzzi on Sunday night. I guess waino could show out but not sure he can shut down rhis atl team? Pretty confident cards gonna score off oferizzi. Both teams can def get to 4 here!!!!
 
As tempting they making it to play O’s for the sweep I think it time to get off that train (for today). As I have said bout Voth I’m not real sure how he doing it but he has managed to keep his team in games but for most part yoi can count on him giving up 2-3 runs to a lineup as good as Stros in maybe 5+ innings of work, don’t expect him to make it a full 6. Could balty score 2-3 off JV and turn this into a pen game? It possible but not sure real likely. I think the -250ish price tag is crazy tho which makes me at least think bout backing O’s but think I’ll just leave it alone.
 
Im good just playing the full game over 8 here in stl tonight but wouldn’t blame anyone for grabbing Braves Ff tt ov1.5 again, I’d say it pretty likely they get 2-3 off waino. Like I said I’m fairly confident both teams can score 4 today so nothing wrong w just taking the over 8, those 1.5 Ff totals on good lineups are always tempting tho!
 
So far this what I got (I’m just drinking my coffee and casino don’t open for 15 min yet so havnt played yet,, these all plays tho).

Fish Ff tt u1.5
Cws Ff tt u2.5
Pit Ff +.5 +150
Pit/phi Ff u5
Jays -1.5
Cards/atl ov 8
 
I like the pit kid Contreras ov 4.5 k’s but not sure I want to have 3 bets on that game and he screws around and gets blown up and cost me all 3! Love his stuff but he can have control issues. Guess I should decide between his k prop and pirates Ff, k prop even money, pirates +150 w the half run, maybe k prop better?
 
Forgot I like refs -.5 Ff ev money also. Shit, without any k props I have a really big card today!!
 
Just hit Ross Stripling o4.5.

I hate him so can’t do it but I don’t think you wrong. Im good w laying the -1.5 w jays and calling it a day. I do think he will be good which rare for me to say (Mfer prob get blown up since im actually backing him! ).
 
There is a ton of swing and miss in laa lineup so stripling should fan at least 5, don’t see why he shouldn’t go 6+ innings.
 
Just hit Ross Stripling o4.5.

He prob has as much value as anyone on the board. I like the pirates kid without any juice but there way more risk he doesn’t go as deep as stripling, of course I don’t think he needs more than 4 innings to fan 5.

Both the pitchers in Miami they came w pretty good numbers, Urias could dominate and still not hit 7, gun to head id say he does vs fish but I’m much happier w fish under. Then the Cabrera kid at 5.5 reasonable but lad lineup so good there risk he doesn’t go deep,

The other guys I like to have solid k numbers today they did a pretty good job with the l numbers. That been more the norm recently, I’m still not sure what happened those couple days in middle last week? Maybe they were focused on football and got lazy? Lol. Hopefully it happens again sometime!
 
That’s the only bet I really like this morning. Might do more later depending on how the day goes.

Far as k props go I agree with you (as I just posted above). I really like the fish Ff team total under 1.5 if you wanted another that my favorite.
 
I really don’t get the atl/stl total at 8 either? I guess there a chance waino dominates but I think it more likely he has to grind it out vs Braves, 6 innings 3 runs or something, oderizzi is dangerously close to a gas can, maybe not quite but I don’t see him doing well vs the good lineups and cards offense is pretty good, he really doesn’t throw much off speed either, other than dudes w elite heat (like strider on Friday) it guys with lot of off speed stuff that concern me. He pretty much throwing several fastball variations w some excuse me off speed thrown in, I’m pretty confident cards can score off him and run him from the game by the 5th. I see a pretty easy path to both teams scoring 4, but I also see potential for one pitcher or other to have a really bad night.
 
Lean to the Cards given the Braves record on Sundays, Odirizzi not the best and Jansen just blew a save last night. But probably won’t get involved unless I’m chasing from earlier in the day.
 
I want no part of backing Odirizzi. Was much better last time. But that was the Pirates. Not a day game, so better for Braves bats. But Waino has given them fits before. I played Cards to win series beforehand.
 
Damn, @2daBank you're burning the candle at both ends. Peepers back at full strength?

I'm joining ya on the fish ff under and I'm eagerly awaiting the salami number to pop...only 2 totals north of 8.5 on the board today (Tor and KC), so I'll be interested to see where they set it.
 
Damn, @2daBank you're burning the candle at both ends. Peepers back at full strength?

I'm joining ya on the fish ff under and I'm eagerly awaiting the salami number to pop...only 2 totals north of 8.5 on the board today (Tor and KC), so I'll be interested to see where they set it.

Almost. I can see out of it, when I’m sitting it pretty normal but this Fuckin gas bubble they put in my eye to hold the shit together (or whatever purpose it had) is taking fuvking forever to go away, it gets smaller every day but when I’m moving around or look down it still floats back in front my vision and super annoying., they told me it would last 4-6 weeks, it been just bout 2 months now! Saw dr 2 weeks ago last wed and he said prob 2 weeks, still not gone! It getting closer tho, keep hoping I wake up one day and it be gone.

I can never sleep much after a good ncaa Saturday! lol.
 
I want no part of backing Odirizzi. Was much better last time. But that was the Pirates. Not a day game, so better for Braves bats. But Waino has given them fits before. I played Cards to win series beforehand.

Yes he sucks, why I like the over 8, last time was against pirates wasn’t it? I don’t think he will do well tonight. I don’t think waino be great but he should def be good enough. I’m assuming you got plus money on cards for series so you in a pretty good spot, I think they win.
 
Apparently the Stripling prop was the most popular MLB prop on DK today, which of course makes me nervous.
 
Apparently the Stripling prop was the most popular MLB prop on DK today, which of course makes me nervous.

Damn, how you find that out?

The whole tor team looks like dog shit again, turning back into the blow jays! How the hell they being pissed on by this crappy pitcher? Ohtani shutting them down made sense, this one don’t.

It don’t shock me stripling get tagged, the 3-4 times in his career I backed him (even tho I thought I was backing jays offense more than him!) he gets killed, I fade him he looks like Fuckin cy going!
 
I follow the DK Sportsbook on Twitter and they tweeted it out. Probably should have cashed out when I saw that.
 
Cmon Jays. Stop being losers and hit this pitcher! You gonna fuck around and let balty catch your asses!! Losing ground when you playing the halo’s and O’s facing the Stros a bad bad omen!!
 
Fuckin merrifield kills the rally, he been so blah since being traded to jays, so much so it took weeks before I even realized they got him!!! Lol. For years cards wanted him but kc wouldn’t give him up, or Mo was too cheap w the trade offers? That sounds bout right!
 
Fucking Lodolo did me dirty, blows the 2-0 lead in 4tg then gives tie up in bottom 5th, Mfer. I had actually bet ml instead laying the half run cause it wasn’t too pricey, still didht save me and had to pay juice, unreal! Reds shoulda gave him more support against that gas can Corbin tho.
 
Cash the nice plus money on pirates and the FF under! Contreras was exactly as advertised and won it in his own! Pirates lineup gave him 2 but he didn’t need it!!! Kid is nasty! 7 k’s also.
 
Stripling prop cashed.

Nice one bro, I tailed and put him with my guy Roansy k’s! even tho I hate him after you posted it I looked closer and couldn’t help but agree!! I thought for sure I jinxed you! I don’t really believe that shit but there def something bout that guy, I trash him constantly, fade him and he great, pretty much anytime I’ve played him he goes out and looks like the bum I think he is! Lol. Anyways, worked out!!
 
Wow, the fish Ff under was the ticket, lad scored 2 pointless runs In 9th to beat the game under, guess it was only a push before that anyways.
 
Bang. Cash the chisox Ff tt under! Easy peasy as davies goes above and beyond holding them to 0! Hell of a team they got there in Chicago!!
 
I was fairly confident Voth would keep balty in it but didn’t think he would go toe to toe with JV!
 
Look At that, CWS runs Davies in the 6th, it usually happens where I get beat in bottom 5th or my team comes alive In 6th, nice to see it happen after I get the cash!!
 
I dunno if it gonna effect tonight’s game or not but it getting super cloudy here and storms popping up in area, just beware.
 
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