Sunday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Jul 31 Sun 2022

12:05 PM
963Detroit TigersG. Hill -R+1½
+120		+242O 9
+100
964Toronto Blue JaysJ. Berrios -R-1½
-140		-272U 9
-120
01:35 PM
951Arizona DiamondbacksM. Kelly -R+1½
-110		+200O 8
-110
952Atlanta BravesM. Fried -L-1½
-110		-220U 8
-110
01:35 PM
955Philadelphia PhilliesA. Nola -R-1½
-105		-181O 7
-120
956Pittsburgh PiratesJ. Brubaker -R+1½
-115		+166U 7
+100
01:35 PM
965Kansas City RoyalsZ. Greinke -R+1½
+115		+224O 8½
-120
966New York YankeesJ. Montgomery -L-1½
-135		-250U 8½
+100
01:35 PM
975Milwaukee BrewersA. Ashby -L-1½
+120		-126O 9½
-115
976Boston Red SoxJ. Winckowski -R+1½
-140		+116U 9½
-105
01:40 PM
957New York MetsT. Walker -R-151O 7
-110
958Miami MarlinsP. Lopez -R+139U 7
-110
01:40 PM
967Cleveland GuardiansB. Shaw -R+1½
-140		+179O 6½
-120
968Tampa Bay RaysS. McClanahan -L-1½
+120		-195U 6½
+100
01:40 PM
977Baltimore OriolesA. Voth -R+1½
-190		+110O 9
-115
978Cincinnati RedsN. Lodolo -L-1½
+165		-120U 9
-105
02:10 PM
969Seattle MarinersG. Kirby -R+1½
-175		+121O 8½
+100
970Houston AstrosJ. Odorizzi -R-1½
+155		-131U 8½
-120
02:10 PM
971Oakland AthleticsA. Oller -R+1½
+105		+241O 8
+100
972Chicago White SoxD. Cease -R-1½
-125		-270U 8
-120
03:10 PM
959Los Angeles DodgersT. Gonsolin -R-1½
-125		-175O 11½
-110
960Colorado RockiesG. Marquez -R+1½
+105		+161U 11½
-110
04:07 PM
973Texas RangersD. Dunning -R+1½
-190		+109O 8½
+100
974Los Angeles AngelsR. Detmers -L-1½
+165		-119U 8½
-120
07:08 PM
961Chicago CubsA. Sampson -R+1½
-130		+170O 7½
-105
962San Francisco GiantsC. Rodon -L+1 Markets-1½
+110		-185U 7½
-115
 
1st glance I don’t love this card, doesn’t mean they won’t fuck up some k props and give me plays!!

I assume Cease is gonna open 8.5, I don’t recall ever seeing a higher total posted and I’d think this matchup warrants high as they set them!! I’ll look closer sometime but gut says he fans double digits.
 
I'll be at the Red Sox game tomorrow and if they get down a bunch before the 5th (which they likely will since they're a Triple A team currently) I'll streak on the field to try to get the game cancelled
 
King Slap said:
I'll be at the Red Sox game tomorrow and if they get down a bunch before the 5th (which they likely will since they're a Triple A team currently) I'll streak on the field to try to get the game cancelled
Click to expand...

Bare assed or w clothes on?

I’ll take up a collection and send you the cash If you do it! I bet there at least a few guys here that happily donate a Hundo or so to see you get tackled and drug off the field!
 
i dunno wtf to say bout cards game? How can ya play the nats at this price? You can’t imo. I’m not a huge Pallante fan but If you can stay away from Soto, bell, Cruz they don’t have much else to worry bout. Pallante can prob deal with this lineup, Who knows what ya get w Gray? I like him a lot but he still learning to pitch and still makes a lot of mistakes giving up more than 2 hr per 9 and walking more than ya would like to see, that not a good combo but his stuff is legit and from time to time he been flashing brilliance, it about impossible to know what ya gonna get tho. I’ve been pretty decent picking out his games for high k totals but that hasn’t equated to great starts necessarily, The games he doesn’t walk ppl been a better indicator. Like I said I dunno, lol, Ff under maybe and cards on the cheap. I’ll stop wasting my time worrying bout sides when I see some props posted up!!
 
2daBank said:
Bare assed or w clothes on?

I’ll take up a collection and send you the cash If you do it! I bet there at least a few guys here that happily donate a Hundo or so to see you get tackled and drug off the field!
Click to expand...
Oh that would certainly augment the entertainment value lol!
 
They really taking their sweet ass time posting the props today. Only 4-5 up so far.

Looking at cease I wonder if they might come with a 7.5 instead a 8.5? After all he has only fanned 9+ in 7 of his 20 starts. I’d be all over 7.5 that for sure!
 
Normally I be all over Kirby ov 4.5 at plus money but last start they pulled him after 5 scoreless innings and only 51 pitches. They been having him skip starts and now this crap cause they trying to limit his innings and still have him down the stretch. Pretty sure he already has thrown more innings as pro this year than ever before so expect them to continue playing it safe with him!! Sucks but better to know now than think he cruising and be pissed off when he randomly gets pulled and ruins your day (happened to me last start!).
 
I am really dreading going to the Sox game today, I am tired as shit and getting picked up in two hours
 
This wasn’t my fav card, like there wasn’t 3-4 k props where I was like no doubt just pounding them in 2 team parlays. I worked my ass off on card all morning tho and think I came up w a decent card that will turn a profit. I’m on way to casino I’ll post after I bet them. 1st game on my card don’t start til 12:30 so plenty of time.
 
Took Kelly o5.5 k's/Snakes win +350. Rare chance to bet on them.
 
Last edited:
CPA-hole said:
Braves hitting numbers are significantly worse in day games and as a team the Braves are dead last in ROI in day games.
Click to expand...

Damn. I didn’t know that. I thought bout Kelly also but was afraid he get run from game too early to hit his k’s. Had no idea atl struggled so much in day, I never really think bout looking at lineups in day/night which odd cause I always do pitchers, sometimes my ignorance baffles me! lol
 
2daBank said:
Damn. I didn’t know that. I thought bout Kelly also but was afraid he get run from game too early to hit his k’s. Had no idea atl struggled so much in day, I never really think bout looking at lineups in day/night which odd cause I always do pitchers, sometimes my ignorance baffles me! lol
Click to expand...
Kelly's been the most consistent pitcher on the team the last two years for better or worse.
 
KJ said:
Kelly's been the most consistent pitcher on the team the last two years for better or worse.
Click to expand...

Yea I got no problem w him, he solid, it just was fear/respect for atl lineup, he was on my 1st draft just didn’t make it to second half the page where i print the money!! Lmao
 
KJ said:
Wouldn't be at all surprised to see DET/AZ/KC/CLE/OAK go a at least 2-3 where you'd come out ahead. Anything more would be gravy. 1-4 isn't a disaster either.
Click to expand...
Only the pitching match-ups that definitely favor the favorites are TB AND WS. (I Missed The DET Boat)
 
most days I come up w way more than enough plays (some would say a lot or too many) to where I try to stick with the motto “when in doubt, leave it out”.
 
2daBank said:
Damn. I didn’t know that. I thought bout Kelly also but was afraid he get run from game too early to hit his k’s. Had no idea atl struggled so much in day, I never really think bout looking at lineups in day/night which odd cause I always do pitchers, sometimes my ignorance baffles me! lol
Click to expand...

.225 as a team .657 OPS in day games

.249 .759 on the season total. (As of this past Monday)
 
These Are Some Crazy Numbers!

Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.

Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
 
KJ said:
Wouldn't be at all surprised to see DET/AZ/KC/CLE/OAK go a at least 2-3 where you'd come out ahead. Anything more would be gravy. 1-4 isn't a disaster either.
Click to expand...

I’ve leaned lot of these bigger dogs the last week or so. Before this year I woulda played a bunch of them and done well but the k props so money (most days) I don’t feel like sweating out those fuckers and watching half them blow games they shoulda won! Those 100% the right side
 
Getting drove around today so here my card.


Walker ov 4.5 k
Bundy ov 3.5 k
Sampson ov 3.5 k
Kirby ov 3,5 k
Kelly ov 4.5 k. You guys got me back on him, you better be right! Lol

cease ov 8.5 (small, I really wanted 7.5 and no more but fucjing thing went up during my trip up there)

Nats Ff tt u2.5
Cincy Ff ml /u4.5
Seattle ml
Twinks ml
 
I really like that kid Lodolo pitching for cincy, I was close on his k’s but man I didn’t expect them to jump him to 6.5 so fast (not being that proven yet), I think he gonna be really tough on balty today and feel ok bout reds getting a few off Voth.

For me Gray just tough to cap, he could dominate cards today or be on his walk shit then hang one or 2 with guys on base! I’m not a huge Pallante fan (have faded him
Several times, 1st time betting him) but I do think his stuff plays and trust him to be good vs a nats lineup that not all that tough outside a few guys. Just don’t expect to see nats with 3+ runs after 5 today.

Just a hunch on seattle. I know I said be careful with Kirby but I was gonna play him small over 4.5 at plus money, I freaking loved when I saw his number down to 3.5! Obviously ppl seeing same as me bout seattle limiting his innings but he is nasty and for all the meetings between these teams Stros havnt seen this kid, I think he performs well and have no worries he prob only go 5 innings, that plenty for him to fan 4!!! Just a hunch seattle wins 1 dang game! Lol.
 
2daBank said:
I really like that kid Lodolo pitching for cincy, I was close on his k’s but man I didn’t expect them to jump him to 6.5 so fast (not being that proven yet), I think he gonna be really tough on balty today and feel ok bout reds getting a few off Voth.

For me Gray just tough to cap, he could dominate cards today or be on his walk shit then hang one or 2 with guys on base! I’m not a huge Pallante fan (have faded him
Several times, 1st time betting him) but I do think his stuff plays and trust him to be good vs a nats lineup that not all that tough outside a few guys. Just don’t expect to see nats with 3+ runs after 5 today.

Just a hunch on seattle. I know I said be careful with Kirby but I was gonna play him small over 4.5 at plus money, I freaking loved when I saw his number down to 3.5! Obviously ppl seeing same as me bout seattle limiting his innings but he is nasty and for all the meetings between these teams Stros havnt seen this kid, I think he performs well and have no worries he prob only go 5 innings, that plenty for him to fan 4!!! Just a hunch seattle wins 1 dang game! Lol.
Click to expand...
Mariners won last night banker....I know coz my greedy ass had them on the RRL and they scored 2 in the top of the 9th, leaving me hoping the Stros would tie it up bottom 9 and send it to extras where Seattle could get 2 or 3.
 
chipnotized said:
Mariners won last night banker....I know coz my greedy ass had them on the RRL and they scored 2 in the top of the 9th, leaving me hoping the Stros would tie it up bottom 9 and send it to extras where Seattle could get 2 or 3.
Click to expand...

Oh shit, ya know what funny, after I posted it I said to myself “at least I think Stros won, I didht actually catch end of game”, lol. I stopped following after they took Valdez out and took lead (got my money on his k’s!) That cool tho, doesn’t really effect how I felt bout today one way or the other. I think Kirby vs Oderizzi and with Stros never having seen Kirby yet a pretty big advantage for seattle.
 
2daBank said:
Oh shit, ya know what funny, after I posted it I said to myself “at least I think Stros won, I didht actually catch end of game”, lol. I stopped following after they took Valdez out and took lead (got my money on his k’s!) That cool tho, doesn’t really effect how I felt bout today one way or the other. I think Kirby vs Oderizzi and with Stros never having seen Kirby yet a pretty big advantage for seattle.
Click to expand...
Make no mistake, I'm aboard the rrl train again today...not quite as nice a price today though (+194 today, +252 last night)
 
CPA-hole said:
.225 as a team .657 OPS in day games

.249 .759 on the season total. (As of this past Monday)
Click to expand...

And they strike out a lot all the time! Kinda like yanks, when they not blasting the ball the fan! Just gotta get pitchers who can last enough innings and they will get their number!!
 
chipnotized said:
Make no mistake, I'm aboard the rrl train again today...not quite as nice a price today though (+194 today, +252 last night)
Click to expand...

Greedy ass! lol. You realize these 2 teams play and win more 1 run games than just bout anyone don’t you? Lol. If ya had to get the bigger plus I woulda did same game parlay w Kirby k’s/seattle ml!!
 
Vap'sBack said:
Twins +128

Twins are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.

Twins are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in San Diego.
Click to expand...

I’m on them also. Same game parlay with bundy ovsr 3.5 k’s/twins should pay nice!!

Not sure how relevant the last 16 between these 2 are? How freaking long ago they play most of those? I’d guess most of them were totally different teams playing those games no?
 
chipnotized said:
Make no mistake, I'm aboard the rrl train again today...not quite as nice a price today though (+194 today, +252 last night)
Click to expand...

Not to beat up on you, I promise I get it, I’m guilty of costing myself being too greedy looking for more that plus money myself!! At least few times I week I’m belittling myself for doing it and it costing me!!
 
2daBank said:
Greedy ass! lol. You realize these 2 teams play and win more 1 run games than just bout anyone don’t you? Lol. If ya had to get the bigger plus I woulda did same game parlay w Kirby k’s/seattle ml!!
Click to expand...
I'm just greedy enough to steer clear of the outrageous hold on the same game parlays.

Best of luck today banker. I'm going to get in a quick 9 before the Rangers game, I'll check in with ya in a few hours.
 
chipnotized said:
I'm just greedy enough to steer clear of the outrageous hold on the same game parlays.

Best of luck today banker. I'm going to get in a quick 9 before the Rangers game, I'll check in with ya in a few hours.
Click to expand...

I havnt been doing them either. I couldn’t for longest time then was all excited when they brought them to the brick and mortar, but 1st 1 I did I was like “those odds can’t be right!” so havnt been doing them sense!! I rather just split my parlays like today I did Kirby with other guys and seattle separate. We agree on that bout the same game, they tax way too much!

Gl to you as well bro, have fun!!
 
Vap'sBack said:
These Are Some Crazy Numbers!

Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.

Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Click to expand...

I have a feeling cease mows them down today but doesn’t mean they won’t win. Not like cws gonna score bunch of runs vs a rhp
 
Mets smacking Lopez around early, these guys have seen each other so much in such a short time it not really fair to the pitchers imo. We saw it with Alcantara/brissett gm 1. It gave me pause playing walker but fish lineup a shell of what it was the 2x walker saw them toward end of June, and 1 more guy shorter than last time 2 weeks ago! So some fish playing today havnt seen him a ton and their best hitter not there to take advantage of it.
 
Berrios prop hits. Free rolling at this point, so will tail you 2 on Bundy and Kirby. GL to us.
 
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